Polydata

@Physical-Ottoman

#6,45287

0x9897145fd8d6b033164593fa8d885fa2afa56b8e

22d· 243 markets · 1743 tradesVol: $188,0332026-05-27T22:05
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

87
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 71%20/20
Profit Factor 2.07x15/15
Sharpe 0.2314/15
Sortino 0.8308/10
EV $+1.93210/10
HHI 40810/10
Profit Days 77%10/10
DD/Peak 21%10/10

Summary

Physical-Ottoman is a highly active trader on Polymarket, holding a global PnL rank of #6452 with an elite Smart Score of 87/100. Over just 22 days, they executed 1,743 trades across 243 markets, generating a net profit of $20,579.06 on a total volume of $188,033. Their win rate stands at an impressive 78%, supported by a strong profit factor of 6.18, indicating consistent profitability. Despite this, their portfolio value currently reads zero, suggesting they may be closing positions regularly rather than holding overnight.

The trading style of Physical-Ottoman leans towards frequent, high-volume engagement with a low sell percentage of 4%, implying a preference for holding positions rather than quick flips. Their badges such as "Sniper" and "DCA Master" reflect a disciplined approach to entry and scaling, likely indicating a tactical, risk-conscious methodology. The absence of weather market trades and a semi-bot score of 60/100 suggests a hybrid manual-bot strategy, balancing automation with human judgment. The Sharpe ratio of 0.23 points to moderate risk-adjusted returns, and the zero-day max drawdown duration highlights effective risk management.

Physical-Ottoman's key strength lies in their consistent profitability and disciplined execution, as demonstrated by their strong win rate and profit factor on Polymarket. Their upward equity trend and short drawdowns reinforce robust risk controls. However, the relatively low Sharpe ratio and zero portfolio value raise questions about exposure to market volatility and potential missed opportunities from holding positions longer. Monitoring how Physical-Ottoman balances active trading with capital retention will be crucial to assessing future performance sustainability.

Badges

9
Sniper
Win Rate 71%
Profitable
PnL $+20,579
Diamond Hands
4% sell
DCA Master
avg 6.9 entries/market
Win Streak
29 wins in a row
Whale
$106,361
Consistent
10/13 days
High Roller
$4,722/day
Cool Head
DD 21%

Categories

2
CRYPTO#2,024$19,498Vol: $141,204
SPORTS#32,467$1,081Vol: $46,829

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$20,579
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$188,033
Total Redeem
$129,759
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
243
total markets
Trades
1677B / 66S
Daily Volume
$4,722
Account Age
22d
since May 5, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$23,964
Vol: $84,461
Week
$23,964
Vol: $84,461
Month
$20,579
Vol: $188,033
All Time
$20,579
Vol: $188,033

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
72%
170W / 66L events
Realized PnL
$31,231
Win Rate
78%
174W / 48L
Profit Factor
6.18x
Avg Win
$272
Avg Loss
$-160

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $25,157 (63.3% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$8,917
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$8,175
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$8,065
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$7,335
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$1,158
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clu$844
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$619
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Group$514
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$500
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$472

Top Losers

LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$-1,290
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$-1,100
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$-1,100
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET$-992
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$-567
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$-460
Spread: Knicks (-7.5)$-399
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$-250
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)$-221
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$-180

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.231
Sortino
0.830
HHI
408
Diversified
EV per $1
$1.932
Kelly %
37.5%
Half-Kelly
18.7%
Top-1 market
12.9%
Top-5 markets
36.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
77.4
Very active
Markets / Day
10.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
10s
between trades
Avg Gap
6.9m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.74
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
17.3

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 10s — suspiciously fastSize CV 2.74 — diverse, typical for human22% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.36 — human randomness77 trades/day — mass trading11 markets/day — mass coverage

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.9
Active DCA
<=1
51 entries
<=2
80 entries
<=5
141 entries
<=10
196 entries
<=20
228 entries
<=50
242 entries
>50
1 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.7%
Mid (20-55c)24.7%
High (>55c)74.6%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 36.1%

Other$39,556
Atlanta$118
Los Angeles$60
San Francisco$4

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
236

Single bracket

<=1
232 brackets
<=2
235 brackets
<=3
235 brackets
<=4
235 brackets
<=5
236 brackets
<=8
236 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
5/5/2026, 5:09:28 AM29 trades$1,56514 min
5/5/2026, 5:38:46 AM2 trades$200 min
5/5/2026, 5:44:26 AM3 trades$342 min
5/5/2026, 6:07:56 AM19 trades$1901 min
5/5/2026, 6:44:26 AM14 trades$1402 min
5/5/2026, 7:08:48 AM5 trades$500 min
5/5/2026, 7:57:50 AM79 trades$98241 min
5/5/2026, 8:45:10 AM9 trades$1473 min
5/5/2026, 8:53:26 AM13 trades$3746 min
5/5/2026, 9:04:54 AM3 trades$3000 min
5/5/2026, 9:27:54 AM5 trades$5201 min
5/5/2026, 9:41:22 AM1 trades$2000 min
5/5/2026, 10:19:38 AM68 trades$55525 min
5/5/2026, 10:52:08 AM31 trades$1556 min
5/5/2026, 11:03:12 AM82 trades$1,51225 min
5/5/2026, 11:34:16 AM17 trades$3405 min
5/5/2026, 11:47:32 AM8 trades$401 min
5/5/2026, 11:54:10 AM10 trades$2003 min
5/5/2026, 12:02:42 PM11 trades$2201 min
5/5/2026, 12:16:52 PM35 trades$6488 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-05
05-16
05-18
05-20
05-23
05-25
05-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
3.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.9/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event