Polydata
Next-Household

@Next-Household

#2,525,62060

0xbe7f793df6b2353ddd97f389144469a319893543

216d· 262 markets · 498 tradesVol: $45,483 @emsalettineth2026-07-06T10:45
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

60
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 79%20/20
Profit Factor 6.03x15/15
Sharpe 0.1262/15
Sortino 0.0951/10
EV $+0.0372/10
HHI 25910/10
Profit Days 68%9/10
DD/Peak 119%0/10

Summary

Next-Household is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 498 trades spanning 253 markets over 396 days. Despite trading a substantial volume of $45,483, they currently hold a net PnL of -$114.99 and rank #2,525,620 globally, reflecting challenges in consistently generating profits. Their Smart Score of 60/100 indicates a good level of trading skill and discipline.

This trader tends to exhibit a consistent and patient style, as evidenced by an 82.1% win rate and a profit factor of 1.55, suggesting profitable trades outweigh losses. However, their Sharpe ratio of 0.13 points to low risk-adjusted returns, and a sell percentage of only 14% implies a preference for holding positions rather than frequent exits. Next-Household does not engage in weather markets and shows an equity trend that is gradually upward, indicating steady, if modest, portfolio growth.

Next-Household’s strengths include a strong win rate and consistency, supported by badges like Sniper and Win Streak, which highlight precision and persistence. On the downside, the negative net PnL and low Sharpe ratio suggest potential issues with trade sizing or market selection. Their human-like, fast interface interaction may allow for timely decisions, but the relatively low Bot Score warns that automated strategies are unlikely to be in use, which could limit scalability in volatile conditions.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

3
Sniper
Win Rate 79%
Win Streak
54 wins in a row
Consistent
19/28 days

Categories

7
CRYPTO#1,237,219$-21Vol: $29,093
💰 FINANCE#578,956$-17Vol: $3,176
📢 MENTIONS#98,462$-3Vol: $3,001
🏛️ POLITICS#111,570$31Vol: $2,297
🎭 CULTURE#770,737$-101Vol: $1,235
SPORTS#1,463,825$-26Vol: $551
💻 TECH#28,465$3Vol: $40

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-115
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$45,483
Total Redeem
$1,153
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
262
total markets
Trades
428B / 70S
Daily Volume
$7
Account Age
216d
since Dec 1, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$3
Vol: $560
Week
$3
Vol: $1,942
Month
$-7
Vol: $1,942
All Time
$-115
Vol: $45,483

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
86%
182W / 30L events
Realized PnL
$374
Win Rate
82%
183W / 40L
Profit Factor
1.55x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $52 (53.8% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Fenerbahçe SK vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?$24
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest - Map 2 Winner$16
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?$11
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Sta$11
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag$10
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?$8
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 4?$8
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on May 26?$8
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$7
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 12?$7

Top Losers

Will Australia come in 3rd place at Eurovision 2026?$-112
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?$-9
Games Total: O/U 2.5$-5
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$-3
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$-2
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$-2
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$-2
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$-2
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$-2
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.126
Sortino
0.095
HHI
259
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.037
Kelly %
39.4%
Half-Kelly
19.7%
Top-1 market
6.1%
Top-5 markets
27%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
40.8m
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.17
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.8

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 288s — typical for humanSize CV 2.17 — diverse, typical for human18% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.97 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.7
Single entry
<=1
139 entries
<=2
224 entries
<=5
249 entries
<=10
251 entries
<=20
253 entries
<=50
253 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10.5%
Mid (20-55c)29%
High (>55c)60.5%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 57.8%

Other$92
Paris$4

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
242

Single bracket

<=1
235 brackets
<=2
239 brackets
<=3
241 brackets
<=4
242 brackets
<=5
242 brackets
<=8
242 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
12/1/2025, 5:05:48 PM2 trades$600 min
3/22/2026, 8:32:29 PM1 trades$10 min
3/22/2026, 10:42:07 PM2 trades$22 min
3/23/2026, 3:33:31 PM1 trades$10 min
4/15/2026, 9:37:12 PM1 trades$10 min
5/16/2026, 4:46:18 PM1 trades$100 min
5/16/2026, 5:42:25 PM1 trades$40 min
5/16/2026, 5:51:29 PM2 trades$443 min
5/16/2026, 5:59:45 PM2 trades$41 min
5/16/2026, 6:20:38 PM1 trades$50 min
5/16/2026, 6:43:45 PM2 trades$483 min
5/16/2026, 6:58:33 PM3 trades$51 min
5/16/2026, 7:06:32 PM1 trades$20 min
5/16/2026, 7:29:24 PM2 trades$100 min
5/16/2026, 7:35:37 PM2 trades$32 min
5/16/2026, 7:44:41 PM1 trades$120 min
5/16/2026, 8:14:28 PM1 trades$130 min
5/16/2026, 9:01:17 PM1 trades$10 min
5/16/2026, 9:49:56 PM2 trades$200 min
5/16/2026, 10:37:40 PM4 trades$60 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
04-30
05-18
05-26
06-03
06-09
07-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
14.1% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.7/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event