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@Notable-Carrier

#2,948,06521

0xe30e74595517de48f1fb19f4553dd3d9f1e96b87

125d· 63 markets · 3507 tradesVol: $6,896,9222026-06-30T18:06
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

21
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 45%7/20
Profit Factor 0.71x0/15
HHI 34310/10
Profit Days 44%3/10
DD/Peak 220%0/10

Summary

Notable-Carrier is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, having executed 3,507 trades across 63 markets over 94 days. Despite a relatively high win rate of 68.8% and a profit factor of 2.00, the trader currently holds a net loss of $369,006.92, placing them at rank #2,948,065 on the global PnL leaderboard. Their portfolio value stands at zero, and the equity trend shows a clear downward trajectory, indicating recent challenges in maintaining profitability.

The trader appears to favor a diverse range of markets but shows no activity in weather-related markets. Notable-Carrier exhibits a low sell percentage of 6%, suggesting a preference for holding positions longer, consistent with badges like Diamond Hands and DCA Master. Their Sharpe ratio of -0.15 implies a negative risk-adjusted return, and the absence of drawdown duration indicates losses are occurring without prolonged recovery periods. The Bot Score of 30 suggests manual trading with a relatively fast interface usage.

Notable-Carrier’s strengths include a solid win rate and profit factor, indicating effective trade selection despite overall losses. Their high volume and active trading style suggest strong market engagement. However, the significant net loss and negative Sharpe ratio highlight concerns about risk management and timing. The downward equity trend and zero portfolio value further emphasize the need for reassessment of strategy to improve long-term viability on Polymarket.

Badges

5
Diamond Hands
6% sell
DCA Master
avg 52.4 entries/market
Win Streak
15 wins in a row
Whale
$3,237,810
High Roller
$34,445/day

Categories

1
SPORTS#1,777,773$-369,007Vol: $6,896,922

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-369,007
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,896,922
Total Redeem
$1,831,598
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
63
total markets
Trades
3303B / 204S
Daily Volume
$34,445
Account Age
125d
since Mar 4, 2026

Periods

#2
Month
$-352,657
Vol: $743,591
All Time
$-369,007
Vol: $6,896,922

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
48%
30W / 33L events
Realized PnL
$816,320
Win Rate
69%
22W / 10L
Profit Factor
2x
Avg Win
$34,117
Avg Loss
$-37,604

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $265,321 (70.8% of PnL)

Top Winners

Huzhou: Diletta Cherubini vs Ekaterina Reyngold$114,733
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters, Qualification: Alexander Shevchenko vs$75,434
Barcelona Open: Pedro Martinez vs Lorenzo Sonego$75,154
BMW Open: Emilio Nava vs Ben Shelton$74,540
Tallahassee: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Nicolas Kicker$66,884
Thunder vs. Suns$56,371
Barcelona Open: Jaume Munar vs Rafael Jodar$49,188
Canucks vs. Oilers$40,451
Magic vs. Pistons$30,236
Magic vs. Pistons$30,199

Top Losers

Pistons vs. Thunder$-75,357
Alicante: Ivan Gakhov vs Lloyd Harris$-67,545
Will Ukraine vs. Sweden end in a draw?$-52,392
Pelicans vs. Raptors$-44,894
Menorca: Norbert Gombos vs Ivan Gakhov$-42,678
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Daniil Medvedev$-42,376
Menorca: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Ivan Gakhov$-20,384
Menorca: Raul Brancaccio vs Sebastian Ofner$-18,578
Santiago: Franco Agamenone vs Guido Justo$-8,002
Shymkent 2: Gijs Brouwer vs Ivan Gakhov$-3,831

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.150
Sortino
-0.168
HHI
343
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.308
Kelly %
2.1%
Half-Kelly
1.1%
Top-1 market
7.1%
Top-5 markets
29.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
37.4
Active
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
4s
between trades
Avg Gap
11.8m
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
7.04
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
27.4

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
51% < 5s — fast clicker/botSize CV 7.04 — diverse, typical for human0% at night — normal sleep pattern18/24 hours — extended daySession CV 1.52 — human randomness37 trades/day — suspiciously high

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
52.4
Heavy DCA
<=1
13 entries
<=2
17 entries
<=5
20 entries
<=10
24 entries
<=20
31 entries
<=50
43 entries
>50
20 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)11.2%
Mid (20-55c)41.9%
High (>55c)46.9%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 63.8%

Other$374,534
Madrid$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
63

Single bracket

<=1
63 brackets
<=2
63 brackets
<=3
63 brackets
<=4
63 brackets
<=5
63 brackets
<=8
63 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/10/2026, 11:18:53 AM16 trades$79311 min
3/10/2026, 12:59:09 PM71 trades$4,01111 min
3/10/2026, 1:35:45 PM3 trades$3,1981 min
3/18/2026, 8:31:35 PM79 trades$8,4183 min
3/23/2026, 1:48:23 PM84 trades$35,50747 min
3/23/2026, 2:48:47 PM27 trades$1,3596 min
3/23/2026, 3:08:21 PM24 trades$62910 min
3/23/2026, 3:24:27 PM22 trades$3,42411 min
3/23/2026, 3:42:17 PM95 trades$26,62524 min
3/24/2026, 10:45:17 AM38 trades$5,6922 min
3/26/2026, 7:03:21 PM7 trades$52,3920 min
3/27/2026, 9:19:47 PM1 trades$44,8940 min
3/28/2026, 10:04:12 PM1 trades$63,9000 min
3/30/2026, 9:47:35 PM1 trades$75,3570 min
4/1/2026, 12:57:01 PM40 trades$23,7277 min
4/1/2026, 1:26:33 PM78 trades$19,04511 min
4/1/2026, 1:49:59 PM7 trades$2,4063 min
4/1/2026, 3:07:27 PM117 trades$3,0902 min
4/1/2026, 3:19:03 PM4 trades$1,0500 min
4/1/2026, 3:33:19 PM27 trades$11,9382 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-17
04-06
04-15
04-25
05-03
05-22
06-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
5.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 52.4/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event