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Obedient-Mayonnaise

@Obedient-Mayonnaise

#2,837,09292

0x61faa7b73071accbc4bb71a343e3bed3939f7f62

240d· 9811 markets · 2432 tradesVol: $2,999,699 @Dobbyisbad2026-06-12T05:17
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

92
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 4.92x15/15
Sharpe 0.3647/15
Sortino 2.35110/10
EV $+0.43910/10
HHI 8210/10
Profit Days 82%10/10
DD/Peak 2%10/10

Summary

Obedient-Mayonnaise is a highly active trader on Polymarket with 2,432 trades across 532 markets over 213 days. Despite being ranked #2,837,092 globally by net PnL, they have generated nearly $3 million in total volume and achieved an 84.3% win rate. However, their net profit and loss stands at -$104,795.98, indicating substantial losses despite a strong profit factor of 4.92. Their smart score of 92/100 places them in the elite category, reflecting skillful trading patterns.

This trader demonstrates a preference for diverse markets without any exposure to weather-related predictions. With a sell percentage of 17%, Obedient-Mayonnaise tends to hold positions longer, aligning with a low Sharpe ratio of 0.36 and a flat equity trend, suggesting moderate risk tolerance and stable outcomes. Their timing appears consistent, supported by badges such as Sniper and Win Streak, which imply precise entry points and periods of sustained success. The bot score of 35/100 suggests the trader is likely human, utilizing fast interface techniques.

Obedient-Mayonnaise’s key strengths include a high win rate and profit factor, indicating effective trade selection and risk management. Their consistent performance and elite smart score highlight advanced market insight. However, the negative net PnL and zero portfolio value raise concerns about long-term profitability or possible recent liquidation events. The flat equity trend and low Sharpe ratio suggest limited upside volatility, which may constrain returns despite stable trading activity.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Win Streak
52 wins in a row
Whale
$306,022
Consistent
67/82 days
High Roller
$1,437/day
Cool Head
DD 2%

Categories

5
SPORTS#1,667,567$-37,202Vol: $918,800
CRYPTO#1,544,744$-1,925Vol: $812,557
🌤️ WEATHER#72,435$0Vol: $16
💻 TECH#147,015$-0Vol: $11
🎭 CULTURE#181,369$1Vol: $3

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-104,796
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,999,699
Total Redeem
$2,583
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
9811
total markets
Trades
2019B / 413S
Daily Volume
$1,437
Account Age
240d
since Nov 4, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$-103
Vol: $57,830
Month
$-1,808
Vol: $123,014
All Time
$-104,796
Vol: $2,999,699

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
226W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$171,694
Win Rate
84%
253W / 47L
Profit Factor
4.92x
Avg Win
$569
Avg Loss
$-623

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $27,682 (24.1% of PnL)

Top Winners

LoL: KIA.eSuba Academy vs Meavedron (BO1) - Hitpoint Masters Grou$12,904
Dota 2: PlayTime vs Yakult Brothers.Tearlaments (BO3) - PGL Walla$7,431
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Nemiga (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #1$7,347
Raptors vs. Thunder$5,983
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - FISSURE Universe Epis$3,737
Nuggets vs. Bucks$3,183
Pelicans vs. Spurs$3,101
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajda$2,855
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff P$2,611
Valorant: T1 vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Pacific Kickoff Pla$2,162

Top Losers

Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO5) - BLAST Bounty P$-10,923
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Pla$-3,442
Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keys$-1,391
Huzhou: Xiyu Wang vs Polona Hercog$-1,361
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals$-1,209
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses - Map 1 Winner$-1,023
Raptors vs. Trail Blazers$-1,000
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs fnatic (BO3)$-800
XRP Up or Down - November 28, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET$-800
Dota 2: Heroic vs Natus Vincere (BO1)$-772

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.364
Sortino
2.351
HHI
82
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.439
Kelly %
65.2%
Half-Kelly
32.6%
Top-1 market
3.6%
Top-5 markets
12.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
11.7
Active
Markets / Day
2.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
40.6m
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.46
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.5

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 176s — typical for humanSize CV 2.46 — diverse, typical for human29% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.05 — human randomness12 trades/day — very active

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.8
Moderate DCA
<=1
198 entries
<=2
310 entries
<=5
447 entries
<=10
497 entries
<=20
520 entries
<=50
531 entries
>50
1 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.9%
Mid (20-55c)43.7%
High (>55c)50.3%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 78.1%

Other$113,888
San Francisco$700
Los Angeles$607
Seattle$388
Hong Kong$225
Madrid$0
Atlanta$0
Paris$0
London$0
Houston$0
Miami$-1,010

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
472

Single bracket

<=1
420 brackets
<=2
464 brackets
<=3
472 brackets
<=4
472 brackets
<=5
472 brackets
<=8
472 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
11/15/2025, 11:44:43 AM1 trades$6230 min
11/16/2025, 5:08:37 AM1 trades$1,1120 min
11/20/2025, 2:41:29 PM1 trades$1610 min
11/20/2025, 8:25:51 PM1 trades$3420 min
11/23/2025, 1:03:25 AM1 trades$2260 min
11/23/2025, 10:39:27 AM1 trades$1450 min
11/25/2025, 8:02:49 AM1 trades$3000 min
11/25/2025, 8:15:13 AM1 trades$5560 min
11/25/2025, 9:41:17 AM1 trades$3000 min
11/25/2025, 9:57:03 AM1 trades$1000 min
11/25/2025, 10:12:13 AM1 trades$1000 min
11/25/2025, 10:20:49 AM1 trades$1000 min
11/26/2025, 7:17:23 AM1 trades$1,0660 min
11/26/2025, 1:40:23 PM1 trades$4180 min
11/26/2025, 2:36:03 PM1 trades$5860 min
11/28/2025, 6:03:09 AM6 trades$8003 min
11/28/2025, 12:11:37 PM2 trades$4442 min
11/28/2025, 1:30:07 PM1 trades$7100 min
11/28/2025, 3:06:05 PM2 trades$8002 min
11/28/2025, 3:38:03 PM1 trades$1,0730 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-16
01-08
01-26
04-10
04-29
05-28
06-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
17% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.8/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event