Polydata

@Obvious-Dentist-Safari

#2,982,07817

0x38ce2bad14fd54a021ee90606b7d585f14081581

5d· 21 markets · 745 tradesVol: $334,0642026-07-07T01:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

17
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 38%4/20
Profit Factor 0.41x0/15
HHI 8878/10
Profit Days 50%5/10
DD/Peak 11562%0/10

Summary

Obvious-Dentist-Safari is a relatively new and highly active trader on Polymarket, having completed 745 trades across 21 markets within just 5 days. Despite the high volume of $334,064 traded, the trader currently holds a low global rank (#2982078) with a significant net loss of $52,489.68 and a portfolio value of $25,383.75. Their smart score of 17/100 indicates a beginner level, and the overall performance metrics, including a negative Sharpe ratio of -0.46 and profit factor of 0.35, reflect a challenging start.

The trader’s strategy appears to involve aggressive risk-taking, as evidenced by badges like High Roller and Whale, combined with a contrarian approach. Obvious-Dentist-Safari has a low win rate of 36.8% and very limited sell activity (1%), suggesting a preference for holding positions rather than cutting losses quickly. There is no engagement in weather markets, and the bot score of 45/100 implies a mix of manual and automated trading but not full automation. The downward equity trend and rapid trading within a short timeframe point to a high-risk, high-activity style that may lack consistent timing or risk controls.

Obvious-Dentist-Safari’s strengths lie in their willingness to trade frequently and hold positions, which can benefit from market reversals if timed well. However, the significant losses, low win rate, and poor risk-adjusted returns highlight major risks, including potential overexposure and insufficient risk management. The beginner status and declining portfolio value on Polymarket suggest that refining strategy and improving trade discipline are critical areas for improvement.

Badges

4
Contrarian
73% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
1% sell
Whale
$150,467
High Roller
$30,093/day

Categories

1
SPORTS#1,810,691$-52,490Vol: $334,064

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-52,490
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$334,064
Total Redeem
$82,474
Portfolio
$25,384
Predictions
21
total markets
Trades
740B / 5S
Daily Volume
$30,093
Account Age
5d
since Jul 2, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$2,100
Vol: $0
Week
$4,402
Vol: $129,620
Month
$-52,490
Vol: $334,064
All Time
$-52,490
Vol: $334,064

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
50%
8W / 8L events
Realized PnL
$-53,341
Win Rate
37%
7W / 12L
Profit Factor
0.35x
Avg Win
$3,717
Avg Loss
$-6,202

Top Winners

Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?$5,699
Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?$5,335
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?$5,091
Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance$5,043
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance$3,514
Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?$1,124
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?$211

Top Losers

Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance$-21,835
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advance$-12,000
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5$-10,604
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advance$-7,701
Switzerland vs. Algeria: Team to Advance$-6,936
Will Spain win on 2026-07-02?$-4,788
Spread: Brazil (-1.5)$-4,684
Spread: Brazil (-2.5)$-1,762
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance$-1,701
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?$-1,539

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.457
Sortino
-0.416
HHI
887
Moderate
EV per $1
$-2.434
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.5%
Top-5 markets
58.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
161.3
Very active
Markets / Day
4.5
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
4s
between trades
Avg Gap
13.2m
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.79
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
31
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
24.0

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
53% < 5s — fast clicker/botSize CV 5.79 — diverse, typical for human20% at night — different timezone?15/24 hours — normal hoursSession CV 1.28 — human randomness161 trades/day — automation

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
35.2
Heavy DCA
<=1
5 entries
<=2
5 entries
<=5
7 entries
<=10
11 entries
<=20
11 entries
<=50
17 entries
>50
4 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.9%
Mid (20-55c)69.6%
High (>55c)23.5%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 0.7%

Other$-48,413

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.3
Events covered
16

Single bracket

<=1
13 brackets
<=2
15 brackets
<=3
15 brackets
<=4
16 brackets
<=5
16 brackets
<=8
16 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
7/2/2026, 3:04:49 AM2 trades$20 min
7/2/2026, 11:49:17 AM19 trades$1,6873 min
7/2/2026, 4:22:50 PM76 trades$3,1005 min
7/2/2026, 7:24:53 PM7 trades$8794 min
7/3/2026, 12:27:31 AM28 trades$1,3262 min
7/3/2026, 12:38:22 AM10 trades$8,9570 min
7/3/2026, 1:16:05 AM10 trades$1,9911 min
7/3/2026, 1:28:53 AM4 trades$1,1570 min
7/3/2026, 1:41:44 AM21 trades$3,7873 min
7/3/2026, 11:44:05 AM231 trades$12,05820 min
7/3/2026, 12:15:23 PM2 trades$582 min
7/3/2026, 4:56:46 PM43 trades$7,3092 min
7/4/2026, 12:11:11 AM1 trades$18,9150 min
7/4/2026, 12:24:59 AM74 trades$1,7298 min
7/4/2026, 5:35:25 AM2 trades$3,9495 min
7/4/2026, 6:27:07 AM21 trades$3,7529 min
7/4/2026, 2:46:50 PM9 trades$1,5390 min
7/4/2026, 3:13:43 PM1 trades$12,6030 min
7/4/2026, 5:54:14 PM1 trades$6840 min
7/4/2026, 6:13:29 PM1 trades$140 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-02
07-03
07-04
07-05
07-06
07-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 35.2/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.3 br/event