Polydata
Paltry-Exhibit

@Paltry-Exhibit

#19,27714

0x073a1caba3c22e9e361ceae83aaa5405706f91e7

1231d· 167 markets · 4576 tradesVol: $4,717,8982026-07-30T07:04
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

14
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 30%0/20
Profit Factor 1.04x3/15
Sharpe 0.0120/15
Sortino 0.0240/10
EV $+0.0050/10
HHI 15610/10
Profit Days 27%0/10
DD/Peak 1213%0/10

Summary

Paltry-Exhibit is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, ranked #19277 globally with a net profit of $7,037.19. Over 1,221 days, they executed 4,576 trades across 166 markets, accumulating a total volume of $4.7 million. Despite a low smart score of 14/100, indicating a beginner status, Paltry-Exhibit has maintained an upward equity trend and a portfolio valued at $37,441.16.

The trader exhibits a contrarian and lottery-style approach, favoring high-risk, high-reward scenarios rather than steady gains. With a win rate of 25.3% and a profit factor just above 1 (1.04), Paltry-Exhibit’s strategy leans toward taking significant risks in diverse markets, though they have not engaged in weather markets. A low sell percentage of 12% suggests a preference for holding positions. The Sharpe ratio of 0.01 reflects minimal risk-adjusted returns, and trading activity suggests a predominantly human-driven, fast interface style.

Paltry-Exhibit’s strengths lie in their ability to generate profits with a growing equity curve despite a low win rate, demonstrating resilience and potential for large payoffs. However, the minimal Sharpe ratio and low smart score highlight risks related to inconsistent performance and beginner-level strategy execution. Traders observing Paltry-Exhibit on Polymarket should note the potential for volatile results and the importance of monitoring drawdowns and timing.

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+7,037
Lottery Player
63% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
81% entries <$0.50
Whale
$891,201

Categories

8
SPORTS#1,868,666$-4,183Vol: $3,050,371
🏛️ POLITICS#1,637,731$-47,018Vol: $699,100
🎭 CULTURE#815,216$-22,362Vol: $388,952
CRYPTO#432$82,498Vol: $332,255
💰 FINANCE#8,047$397Vol: $35,544
🌤️ WEATHER#297,254$-1,904Vol: $34,840
📈 ECONOMICS#664,631$-166Vol: $7,220
📢 MENTIONS#1,235$1,023Vol: $4,626

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$7,037
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,717,898
Total Redeem
$78,412
Portfolio
$37,441
Predictions
167
total markets
Trades
4029B / 547S
Daily Volume
$730
Account Age
1231d
since Mar 17, 2023

Periods

#2
Today
$39
Vol: $0
Week
$-1,428
Vol: $12,365
Month
$11,147
Vol: $346,621
All Time
$7,037
Vol: $4,717,898

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
32%
35W / 76L events
Realized PnL
$40,779
Win Rate
25%
38W / 102L
Profit Factor
1.04x
Avg Win
$3,141
Avg Loss
$-1,127

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $78,083 (1770.5% of PnL)

Top Winners

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$38,801
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?$20,533
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$18,749
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tide$6,226
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5,111
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-22?$4,590
Warriors vs. Kings$3,521
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3,211
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-22?$2,667
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$2,464

Top Losers

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$-19,469
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?$-8,710
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-16?$-7,200
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$-6,735
UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruins$-6,221
Lakers vs. Warriors$-5,976
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?$-4,887
Suns vs. Lakers$-3,980
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angels$-3,651
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?$-3,043

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.012
Sortino
0.024
HHI
156
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.005
Kelly %
5.6%
Half-Kelly
2.8%
Top-1 market
3.8%
Top-5 markets
16.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
28s
between trades
Avg Gap
25.1m
between trades
Night Trading
33%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.89
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.4

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 28s — typical for humanSize CV 5.89 — diverse, typical for human33% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.32 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
24.4
Heavy DCA
<=1
63 entries
<=2
86 entries
<=5
106 entries
<=10
126 entries
<=20
138 entries
<=50
151 entries
>50
14 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)63.2%
Mid (20-55c)23.1%
High (>55c)13.7%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 81.8%

Miami$4,590
Other$3,785
Paris$310
Seattle$33
Toronto$0
Houston$-300
Madrid$-357
Los Angeles$-3,651

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.2
Events covered
134

Single bracket

<=1
113 brackets
<=2
131 brackets
<=3
132 brackets
<=4
134 brackets
<=5
134 brackets
<=8
134 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
7/31/2023, 6:19:42 AM1 trades$1,2000 min
7/31/2023, 4:46:43 PM1 trades$980 min
8/3/2023, 2:16:45 AM1 trades$640 min
8/10/2023, 1:22:43 AM2 trades$573 min
8/10/2023, 5:25:04 PM1 trades$00 min
9/8/2023, 10:20:52 PM3 trades$5934 min
4/28/2024, 6:20:01 AM1 trades$7390 min
7/2/2024, 12:16:47 AM1 trades$7610 min
7/2/2024, 12:24:59 AM1 trades$7610 min
8/23/2024, 2:29:26 AM2 trades$1,6471 min
9/4/2024, 5:30:57 AM1 trades$3,4690 min
9/10/2024, 11:10:52 PM3 trades$2,6034 min
9/11/2024, 5:34:58 AM1 trades$1,5440 min
9/15/2024, 3:23:42 AM1 trades$5900 min
9/15/2024, 3:34:31 AM1 trades$490 min
9/15/2024, 6:13:27 AM1 trades$820 min
9/16/2024, 5:00:35 PM1 trades$2620 min
9/17/2024, 4:54:02 PM1 trades$670 min
9/18/2024, 5:10:54 PM1 trades$1250 min
9/19/2024, 10:01:50 PM2 trades$2,7513 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
04-29
03-21
04-09
04-25
06-25
01-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
12% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 24.4/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.2 br/event