Polydata
Paltry-Exhibit

@Paltry-Exhibit

#15,10310

0x073a1caba3c22e9e361ceae83aaa5405706f91e7

1178d· 141 markets · 4036 tradesVol: $4,057,1462026-06-07T10:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 31%0/20
Profit Factor 0.77x0/15
HHI 19510/10
Profit Days 19%0/10

Summary

Paltry-Exhibit is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with over 4,000 trades executed across 141 markets over 1,219 days. Ranked #15,103 on the global PnL leaderboard, they have generated a net profit of $8,464.33 from a total trading volume exceeding $4 million. Despite a low Smart Score of 10 out of 100, indicating a beginner status, their portfolio value currently stands at $50,548.17 with an upward equity trend.

This trader demonstrates a high-risk, high-volume approach characterized by a low win rate of 23.7% and a profit factor below 1 at 0.77, suggesting that losses outweigh gains on average. Paltry-Exhibit rarely sells positions early, as indicated by a sell percentage of only 9%, and does not engage in weather markets. Their trading style appears to be contrarian and long-term oriented, supported by badges like “Contrarian” and “Diamond Hands,” implying a preference for holding positions despite volatility.

Paltry-Exhibit’s strengths lie in their ability to maintain a growing portfolio and execute large volumes consistently, which may benefit from volatility and market inefficiencies. However, the negative Sharpe ratio (-0.06) and low profit factor highlight potential risks related to poor risk-adjusted returns and frequent losses. Their beginner status and modest Smart Score suggest room for refining strategy to improve overall performance on Polymarket.

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+8,464
Lottery Player
69% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
86% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
9% sell
Whale
$767,243

Categories

8
SPORTS#1,697,261$-26,412Vol: $2,455,549
🏛️ POLITICS#1,579,143$-48,178Vol: $668,100
🎭 CULTURE#3,484$1,605Vol: $388,951
CRYPTO#387$82,498Vol: $332,255
💰 FINANCE#7,485$397Vol: $35,544
🌤️ WEATHER#274,487$-1,054Vol: $34,840
📈 ECONOMICS#637,858$-166Vol: $7,200
📢 MENTIONS#1,213$1,023Vol: $4,626

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$8,464
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,057,146
Total Redeem
$15,570
Portfolio
$50,548
Predictions
141
total markets
Trades
3679B / 357S
Daily Volume
$629
Account Age
1178d
since Mar 17, 2023

Periods

#2
Today
$2,628
Vol: $0
Week
$-2,929
Vol: $0
Month
$-2,929
Vol: $66,000
All Time
$8,464
Vol: $4,057,146

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
32%
31W / 65L events
Realized PnL
$3,746
Win Rate
24%
32W / 94L
Profit Factor
0.77x
Avg Win
$2,730
Avg Loss
$-1,213

Top Winners

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$38,801
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?$20,533
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tide$6,226
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-22?$4,534
Warriors vs. Kings$3,521
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-22?$2,614
$ARB above $1 one week after launch?$1,423
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$1,381
Will the 2026 State of the Union address last 100 minutes or long$1,359
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverines$1,262

Top Losers

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$-19,469
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?$-8,710
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-16?$-7,200
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$-6,735
UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruins$-6,221
Lakers vs. Warriors$-5,976
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?$-4,887
Suns vs. Lakers$-3,980
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angels$-3,651
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?$-3,043

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.065
Sortino
-0.119
HHI
195
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.037
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.4%
Top-5 markets
19.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
28s
between trades
Avg Gap
24.7m
between trades
Night Trading
31%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.32
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.2

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 28s — typical for humanSize CV 6.32 — diverse, typical for human31% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.34 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
26.1
Heavy DCA
<=1
53 entries
<=2
72 entries
<=5
90 entries
<=10
107 entries
<=20
119 entries
<=50
129 entries
>50
12 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)69.1%
Mid (20-55c)22.9%
High (>55c)8%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 82.3%

Miami$4,534
Paris$310
Seattle$33
Toronto$0
Houston$-300
Madrid$-357
Los Angeles$-3,651
Other$-27,219

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.2
Events covered
119

Single bracket

<=1
101 brackets
<=2
117 brackets
<=3
117 brackets
<=4
119 brackets
<=5
119 brackets
<=8
119 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/17/2023, 5:27:58 AM1 trades$2,7500 min
3/18/2023, 2:55:34 AM1 trades$6000 min
3/20/2023, 9:25:12 PM1 trades$8000 min
3/27/2023, 3:05:41 PM1 trades$5,5730 min
7/2/2023, 4:56:03 AM1 trades$6000 min
7/2/2023, 5:02:11 AM1 trades$6000 min
7/2/2023, 11:40:53 AM1 trades$00 min
7/2/2023, 12:59:20 PM1 trades$00 min
7/2/2023, 3:40:30 PM1 trades$00 min
7/2/2023, 11:59:35 PM1 trades$00 min
7/3/2023, 5:28:01 AM1 trades$1460 min
7/3/2023, 6:16:31 AM1 trades$00 min
7/3/2023, 2:46:17 PM1 trades$750 min
7/3/2023, 7:22:28 PM1 trades$00 min
7/3/2023, 7:32:12 PM1 trades$00 min
7/3/2023, 8:26:29 PM1 trades$750 min
7/3/2023, 8:42:28 PM1 trades$30 min
7/10/2023, 8:19:03 AM1 trades$2200 min
7/14/2023, 4:49:51 AM1 trades$1360 min
7/29/2023, 9:34:03 PM1 trades$1640 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
12-31
03-19
04-05
04-15
04-30
06-07
12-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
8.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 26.1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.2 br/event