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@Notable-Carrier

#9,54129

0xe30e74595517de48f1fb19f4553dd3d9f1e96b87

78d· 51 markets · 2912 tradesVol: $5,833,6342026-05-14T14:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

29
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 49%10/20
Profit Factor 1.02x3/15
Sharpe 0.0100/15
Sortino 0.0110/10
EV $+0.0221/10
HHI 42010/10
Profit Days 50%5/10
DD/Peak 118%0/10

Summary

Notable-Carrier is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, holding the global PnL rank of #9541. Over 63 days, they executed nearly 3,000 trades across 51 markets, generating a net profit of $13,064.91 from a total volume exceeding $5.8 million. Despite a below-average Smart Score of 29/100, Notable-Carrier maintains a strong win rate of 89.3% and an impressive profit factor of 10.38, indicating consistent profitability. Their portfolio value currently stands at zero, and their Sharpe ratio is low at 0.01, suggesting limited risk-adjusted returns.

In terms of strategy, Notable-Carrier appears to favor high-frequency trading with rapid order execution, likely human-driven, given a bot score of 30/100. They focus on a diversified set of markets (51 in total) but do not engage in weather markets. Their sell rate is minimal at 7%, implying a preference for holding positions or using dollar-cost averaging (as supported by their “DCA Master” badge). The equity trend is steadily upward, and the trader holds badges indicating profitability and strong conviction in their trades.

Notable-Carrier’s key strengths lie in their high win rate, consistent upward equity trend, and disciplined trading style, reflected in the low max drawdown duration. However, the low Sharpe ratio and below-average Smart Score highlight potential risks related to volatility and suboptimal risk management. Additionally, their current portfolio value at zero may suggest they periodically close positions, which could affect long-term capital growth. Overall, Notable-Carrier demonstrates solid performance on Polymarket, but some risk factors merit monitoring.

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+13,065
Diamond Hands
7% sell
DCA Master
avg 53.1 entries/market
Win Streak
21 wins in a row
Whale
$2,767,046
High Roller
$43,654/day

Categories

1
SPORTS#3,455$13,065Vol: $5,833,634

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$13,065
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,833,634
Total Redeem
$2,102,746
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
51
total markets
Trades
2708B / 204S
Daily Volume
$43,654
Account Age
78d
since Mar 4, 2026

Periods

#2
Week
$3,889
Vol: $173,919
Month
$-269,817
Vol: $673,086
All Time
$13,065
Vol: $5,833,634

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
53%
27W / 24L events
Realized PnL
$820,588
Win Rate
89%
25W / 3L
Profit Factor
10.38x
Avg Win
$32,947
Avg Loss
$-26,459

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $262,028 (35.2% of PnL)

Top Winners

Huzhou: Diletta Cherubini vs Ekaterina Reyngold$112,921
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Alexander Shevchenko vs$74,721
Barcelona Open: Pedro Martinez vs Lorenzo Sonego$74,387
BMW Open: Emilio Nava vs Ben Shelton$73,623
Tallahassee: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Nicolas Kicker$66,493
Thunder vs. Suns$55,074
Barcelona Open: Jaume Munar vs Rafael Jodar$49,188
Canucks vs. Oilers$40,451
Menorca: Raul Brancaccio vs Sebastian Ofner$32,142
Menorca: Norbert Gombos vs Ivan Gakhov$30,437

Top Losers

Alicante: Ivan Gakhov vs Lloyd Harris$-67,545
Santiago: Franco Agamenone vs Guido Justo$-8,002
Shymkent 2: Gijs Brouwer vs Ivan Gakhov$-3,831

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.010
Sortino
0.011
HHI
420
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.022
Kelly %
69.5%
Half-Kelly
34.7%
Top-1 market
8.3%
Top-5 markets
34.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
45.9
Active
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
4s
between trades
Avg Gap
11.5m
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
7.41
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
27.4

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
53% < 5s — fast clicker/botSize CV 7.41 — diverse, typical for human0% at night — normal sleep pattern18/24 hours — extended daySession CV 1.54 — human randomness46 trades/day — suspiciously high

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
53.1
Heavy DCA
<=1
12 entries
<=2
16 entries
<=5
19 entries
<=10
22 entries
<=20
25 entries
<=50
36 entries
>50
15 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)11.6%
Mid (20-55c)35.5%
High (>55c)52.9%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 0%

Other$744,290
Madrid$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
51

Single bracket

<=1
51 brackets
<=2
51 brackets
<=3
51 brackets
<=4
51 brackets
<=5
51 brackets
<=8
51 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/10/2026, 11:18:53 AM16 trades$79311 min
3/10/2026, 12:59:09 PM71 trades$4,01111 min
3/10/2026, 1:35:45 PM3 trades$3,1981 min
3/18/2026, 8:31:35 PM79 trades$8,4183 min
3/23/2026, 1:48:23 PM84 trades$35,50747 min
3/23/2026, 2:48:47 PM27 trades$1,3596 min
3/23/2026, 3:08:21 PM24 trades$62910 min
3/23/2026, 3:24:27 PM22 trades$3,42411 min
3/23/2026, 3:42:17 PM95 trades$26,62524 min
3/24/2026, 10:45:17 AM38 trades$5,6922 min
3/26/2026, 7:03:21 PM7 trades$52,3920 min
3/27/2026, 9:19:47 PM1 trades$44,8940 min
3/28/2026, 10:04:12 PM1 trades$63,9000 min
3/30/2026, 9:47:35 PM1 trades$75,3570 min
4/1/2026, 12:57:01 PM40 trades$23,7277 min
4/1/2026, 1:26:33 PM78 trades$19,04711 min
4/1/2026, 1:49:59 PM7 trades$2,4083 min
4/1/2026, 3:07:27 PM117 trades$3,0902 min
4/1/2026, 3:19:03 PM4 trades$1,0500 min
4/1/2026, 3:33:19 PM27 trades$11,9792 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-17
03-31
04-12
04-20
04-28
05-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 53.1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event