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Neglected-Supernatural

@Neglected-Supernatural

#1,02794

0x7dfc8aa22f2d4d6f9cbf55cf86682a4d2477f54e

80d· 1484 markets · 9630 tradesVol: $4,095,218 @CramSchoolClub2026-06-27T08:08
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

94
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 58%14/20
Profit Factor 11.26x15/15
Sharpe 0.96915/15
Sortino 100.59310/10
EV $+10.52210/10
HHI 12610/10
Profit Days 91%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Neglected-Supernatural is an active Polymarket trader ranked #1027 on the global profit and loss leaderboard. In just 26 days, they have completed 9,630 trades across 323 markets, generating a net PnL of $180,397.41 on a total volume exceeding $4 million. Their elite Smart Score of 94 and Bot Score of 95 indicate a highly efficient and automated trading approach. Despite a current portfolio value of zero, their equity trend is upward, reflecting consistent gains over a short but intense trading period.

The trading style of Neglected-Supernatural is characterized by high-frequency, bot-driven activity focused on a wide variety of markets, excluding weather-related ones. Their win rate stands at 46%, with a profit factor of 0.28, suggesting a preference for contrarian, low-risk strategies supported by dollar-cost averaging, as evidenced by badges like Contrarian and DCA Master. The absence of sell trades and a Sharpe ratio close to 1 implies a steady, risk-managed approach with minimal drawdown duration. Timing appears to be systematic and automated rather than discretionary.

Key strengths for Neglected-Supernatural include their elite automation capabilities and an upward equity trend indicating effective risk management. However, the relatively low profit factor and win rate may signal limited upside per trade and potential vulnerability during volatile market conditions. Their zero portfolio value also suggests that gains may be realized frequently rather than held long-term. Overall, Neglected-Supernatural’s data points to a disciplined, bot-driven Polymarket trader leveraging contrarian strategies while balancing steady growth against potential drawdown risks.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

10
Profitable
PnL $+180,397
Contrarian
71% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
DCA Master
avg 29.8 entries/market
Bot
Score 95/100
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
Whale
$312,187
Consistent
20/22 days
High Roller
$12,007/day
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

1
CRYPTO#148$180,397Vol: $4,095,218

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$180,397
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,095,218
Total Redeem
$123,157
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1484
total markets
Trades
9630B / 0S
Daily Volume
$12,007
Account Age
80d
since Apr 17, 2026

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
58%
252W / 182L events
Realized PnL
$675,812
Win Rate
46%
64W / 75L
Profit Factor
0.28x
Avg Win
$795
Avg Loss
$-2,401

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$15,725
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$2,763
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$2,737
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$2,602
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$2,514
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$2,393
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$2,067
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET$1,934
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$1,895
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET$1,885

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$-10,840
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET$-9,960
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET$-9,492
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$-7,289
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$-6,772
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$-5,297
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET$-5,246
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$-5,179
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$-5,173
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET$-5,095

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.969
Sortino
100.593
HHI
126
Diversified
EV per $1
$10.522
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.5%
Top-5 markets
14.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
379.7
Very active
Markets / Day
12.7
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
3s
between trades
Avg Gap
4.2m
between trades
Night Trading
48%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.98
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
37.6

Bot Detection

#6
95
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

8 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
48% < 3s — suspicious speedSize CV 2.99 — diverse, typical for human48% at night — bot never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.51 — human randomness380 trades/day — automation13 markets/day — mass coverage435 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
29.8
Heavy DCA
<=1
13 entries
<=2
29 entries
<=5
66 entries
<=10
104 entries
<=20
155 entries
<=50
285 entries
>50
38 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)29.9%
Mid (20-55c)55.7%
High (>55c)14.4%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 42.6%

Other$-129,158

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
323

Single bracket

<=1
323 brackets
<=2
323 brackets
<=3
323 brackets
<=4
323 brackets
<=5
323 brackets
<=8
323 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/17/2026, 11:06:28 PM5 trades$510 min
4/17/2026, 11:43:20 PM21 trades$2,0024 min
4/20/2026, 12:36:28 AM8 trades$5961 min
4/20/2026, 12:50:36 AM7 trades$3681 min
4/20/2026, 1:55:14 AM32 trades$2,3378 min
4/20/2026, 2:21:04 AM4 trades$1810 min
4/20/2026, 2:34:52 AM3 trades$1,5330 min
4/20/2026, 5:06:20 AM16 trades$8140 min
4/20/2026, 4:30:16 PM92 trades$25111 min
4/20/2026, 5:00:40 PM43 trades$942 min
4/20/2026, 8:50:14 PM42 trades$912 min
4/21/2026, 12:55:22 AM2 trades$2090 min
4/21/2026, 2:10:14 AM33 trades$3,7863 min
4/21/2026, 3:50:16 AM31 trades$2183 min
4/21/2026, 8:20:24 AM19 trades$951 min
4/21/2026, 9:05:14 AM93 trades$78416 min
4/21/2026, 10:00:16 AM80 trades$55911 min
4/21/2026, 10:35:18 AM24 trades$2021 min
4/21/2026, 10:55:18 AM24 trades$2021 min
4/21/2026, 11:15:36 AM24 trades$1953 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-17
04-20
04-23
04-26
04-29
05-04
05-07
05-13

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 29.8/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event