Polydata

@Occasional-Track

#8,01558

0x7829c7b9203014a1a2fbe7e4cb529ddb4d75f979

107d· 10 markets · 143 tradesVol: $206,5592026-07-08T19:42
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

58
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 60%15/20
Profit Factor 1.91x14/15
EV $+1.35910/10
HHI 17704/10
Profit Days 50%5/10
DD/Peak 3%10/10

Summary

Occasional-Track is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, having completed 143 trades across 10 markets over just 7 days. With a net profit of $18,507.56, this trader ranks #8015 on the global PnL leaderboard, reflecting solid profitability in a short timeframe. Their Smart Score of 58 indicates a good level of trading skill, and a profit factor near 6 suggests strong returns relative to losses.

The trading style of Occasional-Track appears focused on selective, high-conviction bets, supported by a win rate of 66.7% and nearly balanced sell percentage at 48%. The presence of badges like Sniper and DCA Master implies a blend of precision entries and disciplined averaging strategies. Given the short active period and no weather market exposure, their risk profile seems moderate with rapid execution and minimal drawdown duration, though the Sharpe ratio of zero suggests limited data for volatility assessment.

Occasional-Track’s key strengths lie in efficient risk management and a high profit factor, which enable consistent gains in a brief trading window. However, the limited days active and zero portfolio value raise questions about longer-term sustainability and capital allocation. Their semi-automated trading approach, indicated by a Bot Score of 40, could offer advantages in speed but also exposes them to potential system or timing risks. Overall, Occasional-Track shows promise but warrants further observation on Polymarket.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 60%
Profitable
PnL $+18,508
DCA Master
avg 7.5 entries/market
Whale
$62,997
High Roller
$9,000/day
Cool Head
DD 3%

Categories

2
SPORTS#2,696$19,518Vol: $171,864
CRYPTO#1,577,958$-1,011Vol: $34,695

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$18,508
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$206,559
Total Redeem
$4,381
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
10
total markets
Trades
75B / 68S
Daily Volume
$9,000
Account Age
107d
since Mar 23, 2026

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
60%
6W / 4L events
Realized PnL
$32,038
Win Rate
67%
6W / 3L
Profit Factor
5.99x
Avg Win
$6,436
Avg Loss
$-2,148

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $33,021 (102.6% of PnL)

Top Winners

Miami Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Jakub Mensik$12,903
Miami Open: Mirra Andreeva vs Victoria Mboko$10,116
Miami Open: Sorana Cirstea vs Coco Gauff$10,002
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$2,395
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$2,321
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$879

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET$-4,136
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$-1,822
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$-484

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.000
Sortino
0.000
HHI
1770
Moderate
EV per $1
$1.359
Kelly %
32.9%
Half-Kelly
16.4%
Top-1 market
27.7%
Top-5 markets
86.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
143.0
Very active
Markets / Day
10.0
Active Hours
6/24
Normal
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
22s
between trades
Avg Gap
7.8m
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.55
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
12
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.9

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 22s — typical for humanSize CV 2.55 — diverse, typical for human1% at night — normal sleep pattern6/24 hours — normal hoursSession CV 1.05 — human randomness143 trades/day — automation10 markets/day — mass coverage

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.5
Active DCA
<=1
2 entries
<=2
6 entries
<=5
8 entries
<=10
8 entries
<=20
9 entries
<=50
10 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)93.3%
High (>55c)6.7%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 92.4%

Miami$33,021
Other$-848

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
10

Single bracket

<=1
10 brackets
<=2
10 brackets
<=3
10 brackets
<=4
10 brackets
<=5
10 brackets
<=8
10 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/23/2026, 4:08:19 PM44 trades$11,46815 min
3/23/2026, 7:04:29 PM48 trades$32,97214 min
3/23/2026, 7:30:51 PM14 trades$10,0740 min
3/23/2026, 8:49:25 PM3 trades$11,3991 min
3/23/2026, 8:55:23 PM1 trades$9,9910 min
3/23/2026, 9:45:29 PM1 trades$22,9770 min
3/23/2026, 10:17:53 PM2 trades$14,9601 min
3/23/2026, 10:24:41 PM17 trades$3,6621 min
3/23/2026, 10:31:05 PM5 trades$7,4113 min
3/23/2026, 10:39:29 PM4 trades$11,0591 min
3/23/2026, 10:48:45 PM3 trades$4,1360 min
3/24/2026, 2:07:05 AM1 trades$10 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-23
03-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.5/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event