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Myselfcustody

@Myselfcustody

#2,948,07831

0x4d766f62e3d1a97243eaa244ea72dcfeac7390a0

135d· 9180 markets · 8853 tradesVol: $2,457,438 @mq012026-07-02T06:20
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

31
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 0.31x0/15
HHI 11210/10
Profit Days 35%1/10

Summary

Myselfcustody is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, having placed 8,853 trades across 296 markets over 97 days. Despite a high total trading volume of approximately $2.46 million, the trader currently holds a negative net PnL of $-17,523.49 and ranks #2,948,078 on the global leaderboard. Their portfolio value stands at zero, with a below-average smart score of 31/100, indicating room for improvement in trade quality and profitability.

The trading style of Myselfcustody appears to blend automated and manual approaches, as suggested by a semi-bot score of 65. They demonstrate a contrarian and sniper strategy, focusing on selective entries rather than broad market coverage. Their win rate is moderate at 41.7%, with a profit factor of 0.31, implying that losses outweigh gains. The trader exhibits a low sell percentage of 14% and avoids weather-related markets. The equity trend is upward, signaling growing engagement and possibly increasing capital despite current losses.

Key strengths for Myselfcustody include a substantial trading volume and an upward equity trend, suggesting persistence and capital deployment capacity. However, the negative Sharpe ratio (-0.50) and low profit factor highlight a high-risk profile with inconsistent profitability. The zero portfolio value and significant net loss raise concerns about capital preservation and risk management on Polymarket. Continued monitoring is advisable to assess whether equity growth translates into improved returns.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

4
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Contrarian
59% entries <$0.50
Win Streak
25 wins in a row
Whale
$89,443

Categories

9
CRYPTO#1,617,763$-13,268Vol: $1,776,632
SPORTS#1,768,481$-3,008Vol: $298,649
🏛️ POLITICS#1,543,386$-239Vol: $135,613
🎭 CULTURE#797,703$-986Vol: $79,712
📈 ECONOMICS#604,295$-16Vol: $42,039
💰 FINANCE#478,041$-1Vol: $24,782
🌤️ WEATHER#273,956$-95Vol: $7,159
📢 MENTIONS#13,663$22Vol: $844
💻 TECH#196,983$-3Vol: $507

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-17,523
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,457,438
Total Redeem
$10,859
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
9180
total markets
Trades
7644B / 1209S
Daily Volume
$922
Account Age
135d
since Mar 8, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $40
Week
$31
Vol: $1,257
Month
$8
Vol: $386
All Time
$-17,523
Vol: $2,457,438

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
246W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$62,566
Win Rate
42%
120W / 168L
Profit Factor
0.31x
Avg Win
$118
Avg Loss
$-274

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET$647
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$539
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$380
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$371
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET$366
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$334
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$327
Ethereum Up or Down - June 22, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET$326
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$318
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$308

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET$-2,452
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 7?$-2,391
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$-1,916
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$-1,611
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$-1,279
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$-1,064
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs$-1,024
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$-923
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$-844
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$-788

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.499
Sortino
-0.451
HHI
112
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.365
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.8%
Top-5 markets
16.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
102.9
Very active
Markets / Day
3.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
2s
between trades
Avg Gap
9.4m
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.66
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.2

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
50% < 3s — suspicious speedSize CV 5.66 — diverse, typical for human16% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.40 — human randomness103 trades/day — automation

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
25.8
Heavy DCA
<=1
42 entries
<=2
78 entries
<=5
132 entries
<=10
160 entries
<=20
209 entries
<=50
250 entries
>50
46 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.7%
Mid (20-55c)54.2%
High (>55c)33.1%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 58.6%

Lucknow$265
Chicago$-248
Up or Down$-2,391
Other$-29,528

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
291

Single bracket

<=1
286 brackets
<=2
291 brackets
<=3
291 brackets
<=4
291 brackets
<=5
291 brackets
<=8
291 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/5/2026, 8:35:43 AM289 trades$9233 min
4/5/2026, 6:56:05 PM67 trades$1056 min
4/9/2026, 12:35:39 PM15 trades$5,2758 min
4/9/2026, 5:18:19 PM47 trades$10,6528 min
4/11/2026, 3:45:25 PM1 trades$500 min
4/11/2026, 4:25:37 PM1 trades$1560 min
4/11/2026, 7:06:27 PM2 trades$4750 min
4/12/2026, 8:21:13 AM2 trades$172 min
4/12/2026, 11:56:15 AM1 trades$20 min
4/12/2026, 12:15:07 PM1 trades$50 min
4/12/2026, 12:52:29 PM12 trades$783 min
4/12/2026, 1:20:21 PM2 trades$53 min
4/12/2026, 5:20:45 PM1 trades$10 min
4/12/2026, 5:31:53 PM1 trades$200 min
4/12/2026, 5:59:53 PM1 trades$1240 min
4/12/2026, 8:29:29 PM2 trades$25 min
4/12/2026, 8:40:51 PM1 trades$10 min
4/12/2026, 8:46:47 PM5 trades$65 min
4/12/2026, 8:57:37 PM10 trades$115 min
4/12/2026, 9:09:43 PM2 trades$20 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-05
04-16
04-23
05-01
05-19
06-07
06-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
13.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 25.8/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event