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@Overdue-Paranoia

#11,05385

0x4b305b37c8204dbbee20ee70692a3f6778f62359

81d· 8 markets · 211 tradesVol: $348,3082026-07-18T23:11
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

85
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 88%20/20
Profit Factor 13.62x15/15
Sharpe 0.55910/15
Sortino 1906548.75010/10
EV $+2185.40710/10
HHI 25120/10
Profit Days 86%10/10
DD/Peak 7%10/10

Summary

Overdue-Paranoia is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 211 trades executed over 46 days. Ranked #11053 on the global PnL leaderboard, they have achieved a net profit of $13,345.84 from a total trading volume of $348,308. Their smart score of 85 indicates strong trading performance, while their win rate stands at a perfect 100%, reflecting consistent success across eight different markets.

This trader prefers a manual, human-driven approach, as indicated by a bot score of zero, and does not engage in weather markets. Overdue-Paranoia’s trading style appears to be cautious but profitable, with a moderate Sharpe ratio of 0.56 and a max drawdown duration of zero days, suggesting effective risk management. They tend to sell more than half their positions (56%), possibly indicating a strategy focused on locking in profits rather than holding long-term, and their badges, including Sniper and DCA Master, imply precision and disciplined entry points.

The key strengths of Overdue-Paranoia lie in their flawless win rate and steady upward equity trend, which highlight strong timing and market selection skills. However, the profit factor of 0.00 is unusual and may warrant further examination to fully understand risk-reward dynamics. Overall, Overdue-Paranoia shows promising consistency on Polymarket but could be vulnerable if market conditions shift or if the zero profit factor reflects data anomalies.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 88%
Profitable
PnL $+13,346
DCA Master
avg 11.5 entries/market
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
Whale
$145,360
Consistent
6/7 days
High Roller
$3,160/day
Cool Head
DD 7%

Categories

1
🏛️ POLITICS#2,989$13,346Vol: $348,308

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$13,346
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$348,308
Total Redeem
$36,616
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
8
total markets
Trades
92B / 119S
Daily Volume
$3,160
Account Age
81d
since May 4, 2026

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
4W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$13,352
Win Rate
100%
7W / 0L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$2,224
Avg Loss
$0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $14,023 (90.1% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$9,037
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$2,593
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$2,393
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 28?$756
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?$742
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$37
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$8

Top Losers

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.559
Sortino
inf
HHI
2512
Concentrated
EV per $1
$2185.407
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
41.1%
Top-5 markets
94.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
40s
between trades
Avg Gap
24.9m
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.25
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
49
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.3

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 40s — typical for humanSize CV 1.25 — diverse, typical for human12% at night — normal sleep pattern15/24 hours — normal hoursSession CV 0.90 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11.5
Heavy DCA
<=1
1 entries
<=2
2 entries
<=5
3 entries
<=10
3 entries
<=20
7 entries
<=50
8 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.2%
Mid (20-55c)3.3%
High (>55c)94.6%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 1.7%

Other$15,566

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
2
Events covered
4

Moderate coverage

<=1
2 brackets
<=2
2 brackets
<=3
4 brackets
<=4
4 brackets
<=5
4 brackets
<=8
4 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
5/4/2026, 4:19:28 PM1 trades$2,4990 min
5/18/2026, 7:08:45 PM1 trades$2,5360 min
5/20/2026, 3:42:56 PM2 trades$2,5351 min
5/20/2026, 4:17:09 PM1 trades$9930 min
5/20/2026, 4:23:20 PM1 trades$1,0000 min
5/20/2026, 5:27:23 PM2 trades$2,9562 min
5/20/2026, 6:09:56 PM1 trades$2,5000 min
5/21/2026, 5:12:38 PM1 trades$3,0000 min
5/21/2026, 6:16:53 PM1 trades$2,0010 min
5/21/2026, 6:24:55 PM2 trades$2,0341 min
5/21/2026, 8:51:41 PM1 trades$6,7000 min
5/22/2026, 1:46:07 PM1 trades$2,1000 min
5/24/2026, 1:40:28 PM2 trades$1070 min
5/24/2026, 1:47:18 PM1 trades$3,3630 min
5/28/2026, 1:54:21 PM18 trades$19,70011 min
5/28/2026, 3:16:53 PM30 trades$40,57512 min
5/28/2026, 4:19:23 PM2 trades$7,5601 min
5/28/2026, 7:20:06 PM6 trades$11,2692 min
5/28/2026, 7:31:22 PM19 trades$27,00413 min
5/28/2026, 7:59:08 PM2 trades$4,1201 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-15
05-28
05-29
05-31
06-07
06-15
06-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
56.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.5/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 2 br/event