Polydata
Negative-Currant

@Negative-Currant

#2,797,96210

0x9fb59ca60360d4a4663e5d8446c2617d736ad972

252d· 4238 markets · 2181 tradesVol: $34,416 @xw6aJWT6W3HFSTN2026-07-03T11:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 20%0/20
Profit Factor 0.31x0/15
HHI 1210/10
Profit Days 16%0/10

Summary

Negative-Currant is a highly active trader on Polymarket, with 2,181 trades across 1,807 markets over 251 days. Despite this high activity, their global PnL rank is low at #2,797,962, and they have a net PnL of -$765.59. Their portfolio value stands at $14.58, indicating limited capital growth. The trader holds a beginner-level Smart Score of 10/100 and a semi-automated Bot Score of 40/100.

The trader’s style is characterized by frequent trading with a very high win rate of 99.5%, which suggests a strategy focused on low-risk, small-margin bets or possibly market inefficiencies. However, their negative Sharpe ratio (-0.81) and low sell percentage (11%) imply limited profit-taking and exposure to downside risk. Negative-Currant does not trade weather markets and appears to favor a high-volume approach with many small positions rather than concentrated bets.

Negative-Currant’s strengths include consistent engagement on Polymarket and an upward equity trend, showing incremental portfolio growth despite overall losses. However, the negative net PnL and Sharpe ratio highlight potential issues with risk management or trade profitability. Additionally, the beginner status and semi-bot trading suggest room for strategy refinement to improve long-term returns and reduce drawdowns.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

1
Win Streak
212 wins in a row

Categories

3
⚽ SPORTS#1,731,759$-769Vol: $34,355
₿ CRYPTO#772,768$-0Vol: $36
🏛️ POLITICS#552,565$0Vol: $2

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-766
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$34,416
Total Redeem
$3,589
Portfolio
$15
Predictions
4238
total markets
Trades
1941B / 240S
Daily Volume
$32
Account Age
252d
since Oct 25, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $21
Week
$-68
Vol: $886
Month
$-5
Vol: $356
All Time
$-766
Vol: $34,416

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
20%
236W / 931L events
Realized PnL
$1,280
Win Rate
100%
606W / 3L
Profit Factor
379.33x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $62 (5.5% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27? AND Will Colombia vs. Portugal e$28
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 3.5 AND Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 6.5 T$19
Liechtenstein vs. Cyprus: O/U 1.5$15
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Qingdao Hainiu FC: O/U 3.5$15
Japan vs. Iceland: O/U 0.5$14
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 7.5 Total Corners$14
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?$14
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$14
Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 219.5$12
Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 7.5 Total Corners$12

Top Losers

Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 215.5$-3
Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5$-0
Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 162.5$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.814
Sortino
-0.944
HHI
12
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.688
Kelly %
99.4%
Half-Kelly
49.7%
Top-1 market
0.7%
Top-5 markets
2.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
7.2
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
19.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
49%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.99
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.5

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1146s — typical for humanSize CV 0.99 — diverse, typical for human49% at night — bot never sleeps20/24 hours — extended daySession CV 0.64 — semi-mechanical1258 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.1
Single entry
<=1
1682 entries
<=2
1788 entries
<=5
1803 entries
<=10
1803 entries
<=20
1803 entries
<=50
1803 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.7%
Mid (20-55c)18.9%
High (>55c)80.4%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 75.4%

Other$1,006
Shenzhen$20
Dallas$17
Los Angeles$13
Seattle$11
Toronto$9
Shanghai$6
Atlanta$5
Seoul$4
Wellington$4
Chengdu$3
Austin$3
Chongqing$3
Milan$3
Paris$2
Beijing$2
Houston$2
Madrid$1

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.2
Events covered
1498

Single bracket

<=1
1284 brackets
<=2
1443 brackets
<=3
1478 brackets
<=4
1492 brackets
<=5
1497 brackets
<=8
1498 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
10/25/2025, 3:07:05 PM1 trades$10 min
10/25/2025, 3:27:05 PM2 trades$24 min
10/25/2025, 3:37:15 PM2 trades$82 min
10/25/2025, 4:06:13 PM3 trades$34 min
10/26/2025, 12:30:49 PM2 trades$21 min
10/27/2025, 2:33:59 AM2 trades$22 min
10/27/2025, 9:01:33 AM1 trades$90 min
10/27/2025, 4:32:11 PM2 trades$63 min
10/27/2025, 11:12:03 PM2 trades$65 min
10/28/2025, 7:50:47 AM1 trades$30 min
10/28/2025, 8:09:13 AM2 trades$61 min
10/28/2025, 10:28:51 AM1 trades$30 min
10/28/2025, 1:30:19 PM1 trades$30 min
10/29/2025, 11:30:11 AM2 trades$60 min
10/29/2025, 11:50:51 AM4 trades$125 min
10/30/2025, 2:35:39 AM2 trades$62 min
10/30/2025, 7:23:45 AM1 trades$30 min
10/30/2025, 9:13:43 AM1 trades$30 min
10/30/2025, 11:24:07 AM2 trades$60 min
10/30/2025, 1:16:31 PM2 trades$62 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-25
12-07
01-15
02-24
04-14
05-23
07-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
11% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.2 br/event