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Ornery-Swordfight

@Ornery-Swordfight

#9,93234

0x15ac9d4fb9c30fca4fec2fdecde3fdace721f3ba

223d· 8928 markets · 2785 tradesVol: $3,499,2762026-06-26T12:48
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

34
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 99%20/20
Profit Factor 0.30x0/15
HHI 4710/10
Profit Days 46%4/10
DD/Peak 7603%0/10

Summary

Ornery-Swordfight is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 2,785 trades across 1,087 markets over 207 days. They hold a net profit and loss (PnL) of $14,035.66, placing them at rank #9932 on the global PnL leaderboard. Despite a high win rate of 86.1%, the trader’s profit factor of 0.30 and a below-average Smart Score of 34 suggest their profitability relative to risk and volume is limited.

The trader appears to favor a high-volume, high-frequency approach with a preference for rapid entries and exits, as indicated by their low sell percentage of 13% and likely human trading style. Ornery-Swordfight’s portfolio shows an upward equity trend, but the negative Sharpe ratio (-0.35) and low profit factor imply a riskier profile with inconsistent returns. They do not engage in weather markets, focusing instead on other categories where they maintain a steady win streak.

Ornery-Swordfight’s strengths lie in their ability to consistently win trades and sustain an upward equity trend despite volatility. However, the negative risk-adjusted returns and low profit factor highlight potential concerns about capital efficiency and exposure to drawdowns. Their profile suggests a trader who can capitalize on short-term opportunities but may face challenges scaling profits sustainably on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

5
Sniper
Win Rate 99%
Profitable
PnL $+14,036
Win Streak
302 wins in a row
Whale
$298,063
High Roller
$1,440/day

Categories

3
SPORTS#3,353$14,230Vol: $3,421,198
CRYPTO#1,394,749$-88Vol: $32,248
🏛️ POLITICS#816,694$-1Vol: $10

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$14,036
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,499,276
Total Redeem
$159,461
Portfolio
$122
Predictions
8928
total markets
Trades
2414B / 371S
Daily Volume
$1,440
Account Age
223d
since Nov 22, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$24
Vol: $1,944
Week
$893
Vol: $35,421
Month
$-10,985
Vol: $668,111
All Time
$14,036
Vol: $3,499,276

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
213W / 1L events
Realized PnL
$48,057
Win Rate
86%
911W / 147L
Profit Factor
0.3x
Avg Win
$36
Avg Loss
$-733

Top Winners

Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 8.5 Total Corners$1,004
CF Pachuca vs. Atlas FC: O/U 2.5$980
HSBC Championships: Ignacio Buse vs Marcos Giron$721
Nottingham 2: Felix Gill vs Hugo Gaston$707
Parma: Roberto Carballes Baena vs Stefano Travaglia$707
Dart/Lumsden vs. Sutjiadi/Tjen: Set 2 Games O/U 10.5$707
Set 2 Winner: Dart/Lumsden vs Sutjiadi/Tjen$707
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series$624
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Zizou Bergs$604
Exact Score: IR Iran 3 - 2 New Zealand?$506

Top Losers

Tyler: Timo Legout vs Andres Andrade$-2,051
Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 220.5$-1,980
Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 233.5$-1,980
Celtics vs. Grizzlies: O/U 228.5$-1,980
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5$-1,980
Thunder vs. Magic: O/U 218.5$-1,980
Spurs vs. Kings: O/U 234.5$-1,980
Rockets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 227.5$-1,980
Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 232.5$-1,980
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinals: O/U 159.5$-1,979

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.355
Sortino
-0.336
HHI
47
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.267
Kelly %
22.9%
Half-Kelly
11.4%
Top-1 market
3.9%
Top-5 markets
8.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
14.0
Active
Markets / Day
5.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
46s
between trades
Avg Gap
38.4m
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.67
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.3

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 46s — typical for humanSize CV 1.67 — diverse, typical for human28% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.06 — human randomness14 trades/day — very active

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.2
Moderate DCA
<=1
645 entries
<=2
882 entries
<=5
1032 entries
<=10
1073 entries
<=20
1080 entries
<=50
1083 entries
>50
2 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.7%
Mid (20-55c)13%
High (>55c)83.3%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 78.5%

Milan$206
Shanghai$157
Paris$140
Seoul$140
Atlanta$114
São Paulo$99
Wellington$67
London$13
Los Angeles$-73
Seattle$-100
Madrid$-183
Beijing$-287
Dallas$-293
Toronto$-990
Chicago$-1,908
Miami$-4,920
Other$-67,475

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
2
Events covered
549

Moderate coverage

<=1
373 brackets
<=2
466 brackets
<=3
493 brackets
<=4
510 brackets
<=5
517 brackets
<=8
529 brackets
>8
20 brackets

Sessions

#12
12/9/2025, 9:14:26 PM2 trades$3241 min
12/12/2025, 9:23:43 PM2 trades$4532 min
12/13/2025, 7:17:21 PM7 trades$8413 min
12/13/2025, 9:19:25 PM2 trades$3462 min
12/13/2025, 9:49:33 PM2 trades$3481 min
12/14/2025, 12:49:49 PM1 trades$1400 min
12/14/2025, 12:59:01 PM1 trades$1400 min
12/14/2025, 1:09:31 PM2 trades$2911 min
12/19/2025, 9:09:01 PM4 trades$4371 min
12/19/2025, 10:09:01 PM3 trades$4000 min
12/20/2025, 4:40:53 PM3 trades$1921 min
12/20/2025, 4:49:01 PM4 trades$3532 min
12/20/2025, 6:57:07 PM3 trades$1952 min
12/20/2025, 7:13:47 PM2 trades$1890 min
12/20/2025, 7:21:51 PM3 trades$1931 min
12/20/2025, 7:39:43 PM7 trades$6485 min
12/20/2025, 9:26:03 PM2 trades$1580 min
12/20/2025, 9:41:01 PM1 trades$10 min
12/20/2025, 9:52:07 PM1 trades$500 min
12/21/2025, 12:46:43 PM5 trades$3271 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-09
01-19
02-25
03-26
04-27
06-01
06-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
13.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.2/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 2 br/event