Polydata
Obedient-Mayonnaise

@Obedient-Mayonnaise

#2,962,70692

0x61faa7b73071accbc4bb71a343e3bed3939f7f62

243d· 10127 markets · 2950 tradesVol: $3,261,183 @Dobbyisbad2026-07-03T05:20
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

92
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 98%20/20
Profit Factor 5.76x15/15
Sharpe 0.3997/15
Sortino 2.75210/10
EV $+0.45910/10
HHI 6310/10
Profit Days 82%10/10
DD/Peak 2%10/10

Summary

Obedient-Mayonnaise is an active trader on Polymarket with 2,950 trades across 738 markets over 235 days. Despite a high Smart Score of 92/100 indicating elite trading skills, the trader currently holds a net loss of $112,120.25 and ranks #2,962,706 globally by PnL. Their total trading volume exceeds $3.26 million, but a modest portfolio value of $167.86 and a Sharpe ratio of 0.40 suggest limited recent profitability and moderate risk-adjusted returns.

This trader demonstrates a high win rate of 85.4% and a strong profit factor of 5.76, indicating effective trade selection and risk management. Obedient-Mayonnaise appears to follow a consistent trading style with a relatively low 23% sell percentage and no engagement in weather markets, focusing instead on markets where precision timing is rewarded. Their badges such as Sniper and Win Streak reflect a preference for well-timed, high-conviction trades, although their Bot Score of 35 suggests human-driven fast decision making rather than algorithmic strategies.

Obedient-Mayonnaise’s strengths lie in their disciplined approach and consistency, as evidenced by stable equity trends and zero max drawdown duration. However, the significant net loss despite their high win rate raises questions about trade sizing or market selection. The low portfolio value combined with a high volume suggests potential overtrading or capital inefficiency, which could pose risks if not addressed. Overall, Obedient-Mayonnaise remains an experienced and skilled trader on Polymarket with room to optimize profitability.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 98%
Win Streak
46 wins in a row
Whale
$363,955
Consistent
70/85 days
High Roller
$1,549/day
Cool Head
DD 2%

Categories

5
SPORTS#1,789,958$-37,615Vol: $1,059,782
CRYPTO#1,592,438$-1,925Vol: $812,557
🌤️ WEATHER#74,715$0Vol: $16
💻 TECH#151,812$-0Vol: $11
🎭 CULTURE#184,012$1Vol: $3

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-112,120
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,261,183
Total Redeem
$5,340
Portfolio
$168
Predictions
10127
total markets
Trades
2282B / 668S
Daily Volume
$1,549
Account Age
243d
since Nov 4, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$20
Vol: $821
Week
$-950
Vol: $7,743
Month
$-867
Vol: $4,722
All Time
$-112,120
Vol: $3,261,183

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
98%
229W / 4L events
Realized PnL
$181,172
Win Rate
85%
252W / 43L
Profit Factor
5.76x
Avg Win
$613
Avg Loss
$-624

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $27,682 (21.7% of PnL)

Top Winners

LoL: KIA.eSuba Academy vs Meavedron (BO1) - Hitpoint Masters Grou$12,904
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments (BO3) - PGL Walla$7,431
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Nemiga (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #1$7,347
Raptors vs. Thunder$5,983
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Epis$3,737
Nuggets vs. Bucks$3,183
Pelicans vs. Spurs$3,101
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajda$2,855
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff P$2,611
Valorant: T1 vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Pla$2,162

Top Losers

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO5) - BLAST Bounty P$-10,923
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Pla$-3,442
Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keys$-1,391
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals$-1,209
Raptors vs. Trail Blazers$-1,000
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic (BO3)$-800
XRP Up or Down - November 28, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$-800
Dota 2: Heroic vs Natus Vincere (BO1)$-772
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Acend (BO3) - Super DraculaN Group$-618
Dota 2: Yellow Submarine vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - The International $-610

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.399
Sortino
2.752
HHI
63
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.459
Kelly %
68.9%
Half-Kelly
34.4%
Top-1 market
3%
Top-5 markets
10.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
13.3
Active
Markets / Day
3.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
33.9m
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.27
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.5

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 158s — typical for humanSize CV 2.27 — diverse, typical for human29% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.03 — human randomness13 trades/day — very active

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.1
Moderate DCA
<=1
356 entries
<=2
497 entries
<=5
653 entries
<=10
700 entries
<=20
724 entries
<=50
735 entries
>50
1 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.9%
Mid (20-55c)38.2%
High (>55c)56.9%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 87.2%

Other$125,167
San Francisco$1,349
Los Angeles$1,296
Chicago$427
Hong Kong$225
Seattle$158
Atlanta$0
Paris$0
London$0
Tokyo$0
Milan$0
Houston$0
Toronto$0
Dallas$0
Miami$-1,010

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
636

Single bracket

<=1
568 brackets
<=2
621 brackets
<=3
635 brackets
<=4
636 brackets
<=5
636 brackets
<=8
636 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
11/23/2025, 1:03:25 AM1 trades$2260 min
11/23/2025, 10:39:27 AM1 trades$1450 min
11/25/2025, 9:41:17 AM1 trades$3000 min
11/25/2025, 9:57:03 AM1 trades$1000 min
11/25/2025, 10:12:13 AM1 trades$1000 min
11/25/2025, 10:20:49 AM1 trades$1000 min
11/26/2025, 7:17:23 AM1 trades$1,0660 min
11/28/2025, 6:03:09 AM6 trades$8003 min
11/28/2025, 12:11:37 PM2 trades$4442 min
11/28/2025, 1:30:07 PM1 trades$7100 min
11/28/2025, 3:06:05 PM2 trades$8002 min
11/28/2025, 3:38:03 PM1 trades$1,0730 min
11/28/2025, 5:01:57 PM2 trades$4801 min
11/28/2025, 8:15:05 PM1 trades$9220 min
11/28/2025, 8:34:37 PM1 trades$1000 min
11/28/2025, 8:40:43 PM1 trades$920 min
11/28/2025, 8:59:33 PM1 trades$2000 min
11/28/2025, 9:05:49 PM2 trades$3003 min
11/28/2025, 10:24:31 PM1 trades$4660 min
11/28/2025, 11:28:49 PM1 trades$1000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-28
01-18
04-01
04-24
05-29
06-12
07-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
22.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event