Polydata
Data is 21 days old — refreshing in background...
Parallel-Steamroller

@Parallel-Steamroller

#33478

0x5188fa0e8a77e87bc6a58e6781fdfc4e165cc804

395d· 1228 markets · 16502 tradesVol: $48,120,7802026-06-27T15:39
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

78
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 52%11/20
Profit Factor 3.30x15/15
Sharpe 0.2875/15
Sortino 1.18410/10
EV $+1.81210/10
HHI 30510/10
Profit Days 56%7/10
DD/Peak 5%10/10

Summary

Parallel-Steamroller is a highly active trader on Polymarket, holding the rank of #334 on the global PnL leaderboard. With over 16,500 trades across 415 markets and a net profit of approximately $538,000, this trader demonstrates considerable experience and success. Their Smart Score of 78/100 indicates a very good overall performance, supported by a strong win rate of 86.2% and a profit factor close to 2. Having been active for 519 days, Parallel-Steamroller maintains a portfolio valued at around $81,800, with a consistent upward equity trend.

The trading style of Parallel-Steamroller appears to blend manual and automated approaches, reflected in a semi-bot score of 55/100. They focus on varied markets but notably avoid weather-related trades. Their risk profile is moderate, evidenced by a Sharpe ratio of 0.29 and a max drawdown duration of zero days, suggesting disciplined risk management and quick recovery. The 35% sell rate and badges like "Contrarian" and "DCA Master" imply a strategic use of dollar-cost averaging and counter-trend entries, often capitalizing on market inefficiencies. Timing seems consistent, given the steady increase in equity over time.

Parallel-Steamroller’s key strengths lie in their high win rate, disciplined risk controls, and diversified market exposure on Polymarket. The combination of manual insight and automation likely contributes to their resilience and adaptability. However, the relatively low Sharpe ratio indicates moderate returns relative to volatility, and the absence of weather market trades might limit diversification. Additionally, the semi-bot strategy introduces some risk of system errors or inefficiencies, which traders should consider when evaluating Parallel-Steamroller’s overall approach.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+538,474
Lottery Player
73% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
85% entries <$0.50
DCA Master
avg 25.9 entries/market
Win Streak
25 wins in a row
Whale
$3,282,215
High Roller
$6,324/day
Cool Head
DD 5%

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#103$465,685Vol: $32,160,270
📈 ECONOMICS#1,280$3,214Vol: $5,523,644
🎭 CULTURE#319$23,599Vol: $3,841,705
CRYPTO#1,676$24,396Vol: $2,123,817
📢 MENTIONS#537$3,004Vol: $1,940,416
💻 TECH#427$4,020Vol: $936,405
💰 FINANCE#636,325$-3,541Vol: $886,441
🌤️ WEATHER#467$3,837Vol: $531,737
SPORTS#30,561$1,213Vol: $33,863

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$538,474
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$48,120,780
Total Redeem
$1,007,124
Portfolio
$81,842
Predictions
1228
total markets
Trades
10653B / 5849S
Daily Volume
$6,324
Account Age
395d
since Jun 18, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$-28
Vol: $0
Week
$-1,920
Vol: $1,490
Month
$19,513
Vol: $1,818,506
All Time
$538,474
Vol: $48,120,780

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
50%
142W / 140L events
Realized PnL
$890,239
Win Rate
86%
94W / 15L
Profit Factor
1.96x
Avg Win
$3,048
Avg Loss
$-9,757

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $117,864 (84.1% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 22?$43,337
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$39,264
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$35,262
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$26,677
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$23,194
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$17,122
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$14,265
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$9,885
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$9,675
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$8,031

Top Losers

Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$-47,516
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the$-37,780
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?$-28,537
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SEX?$-13,617
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?$-5,157
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?$-4,683
Will Trump and Ahmed al-Sharaa not shake hands on November 10 202$-2,734
Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025? $-2,337
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?$-1,643
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the$-1,183

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.287
Sortino
1.184
HHI
305
Diversified
EV per $1
$1.812
Kelly %
60.4%
Half-Kelly
30.2%
Top-1 market
8.4%
Top-5 markets
29.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
50.1
Very active
Markets / Day
1.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
19.8m
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
8.84
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.7

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 60s — typical for humanSize CV 8.84 — diverse, typical for human16% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.08 — human randomness50 trades/day — mass trading567 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
25.9
Heavy DCA
<=1
123 entries
<=2
172 entries
<=5
230 entries
<=10
285 entries
<=20
326 entries
<=50
369 entries
>50
43 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)72.8%
Mid (20-55c)12.8%
High (>55c)14.4%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 48%

Other$140,181
San Francisco$0
New York City$0
Denver$0
Dallas$0
Miami$0
London$0
Up or Down$0
Netanyahu$0
Hong Kong$0
Madrid$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.9
Events covered
221

Single bracket

<=1
157 brackets
<=2
187 brackets
<=3
199 brackets
<=4
206 brackets
<=5
208 brackets
<=8
215 brackets
>8
6 brackets

Sessions

#12
7/27/2025, 3:59:19 PM2 trades$4831 min
8/5/2025, 12:02:55 PM2 trades$540 min
8/5/2025, 12:13:51 PM2 trades$3150 min
8/5/2025, 12:24:51 PM1 trades$940 min
9/25/2025, 3:41:44 PM2 trades$1290 min
9/28/2025, 10:03:39 PM1 trades$5900 min
9/29/2025, 3:40:41 PM3 trades$803 min
9/29/2025, 3:51:03 PM1 trades$310 min
9/29/2025, 3:58:49 PM1 trades$180 min
9/29/2025, 4:11:11 PM2 trades$1811 min
9/29/2025, 5:10:55 PM1 trades$10 min
9/29/2025, 5:16:35 PM1 trades$10 min
9/29/2025, 5:22:19 PM7 trades$25415 min
9/29/2025, 5:45:09 PM10 trades$19119 min
9/29/2025, 6:23:53 PM1 trades$100 min
9/29/2025, 6:44:03 PM3 trades$334 min
9/30/2025, 11:19:49 AM1 trades$1,6500 min
10/2/2025, 1:13:13 PM1 trades$00 min
10/4/2025, 4:23:06 PM4 trades$13 min
10/6/2025, 12:50:19 PM2 trades$2141 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
11-03
12-05
01-23
04-24
05-26
12-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0.2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 25.9/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.9 br/event