Polydata
Data is 5 days old — refreshing in background...

@Plain-Doe

#551,86257

0x0f3044adb0f9556ea2de022b4c696a3bc5a1b965

70d· 28 markets · 61 tradesVol: $571 @Charlie71802026-06-28T16:34
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

57
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 62%16/20
Profit Factor 1.20x5/15
Sharpe 0.1633/15
Sortino 0.4775/10
EV $+0.62310/10
HHI 6549/10
Profit Days 50%5/10
DD/Peak 51%4/10

Summary

Plain-Doe is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 61 trades spread across 28 markets over 54 days. Currently ranked #551862 on the global PnL leaderboard, Plain-Doe has achieved a net profit of $4.94 on a total volume of $571. Their Smart Score of 57 indicates a good level of trading skill, supported by a win rate of 68% and a profit factor of 1.76, although their Sharpe ratio is low at 0.16, reflecting modest risk-adjusted returns. The portfolio value is zero, suggesting profits have been withdrawn or realized.

Plain-Doe tends to favor a diverse range of markets with some focus on weather-related events, which account for 7% of their trades. Their sell percentage is relatively low at 26%, indicating a tendency to hold positions rather than quick flipping. The trader’s style is contrarian and selective, earning badges like Sniper and Contrarian, which suggests a preference for timing trades carefully rather than frequent speculative activity. Their activity is manual, with no automated bot involvement, and the equity trend is currently downward, hinting at recent challenges.

The main strengths of Plain-Doe are their solid win rate and disciplined contrarian approach, which can capitalize on less popular market views. However, the low Sharpe ratio and recent equity decline highlight risks related to inconsistent returns and potential drawdowns if the current trend continues. Plain-Doe’s manual trading style might limit scalability but allows for strategic discretion, an advantage in nuanced markets on Polymarket.

Badges

4
Sniper
Win Rate 62%
Profitable
PnL $+5
Contrarian
58% entries <$0.50
Win Streak
8 wins in a row

Categories

3
CRYPTO#280,328$5Vol: $561
🌤️ WEATHER#177,135$-1Vol: $7
📢 MENTIONS#41,674$1Vol: $4

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$5
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$571
Total Redeem
$48
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
28
total markets
Trades
45B / 16S
Daily Volume
$2
Account Age
70d
since Apr 23, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $141
All Time
$5
Vol: $571

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
58%
15W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$13
Win Rate
68%
17W / 8L
Profit Factor
1.76x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-2

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $17 (135.7% of PnL)

Top Winners

Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 1, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$7
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$5
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$5
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$2
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 1, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$1
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET$1
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 1, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$1
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$1

Top Losers

Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET$-4
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$-4
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$-3
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 1, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$-3
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$-1
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$-1
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$-1
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.163
Sortino
0.477
HHI
654
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.623
Kelly %
19.6%
Half-Kelly
9.8%
Top-1 market
13.2%
Top-5 markets
48.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
9/24
Normal
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
42.4m
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.80
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
19
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.2

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 124s — typical for humanSize CV 0.80 — diverse, typical for human7% at night — normal sleep pattern9/24 hours — normal hoursSession CV 0.81 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.6
Single entry
<=1
18 entries
<=2
24 entries
<=5
27 entries
<=10
28 entries
<=20
28 entries
<=50
28 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)20%
Mid (20-55c)42.2%
High (>55c)37.8%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 55.1%

Other$12
Tokyo$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
26

Single bracket

<=1
25 brackets
<=2
25 brackets
<=3
26 brackets
<=4
26 brackets
<=5
26 brackets
<=8
26 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/23/2026, 5:04:42 PM2 trades$24 min
4/23/2026, 5:18:18 PM2 trades$23 min
4/23/2026, 5:26:56 PM4 trades$45 min
4/23/2026, 5:40:10 PM4 trades$64 min
4/23/2026, 5:50:44 PM2 trades$12 min
4/23/2026, 7:17:40 PM3 trades$44 min
5/14/2026, 7:37:51 PM2 trades$20 min
5/14/2026, 9:04:31 PM1 trades$10 min
5/15/2026, 8:07:01 PM4 trades$227 min
5/15/2026, 8:20:31 PM6 trades$3410 min
5/15/2026, 8:36:16 PM1 trades$60 min
5/18/2026, 11:11:16 AM4 trades$245 min
5/18/2026, 11:30:59 AM4 trades$175 min
6/1/2026, 5:46:52 AM2 trades$110 min
6/1/2026, 6:00:11 AM2 trades$112 min
6/1/2026, 4:15:52 PM3 trades$125 min
6/1/2026, 4:46:14 PM2 trades$40 min
6/11/2026, 6:32:13 PM3 trades$21 min
6/16/2026, 5:59:30 AM10 trades$1810 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-23
04-24
04-25
05-15
05-18
06-01
06-11
06-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
7.1% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
26.2% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.6/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event