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@Occasional-Track

#7,69058

0x7829c7b9203014a1a2fbe7e4cb529ddb4d75f979

107d· 10 markets · 143 tradesVol: $206,5592026-06-27T10:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

58
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 60%15/20
Profit Factor 1.91x14/15
EV $+1.35910/10
HHI 17624/10
Profit Days 50%5/10
DD/Peak 3%10/10

Summary

Occasional-Track is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, engaging in 143 trades across 10 different markets over a span of 7 days. Ranked #7690 globally by net PnL, this trader has generated a net profit of $18,507.56 on a total volume of $206,559. Their Smart Score of 58/100 suggests a good overall trading performance, supported by a profit factor of 5.89 and a win rate of 66.7%.

The trading style of Occasional-Track appears balanced, with nearly half of their positions sold, indicating an active approach to managing risk and locking in profits. They avoid weather-related markets entirely, instead focusing on a diverse set of other categories. The trader’s profile reflects a mix of manual and semi-automated strategies, given the Bot Score of 40/100, and they hold badges like Sniper and DCA Master, pointing to precision entries and disciplined averaging down. Their short trading window of just 7 days suggests a preference for relatively quick trades rather than long-term holds.

Occasional-Track’s key strengths include a solid win rate and a high profit factor, demonstrating effective risk-reward management on Polymarket. However, the absence of portfolio value and a Sharpe Ratio of zero limit the assessment of long-term stability and risk-adjusted returns. Additionally, the short activity period provides limited data to evaluate endurance through market volatility, which might present risks in sustaining future performance.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 60%
Profitable
PnL $+18,508
DCA Master
avg 7.5 entries/market
Whale
$63,191
High Roller
$9,027/day
Cool Head
DD 3%

Categories

2
SPORTS#2,445$19,518Vol: $171,864
CRYPTO#1,554,938$-1,011Vol: $34,695

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$18,508
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$206,559
Total Redeem
$4,381
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
10
total markets
Trades
75B / 68S
Daily Volume
$9,027
Account Age
107d
since Mar 23, 2026

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
60%
6W / 4L events
Realized PnL
$32,038
Win Rate
67%
6W / 3L
Profit Factor
5.89x
Avg Win
$6,420
Avg Loss
$-2,180

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $33,021 (103.3% of PnL)

Top Winners

Miami Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Jakub Mensik$12,903
Miami Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Victoria Mboko$10,116
Miami Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Coco Gauff$10,002
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$2,346
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$2,288
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$864

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$-4,199
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$-1,852
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$-489

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.000
Sortino
0.000
HHI
1762
Moderate
EV per $1
$1.359
Kelly %
32.7%
Half-Kelly
16.4%
Top-1 market
27.6%
Top-5 markets
86.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
143.0
Very active
Markets / Day
10.0
Active Hours
6/24
Normal
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
22s
between trades
Avg Gap
7.8m
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.55
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
12
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.9

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 22s — typical for humanSize CV 2.55 — diverse, typical for human1% at night — normal sleep pattern6/24 hours — normal hoursSession CV 1.05 — human randomness143 trades/day — automation10 markets/day — mass coverage

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.5
Active DCA
<=1
2 entries
<=2
6 entries
<=5
8 entries
<=10
8 entries
<=20
9 entries
<=50
10 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)93.3%
High (>55c)6.7%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 92.4%

Miami$33,021
Other$-1,042

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
10

Single bracket

<=1
10 brackets
<=2
10 brackets
<=3
10 brackets
<=4
10 brackets
<=5
10 brackets
<=8
10 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/23/2026, 4:08:19 PM44 trades$11,46815 min
3/23/2026, 7:04:29 PM48 trades$32,97214 min
3/23/2026, 7:30:51 PM14 trades$10,0740 min
3/23/2026, 8:49:25 PM3 trades$11,3991 min
3/23/2026, 8:55:23 PM1 trades$9,9910 min
3/23/2026, 9:45:29 PM1 trades$22,9770 min
3/23/2026, 10:17:53 PM2 trades$14,9761 min
3/23/2026, 10:24:41 PM17 trades$3,6921 min
3/23/2026, 10:31:05 PM5 trades$7,4653 min
3/23/2026, 10:39:29 PM4 trades$11,0921 min
3/23/2026, 10:48:45 PM3 trades$4,1990 min
3/24/2026, 2:07:05 AM1 trades$10 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-23
03-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.5/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event