Polydata

@Physical-Ottoman

#2,996,69971

0x9897145fd8d6b033164593fa8d885fa2afa56b8e

68d· 1729 markets · 2773 tradesVol: $947,5762026-07-12T18:36
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

71
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 34%2/20
Profit Factor 4.04x15/15
Sharpe 0.3837/15
Sortino 4.02710/10
EV $+3.02910/10
HHI 10010/10
Profit Days 57%7/10
DD/Peak 6%10/10

Summary

Physical-Ottoman is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 2,773 trades executed across 550 markets over 67 days. Despite a substantial total trading volume approaching one million dollars, the trader currently holds a net PnL of -$9,145.98 and ranks #2,996,699 on the global profit and loss leaderboard. Their portfolio value stands at zero, indicating no open positions at present, while maintaining a consistent equity trend.

The trading style of Physical-Ottoman appears automated, supported by a bot score of 70/100 and a Smart Score of 71/100, suggesting a disciplined and algorithm-driven approach. The trader favors low sell activity at just 10% and shows a strong contrarian bias, as reflected in their badges. Despite a perfect win rate of 100%, the profit factor is zero, implying that wins may be small or not translating into positive returns. The Sharpe ratio of 0.38 indicates modest risk-adjusted performance, and the trader does not engage in weather markets.

Physical-Ottoman’s key strength lies in their high trade volume and consistent activity, underpinned by automation and a contrarian strategy. However, the significant net loss and zero profit factor highlight risks related to trade profitability and capital preservation. The stable equity trend and lack of drawdown duration suggest risk controls are in place, but the absence of open positions could signal recent liquidation or strategic repositioning.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Contrarian
98% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
10% sell
Bot
Score 70/100
Win Streak
49 wins in a row
Whale
$53,189
Cool Head
DD 6%

Categories

2
CRYPTO#1,638,242$-10,750Vol: $855,433
SPORTS#1,824,078$-3,059Vol: $48,862

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-9,146
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$947,576
Total Redeem
$14,427
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1729
total markets
Trades
2499B / 274S
Daily Volume
$794
Account Age
68d
since May 5, 2026

Periods

#2
Week
$-9,269
Vol: $0
Month
$-17,146
Vol: $166,912
All Time
$-9,146
Vol: $947,576

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
34%
250W / 479L events
Realized PnL
$147,875
Win Rate
100%
49W / 0L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$207
Avg Loss
$0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,444 (24.1% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$1,847
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$332
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$265
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$265
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$255
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$255
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$247
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$236
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$233
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$219

Top Losers

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.383
Sortino
4.027
HHI
100
Diversified
EV per $1
$3.029
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.6%
Top-5 markets
17.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
53.9
Very active
Markets / Day
10.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
5s
between trades
Avg Gap
16.4m
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.69
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.6

Bot Detection

#6
70
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

8 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
58% < 10s — regular intervalSize CV 1.69 — diverse, typical for human6% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.42 — human randomness54 trades/day — mass trading11 markets/day — mass coverage730 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.5
Moderate DCA
<=1
205 entries
<=2
260 entries
<=5
405 entries
<=10
492 entries
<=20
536 entries
<=50
550 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.6%
Mid (20-55c)98.6%
High (>55c)0.8%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 52.4%

Other$10,164

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
549

Single bracket

<=1
549 brackets
<=2
549 brackets
<=3
549 brackets
<=4
549 brackets
<=5
549 brackets
<=8
549 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
5/20/2026, 11:09:28 PM2 trades$100 min
5/21/2026, 1:32:37 AM5 trades$252 min
5/21/2026, 4:03:13 AM2 trades$293 min
5/21/2026, 4:14:56 AM6 trades$295 min
5/21/2026, 6:08:52 AM4 trades$200 min
5/21/2026, 6:52:24 AM3 trades$180 min
5/21/2026, 7:03:01 AM1 trades$190 min
5/21/2026, 7:08:57 AM4 trades$200 min
5/21/2026, 10:03:01 AM6 trades$191 min
5/21/2026, 10:38:50 AM7 trades$160 min
5/31/2026, 12:19:08 PM1 trades$480 min
5/31/2026, 12:34:32 PM10 trades$490 min
5/31/2026, 1:04:01 PM6 trades$490 min
5/31/2026, 1:09:22 PM4 trades$590 min
5/31/2026, 2:59:02 PM3 trades$521 min
5/31/2026, 4:47:18 PM3 trades$490 min
5/31/2026, 5:04:53 PM9 trades$985 min
5/31/2026, 7:15:03 PM8 trades$490 min
6/1/2026, 12:50:04 AM7 trades$470 min
6/1/2026, 2:34:57 AM1 trades$490 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-05
05-27
06-04
06-10
06-23
07-01
07-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
9.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.5/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event