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Pastel-Method

@Pastel-Method

#1,32272

0x606d65fca4f80b75926c106d0ac8d3ce90bf1aaf

590d· 1689 markets · 2847 tradesVol: $4,158,6632026-05-16T12:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

72
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 95%20/20
Profit Factor 0.30x0/15
Sharpe 0.66512/15
Sortino 5.34710/10
HHI 8910/10
Profit Days 95%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Pastel-Method is an experienced and moderately active Polymarket trader ranked #1322 on the global PnL leaderboard. Over 762 days, they have executed 2,847 trades across 828 markets, generating a net profit of $112,984.39 on a total volume of over $4.1 million. Their portfolio is currently valued at approximately $130,900. The trader holds a solid Smart Score of 72, indicating a very good performance, and maintains a consistent equity trend without significant drawdowns.

The trading style of Pastel-Method leans toward manual, human-driven decisions rather than automated strategies, as reflected by a low Bot Score of 15. Their activity shows a preference for a broad range of markets, though they avoid weather-related markets entirely. With a win rate of 75.7% and a profit factor of 0.30, Pastel-Method exhibits a moderate risk profile and tends to maintain positions rather than frequently selling, given the relatively low sell percentage of 18%. The Sharpe ratio of 0.66 suggests moderate risk-adjusted returns.

Pastel-Method’s strengths lie in their consistent profitability and stability, supported by badges such as Sniper, Profitable, and Win Streak. Their trading approach minimizes drawdown duration, enhancing capital preservation. However, the relatively low profit factor and moderate Sharpe ratio suggest room for improvement in efficiency and risk management. While Pastel-Method demonstrates resilience and consistency on Polymarket, the flat equity trend indicates limited recent growth momentum that traders should consider.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

7
Sniper
Win Rate 95%
Profitable
PnL $+112,984
Win Streak
42 wins in a row
Whale
$1,447,346
Consistent
114/120 days
High Roller
$1,899/day
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

7
CRYPTO#597$55,800Vol: $2,493,758
SPORTS#1,016$54,374Vol: $1,517,813
🏛️ POLITICS#1,481,611$-258Vol: $81,912
💰 FINANCE#1,297$3,351Vol: $36,492
🎭 CULTURE#759,170$-325Vol: $26,072
📈 ECONOMICS#607,613$-50Vol: $2,264
🌤️ WEATHER#229,586$-19Vol: $39

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$112,984
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,158,663
Total Redeem
$746,758
Portfolio
$130,901
Predictions
1689
total markets
Trades
2319B / 528S
Daily Volume
$1,899
Account Age
590d
since Oct 7, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$937
Vol: $2,365
Week
$-4,144
Vol: $193,551
Month
$-6,168
Vol: $643,962
All Time
$112,984
Vol: $4,158,663

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
97%
227W / 8L events
Realized PnL
$314,322
Win Rate
76%
511W / 164L
Profit Factor
0.3x
Avg Win
$221
Avg Loss
$-2,323

Top Winners

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?$10,563
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca$3,641
Rotterdam Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexander Bublik$3,520
Will Hyperliquid hit $100 in 2025?$3,150
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-10?$3,144
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stag$2,263
Rotterdam Open: Jaume Munar vs Alexander Bublik$1,899
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner$1,886
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$1,723
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stage$1,690

Top Losers

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in January?$-25,000
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?$-18,013
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner$-15,100
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner$-13,800
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-31?$-11,261
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?$-10,000
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in January?$-10,000
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$-9,783
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$-9,530
Rotterdam Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Ugo Humbert$-9,473

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.665
Sortino
5.347
HHI
89
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.216
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.6%
Top-5 markets
13.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
9.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.9
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
48.4m
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.16
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.3

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 117s — typical for humanSize CV 3.16 — diverse, typical for human3% at night — normal sleep pattern23/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.03 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.8
Moderate DCA
<=1
461 entries
<=2
618 entries
<=5
760 entries
<=10
794 entries
<=20
820 entries
<=50
826 entries
>50
2 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.8%
Mid (20-55c)29.2%
High (>55c)69%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 35.4%

Madrid$3,897
Paris$1,038
Miami$145
Atlanta$67
Chicago$56
Toronto$26
Houston$14
London$1
Milan$0
Munich$0
Seoul$0
Dallas$-318
Up or Down$-1,396
Other$-271,695

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
737

Single bracket

<=1
693 brackets
<=2
713 brackets
<=3
727 brackets
<=4
730 brackets
<=5
734 brackets
<=8
737 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
7/31/2025, 7:17:36 AM1 trades$5880 min
8/1/2025, 7:57:32 PM1 trades$2780 min
8/3/2025, 1:52:13 PM1 trades$3,0000 min
8/9/2025, 5:58:19 AM1 trades$7510 min
8/11/2025, 5:34:28 AM4 trades$2,1942 min
8/31/2025, 2:58:32 PM2 trades$6,5704 min
9/5/2025, 4:38:12 PM3 trades$7,4861 min
9/15/2025, 5:13:38 PM1 trades$11,9540 min
9/19/2025, 5:22:24 PM1 trades$4320 min
10/6/2025, 8:19:07 AM1 trades$9000 min
10/6/2025, 6:01:08 PM1 trades$5560 min
10/8/2025, 2:50:54 PM1 trades$1,0000 min
10/8/2025, 3:01:12 PM1 trades$2000 min
10/8/2025, 5:08:06 PM1 trades$3300 min
10/9/2025, 1:09:11 PM3 trades$1,6881 min
10/19/2025, 4:09:59 PM1 trades$2,5980 min
10/22/2025, 8:27:36 AM1 trades$4,8000 min
10/23/2025, 4:48:29 PM1 trades$150 min
11/1/2025, 8:51:30 AM1 trades$12,3000 min
11/1/2025, 8:56:50 AM1 trades$8000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
11-26
01-03
02-11
03-22
05-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0.2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
18.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.8/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event