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@Oval-Webpage

#107,28398

0xeb95f36dc9bbfce0c294ab9f97c8e1cbb79b8929

30d· 441 markets · 565 tradesVol: $6,2742026-05-13T21:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

98
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 79%20/20
Profit Factor 99.00x15/15
Sharpe 0.72013/15
Sortino 3.05810/10
EV $+0.46410/10
HHI 3010/10
Profit Days 67%9/10
DD/Peak 11%10/10

Summary

Oval-Webpage is an active trader on Polymarket with 565 trades executed over 24 days, placing them at rank #107283 on the global profit and loss leaderboard. Despite a modest net PnL of $445.62 and a total volume of $6,274, Oval-Webpage has maintained a perfect 100% win rate and holds an elite Smart Score of 98/100. Their Sharpe ratio of 0.72 indicates moderate risk-adjusted returns, while their portfolio value currently stands at zero, suggesting realized profits rather than open positions.

This trader prefers a highly consistent trading style with a focus on precision, as reflected by badges such as Sniper and Consistent. Oval-Webpage does not engage in weather markets and has never sold positions, indicating a buy-and-hold approach or fully realized trades. The semi-bot score of 65/100 suggests a hybrid manual and automated strategy, which may contribute to their ability to capture quick wins and maintain a winning streak. Their activity spans 441 different markets, showing a broad diversification in their trading universe.

Oval-Webpage’s main strengths lie in their impeccable win rate and steady upward equity trend, showcasing disciplined risk management and execution. However, the profit factor of 0.00 and lack of sell activity may point to underutilization of potential profit-taking strategies or limited exposure to high-risk, high-reward opportunities. Their approach appears low-risk but could face challenges if market conditions shift rapidly, especially given the absence of drawdown duration and a relatively moderate Sharpe ratio. Overall, Oval-Webpage demonstrates consistent performance with a cautious trading style on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 79%
Profitable
PnL $+446
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Win Streak
331 wins in a row
Consistent
12/18 days
Cool Head
DD 11%

Categories

1
CRYPTO#40,768$446Vol: $6,274

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$446
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,274
Total Redeem
$4,578
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
441
total markets
Trades
565B / 0S
Daily Volume
$169
Account Age
30d
since Apr 18, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$122
Vol: $1,134
Week
$130
Vol: $1,861
Month
$345
Vol: $4,863
All Time
$446
Vol: $6,274

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
79%
250W / 68L events
Realized PnL
$1,329
Win Rate
100%
331W / 0L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $79 (5.4% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$21
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET$14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$12

Top Losers

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.720
Sortino
3.058
HHI
30
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.464
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.5%
Top-5 markets
2.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
23.4
Active
Markets / Day
18.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
19.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
54.0m
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.71
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.4

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

8 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 1186s — typical for humanSize CV 0.71 — diverse, typical for human26% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.21 — human randomness23 trades/day — suspiciously high18 markets/day — mass coverage318 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.3
Single entry
<=1
368 entries
<=2
407 entries
<=5
440 entries
<=10
441 entries
<=20
441 entries
<=50
441 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.8%
Mid (20-55c)15.9%
High (>55c)82.3%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 51.4%

Other$1,449

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
441

Single bracket

<=1
441 brackets
<=2
441 brackets
<=3
441 brackets
<=4
441 brackets
<=5
441 brackets
<=8
441 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/19/2026, 6:02:16 PM1 trades$10 min
4/25/2026, 1:59:42 AM1 trades$20 min
4/25/2026, 4:00:02 AM1 trades$10 min
4/25/2026, 6:04:46 AM1 trades$40 min
4/25/2026, 7:19:34 AM1 trades$30 min
4/25/2026, 7:29:58 AM1 trades$20 min
4/25/2026, 8:09:34 AM1 trades$50 min
4/25/2026, 11:34:52 AM1 trades$50 min
4/25/2026, 11:54:38 AM1 trades$50 min
4/25/2026, 3:59:42 PM1 trades$60 min
4/25/2026, 4:34:34 PM1 trades$60 min
4/25/2026, 6:15:08 PM1 trades$50 min
4/25/2026, 6:24:38 PM1 trades$70 min
4/25/2026, 6:49:38 PM2 trades$115 min
4/25/2026, 6:59:48 PM1 trades$70 min
4/25/2026, 7:05:10 PM4 trades$70 min
4/25/2026, 8:45:10 PM1 trades$70 min
4/25/2026, 9:09:58 PM1 trades$70 min
4/25/2026, 9:30:14 PM3 trades$1610 min
4/25/2026, 10:00:06 PM2 trades$135 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-25
04-29
05-02
05-05
05-08
05-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.3/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event