Polydata
Personal-Favor

@Personal-Favor

#1,62040

0xa486f1e84d08b356967943a47b70bb8504dd25d4

423d· 3722 markets · 4544 tradesVol: $7,484,1272026-07-10T02:51
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 95%20/20
Profit Factor 0.38x0/15
HHI 13010/10
Profit Days 70%10/10
DD/Peak 2407%0/10

Summary

Personal-Favor is an active Polymarket trader ranked #1620 on the global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of $112,574.69. Over 457 days, they have executed 4,544 trades across 907 markets, generating a total trading volume of approximately $7.48 million. Despite the high win rate of 90.9%, their Smart Score of 40/100 and a negative Sharpe Ratio of -0.25 indicate below-average risk-adjusted performance.

The trading style of Personal-Favor appears to be high-frequency and diversified, with a consistent upward equity trend. They prefer a broad range of markets, avoiding weather-related ones, and maintain a sell percentage of 40%. The low profit factor of 0.38 suggests that while they win often, the losses on losing trades may be relatively large. The short max drawdown duration and badges like "Sniper" and "Consistent" suggest a tactical, possibly short-term approach to market entry and exit.

Personal-Favor’s strengths lie in their high win rate and consistent trading activity, which has supported steady portfolio growth. However, the negative Sharpe Ratio and low profit factor highlight potential risks from volatility and occasional large losses. The relatively modest portfolio value compared to total volume traded could indicate frequent position turnover or conservative sizing. Overall, Personal-Favor’s profile suggests a trader with solid execution but some vulnerability to risk management challenges.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 95%
Profitable
PnL $+112,575
Win Streak
394 wins in a row
Whale
$1,998,092
Consistent
92/132 days
High Roller
$4,372/day

Categories

9
SPORTS#1,474$43,879Vol: $4,971,673
🏛️ POLITICS#3,396$11,327Vol: $750,132
🎭 CULTURE#788,811$-272Vol: $314,837
💰 FINANCE#11,278$221Vol: $72,259
CRYPTO#88,006$106Vol: $58,381
📢 MENTIONS#22,071$7Vol: $19,911
🌤️ WEATHER#5,907$130Vol: $15,852
💻 TECH#7,733$57Vol: $4,496
📈 ECONOMICS#22,300$29Vol: $3,799

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$112,575
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$7,484,127
Total Redeem
$605,172
Portfolio
$1,964
Predictions
3722
total markets
Trades
2722B / 1822S
Daily Volume
$4,372
Account Age
423d
since May 13, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$3
Vol: $0
Week
$-371
Vol: $73,020
Month
$2,571
Vol: $191,398
All Time
$112,575
Vol: $7,484,127

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
97%
192W / 5L events
Realized PnL
$135,582
Win Rate
91%
797W / 79L
Profit Factor
0.38x
Avg Win
$133
Avg Loss
$-3,522

Top Winners

Boise State Broncos vs. Utah State Aggies$11,797
LoL: Galions Sharks vs French Flair - Game 1 Winner$9,865
LoL: SPIKE Syndicate vs BeFive (BO3) - EBL Regular Season$9,270
Will 4 Anchors and Ilmeria Qualify to The International 2026$6,769
Sweeny vs. Wu: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5$5,645
Map 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?$3,994
Dota 2: unknow vs BALU - Game 2 Winner$3,947
San Francisco Dons vs. San Diego Toreros$2,660
LoL: SPIKE Syndicate vs BeFive - Game 1 Winner$2,539
Map 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?$2,401

Top Losers

VfB Stuttgart vs. VfL Wolfsburg: O/U 3.5$-23,760
Oklahoma Sooners vs. Tennessee Volunteers$-23,003
West Georgia Wolves vs. Eastern Kentucky Colonels$-16,614
Map Handicap: NOVO (-1.5) vs FALKE ESPORTS (+1.5)$-15,161
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs Sangal (BO1) - META Cup Gro$-13,912
Set Handicap: Tauson (-1.5) vs Gibson (+1.5)$-10,606
Ofner vs. Loffhagen: Match O/U 22.5$-9,910
Alves vs. Schiessl: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5$-9,900
Silva vs. Prado: Match O/U 22.5$-9,900
Swiss Indoors Basel: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonseca$-9,849

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.254
Sortino
-0.177
HHI
130
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.087
Kelly %
20.4%
Half-Kelly
10.2%
Top-1 market
5%
Top-5 markets
18.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
10.7
Active
Markets / Day
2.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
39.2m
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.77
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.0

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 64s — typical for humanSize CV 4.77 — diverse, typical for human7% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.08 — human randomness11 trades/day — very active

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3
Moderate DCA
<=1
618 entries
<=2
728 entries
<=5
824 entries
<=10
867 entries
<=20
886 entries
<=50
901 entries
>50
5 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)21.6%
Mid (20-55c)14.1%
High (>55c)64.3%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 44.4%

San Francisco$2,660
Atlanta$907
Austin$206
London$115
Paris$2
Milan$0
Tokyo$-248
Miami$-574
Toronto$-1,068
Munich$-3,107
Seattle$-3,402
Other$-167,985

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.6
Events covered
535

Single bracket

<=1
371 brackets
<=2
468 brackets
<=3
502 brackets
<=4
517 brackets
<=5
524 brackets
<=8
532 brackets
>8
3 brackets

Sessions

#12
5/13/2025, 9:28:19 AM1 trades$140 min
5/13/2025, 9:54:57 AM1 trades$210 min
5/13/2025, 12:05:53 PM1 trades$910 min
5/14/2025, 8:28:09 AM1 trades$710 min
5/15/2025, 1:23:59 PM1 trades$1130 min
5/15/2025, 2:13:59 PM1 trades$1060 min
5/15/2025, 6:25:54 PM2 trades$1903 min
5/15/2025, 6:38:54 PM2 trades$271 min
5/15/2025, 6:51:22 PM1 trades$1110 min
5/15/2025, 10:03:09 PM1 trades$950 min
5/16/2025, 5:27:16 AM1 trades$470 min
5/16/2025, 11:35:16 AM1 trades$1080 min
5/16/2025, 3:07:39 PM1 trades$2400 min
5/17/2025, 4:42:49 AM2 trades$2442 min
5/17/2025, 10:02:37 AM1 trades$40 min
5/17/2025, 11:09:09 AM1 trades$510 min
5/17/2025, 3:14:58 PM1 trades$490 min
5/17/2025, 4:13:50 PM1 trades$920 min
5/17/2025, 4:23:28 PM1 trades$1690 min
5/17/2025, 4:38:04 PM1 trades$920 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
11-01
02-10
03-17
05-24
06-16
07-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0.1% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.6 br/event