Polydata

@Peaceful-Quadrant

#66793

0x04b6d7e930cf9e493c5e6ef24b496294f95594c8

115d· 17254 markets · 100914 tradesVol: $85,489,7642026-07-16T17:11
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

93
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 85%20/20
Profit Factor 170.25x15/15
Sharpe 0.4018/15
Sortino 94.49110/10
EV $+82.02610/10
HHI 5710/10
Profit Days 75%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Peaceful-Quadrant is a highly active trader on Polymarket, holding the rank of #667 on the global PnL leaderboard. Over 113 days, they executed 100,914 trades across 267 markets, generating a net profit of $301,534.25 from a total volume of $85.5 million. Despite a moderate Sharpe ratio of 0.40 and a portfolio value around $9,200, their Smart Score of 93/100 places them in the elite category, reflecting consistent profitability.

Their trading style leans toward high-frequency activity with a very low win rate of 5.9%, suggesting a contrarian and high-risk approach. Peaceful-Quadrant does not engage in weather markets and has a sell percentage of zero, indicating a preference for holding positions rather than exiting early. The equity trend remains stable, implying disciplined risk management, while the bot score of 60/100 shows a hybrid manual and automated strategy. Timing appears to focus on rapid execution, consistent with their sniper badge.

Peaceful-Quadrant’s strengths include their ability to generate substantial profits despite a low win rate, indicating selective but impactful trades. The flat equity trend and zero drawdown duration further demonstrate risk control. However, the low profit factor and win rate suggest vulnerability to extended losing streaks. The reliance on a semi-bot system may also introduce operational risks. Overall, Peaceful-Quadrant’s performance on Polymarket reflects a sophisticated, high-volume trader balancing risk and reward effectively.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 85%
Profitable
PnL $+301,534
Contrarian
61% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Whale
$1,754,729
Consistent
47/63 days
High Roller
$15,529/day
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

1
CRYPTO#84$301,534Vol: $85,489,318

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$301,534
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$85,489,764
Total Redeem
$46,338
Portfolio
$9,195
Predictions
17254
total markets
Trades
100914B / 0S
Daily Volume
$15,529
Account Age
115d
since Mar 25, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-2,387
Vol: $511,692
Week
$6,439
Vol: $2,666,132
Month
$31,072
Vol: $10,464,326
All Time
$301,534
Vol: $85,489,764

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
86%
254W / 43L events
Realized PnL
$1,508,827
Win Rate
6%
13W / 207L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$168
Avg Loss
$-8,188

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET$610
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET$403
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$301
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$188
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$153
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$101
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 11AM ET$90
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$73
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$63

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 11AM ET$-23,238
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$-21,010
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2PM ET$-20,923
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$-18,682
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 5AM ET$-17,479
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET$-17,154
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 12PM ET$-17,141
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 10AM ET$-16,449
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 9AM ET$-16,443
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 8AM ET$-16,278

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.401
Sortino
94.492
HHI
57
Diversified
EV per $1
$82.026
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.3%
Top-5 markets
5.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
897.3
Very active
Markets / Day
2.4
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
2s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2m
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.70
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
37 min
Avg Trades / Session
1267.7

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
56% < 3s — suspicious speedSize CV 1.70 — diverse, typical for human1% at night — normal sleep pattern18/24 hours — extended daySession CV 1.40 — human randomness897 trades/day — automation302 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
378
Heavy DCA
<=1
5 entries
<=2
8 entries
<=5
11 entries
<=10
15 entries
<=20
24 entries
<=50
38 entries
>50
229 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)14.8%
Mid (20-55c)54.1%
High (>55c)31.1%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 45.4%

Other$-1,692,827

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
267

Single bracket

<=1
267 brackets
<=2
267 brackets
<=3
267 brackets
<=4
267 brackets
<=5
267 brackets
<=8
267 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/26/2026, 6:00:11 AM802 trades$15,90514 min
3/26/2026, 7:00:21 AM144 trades$3,70620 min
3/26/2026, 7:28:43 AM396 trades$10,71031 min
3/26/2026, 8:15:13 AM752 trades$8,7014 min
3/26/2026, 10:00:09 AM800 trades$14,53615 min
3/26/2026, 1:14:15 PM6524 trades$109,213100 min
3/26/2026, 3:15:07 PM620 trades$12,6989 min
3/26/2026, 4:15:09 PM518 trades$7,5865 min
3/26/2026, 4:30:19 PM3810 trades$72,077150 min
3/26/2026, 7:15:07 PM529 trades$9,79214 min
3/26/2026, 7:45:07 PM601 trades$10,72414 min
3/27/2026, 9:02:43 AM8146 trades$154,401291 min
3/27/2026, 2:09:03 PM10484 trades$176,072246 min
3/27/2026, 7:05:05 PM291 trades$3,5305 min
3/27/2026, 7:30:07 PM495 trades$7,50715 min
3/27/2026, 8:00:11 PM716 trades$13,72414 min
3/27/2026, 9:17:33 PM1563 trades$25,01942 min
3/28/2026, 4:45:07 PM2017 trades$30,48330 min
3/30/2026, 8:39:18 AM344 trades$8,3575 min
3/30/2026, 9:33:38 AM694 trades$11,92411 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-25
04-09
04-22
05-08
06-02
06-18
07-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 378/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event