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@Oval-Webpage

#137,94788

0xeb95f36dc9bbfce0c294ab9f97c8e1cbb79b8929

80d· 481 markets · 623 tradesVol: $7,8972026-06-30T01:31
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

88
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 77%20/20
Profit Factor 99.00x15/15
Sharpe 0.4368/15
Sortino 0.6416/10
EV $+0.39710/10
HHI 3710/10
Profit Days 63%8/10
DD/Peak 19%10/10

Summary

Oval-Webpage is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 623 trades executed over 25 days, ranking #137947 globally by net PnL. The trader has generated a net profit of $305.87 on a total volume of $7,897, maintaining an elite Smart Score of 88/100. Despite the positive net PnL, Oval-Webpage’s portfolio value currently stands at zero, and the Sharpe ratio is a modest 0.44, indicating moderate risk-adjusted returns.

The trading style of Oval-Webpage appears cautious and consistent, with a perfect win rate of 100% across 476 markets, though the profit factor is 0.00, which is unusual and may indicate small or no realized gains per trade. The trader avoids weather markets entirely and has not executed any sell transactions, suggesting a buy-and-hold approach aligned with the “Diamond Hands” badge. The equity trend is flat, showing no significant growth or decline, and the max drawdown duration is zero days, reflecting minimal risk exposure. The semi-bot score of 65/100 indicates a hybrid approach combining automated and manual strategies.

Oval-Webpage’s key strength lies in consistent winning trades and disciplined risk management, as reflected in the sniper and consistent badges. However, the lack of sell trades and flat equity trend could signal limited profit-taking or portfolio growth potential. Additionally, the low Sharpe ratio and zero profit factor warrant caution, as the trader’s returns may not compensate adequately for risk on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 77%
Profitable
PnL $+306
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Win Streak
359 wins in a row
Consistent
12/19 days
Cool Head
DD 19%

Categories

1
CRYPTO#51,568$306Vol: $7,897

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$306
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$7,897
Total Redeem
$5,702
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
481
total markets
Trades
623B / 0S
Daily Volume
$211
Account Age
80d
since Apr 18, 2026

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
77%
250W / 75L events
Realized PnL
$1,429
Win Rate
100%
359W / 0L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $79 (4.9% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$21
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET$14

Top Losers

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.436
Sortino
0.641
HHI
37
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.397
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.7%
Top-5 markets
6.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
24.9
Active
Markets / Day
19.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
17.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
52.2m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.98
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.4

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

8 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 1052s — typical for humanSize CV 0.98 — diverse, typical for human25% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.94 — human randomness25 trades/day — suspiciously high19 markets/day — mass coverage325 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.3
Single entry
<=1
393 entries
<=2
437 entries
<=5
474 entries
<=10
476 entries
<=20
476 entries
<=50
476 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.4%
Mid (20-55c)14.6%
High (>55c)83.9%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 46.4%

Other$1,608

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
475

Single bracket

<=1
475 brackets
<=2
475 brackets
<=3
475 brackets
<=4
475 brackets
<=5
475 brackets
<=8
475 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/19/2026, 6:02:16 PM1 trades$10 min
4/25/2026, 1:59:42 AM1 trades$20 min
4/25/2026, 4:00:02 AM1 trades$10 min
4/25/2026, 6:04:46 AM1 trades$40 min
4/25/2026, 7:19:34 AM1 trades$30 min
4/25/2026, 7:29:58 AM1 trades$20 min
4/25/2026, 8:09:34 AM1 trades$50 min
4/25/2026, 11:34:52 AM1 trades$50 min
4/25/2026, 11:54:38 AM1 trades$50 min
4/25/2026, 3:59:42 PM1 trades$60 min
4/25/2026, 4:34:34 PM1 trades$60 min
4/25/2026, 6:15:08 PM1 trades$50 min
4/25/2026, 6:24:38 PM1 trades$70 min
4/25/2026, 6:49:38 PM2 trades$115 min
4/25/2026, 6:59:48 PM1 trades$70 min
4/25/2026, 7:05:10 PM4 trades$70 min
4/25/2026, 8:45:10 PM1 trades$70 min
4/25/2026, 9:09:58 PM1 trades$70 min
4/25/2026, 9:30:14 PM3 trades$1610 min
4/25/2026, 10:00:06 PM2 trades$135 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-25
04-29
05-02
05-05
05-08
05-11
05-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.3/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event