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@Playful-Kangaroo

#52,32668

0x57c7be69aa9e268c81ea266d8e2a6023077ca3a4

580d· 58 markets · 144 tradesVol: $36,2892026-06-24T23:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

68
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 48%9/20
Profit Factor 1.62x10/15
Sharpe 0.3176/15
Sortino 0.9409/10
EV $+0.83310/10
HHI 45510/10
Profit Days 50%5/10
DD/Peak 26%9/10

Summary

Playful-Kangaroo is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, having completed 144 trades across 58 markets over 319 days. With a net profit and loss (PnL) of $1,849.52, this trader ranks #52,326 on the global PnL leaderboard. Despite a relatively small portfolio value of zero at the latest data point, Playful-Kangaroo has maintained a good smart score of 68 out of 100, indicating solid trading intelligence and decision-making.

The trader's strategy appears focused on selective market participation, avoiding weather markets entirely, and maintaining a 70.7% win rate with a high profit factor of 8.89, which suggests effective risk-reward management. Playful-Kangaroo's sell percentage of 34% implies a balanced approach between holding positions and taking profits or cutting losses. The low Sharpe ratio of 0.32 and zero maximum drawdown duration indicate conservative risk-taking with stable but limited volatility exposure. This trader is manual, not bot-driven, and exhibits traits like contrarian thinking and emotional control.

Playful-Kangaroo's strengths lie in consistent profitability and a disciplined trading style, as reflected in their win streaks and cool-headedness. However, the downward equity trend and relatively low Sharpe ratio suggest possible challenges in scaling gains or adapting to market shifts. Overall, this profile points to a prudent, human-driven trader with a solid track record but room for improvement in growth and volatility capture on Polymarket.

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+1,850
Contrarian
66% entries <$0.50
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
Cool Head
DD 26%

Categories

2
CRYPTO#20,646$1,860Vol: $35,613
🏛️ POLITICS#1,251,784$-10Vol: $676

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,850
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$36,289
Total Redeem
$25
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
58
total markets
Trades
95B / 49S
Daily Volume
$32
Account Age
580d
since Dec 14, 2024

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
50%
29W / 29L events
Realized PnL
$4,113
Win Rate
71%
29W / 12L
Profit Factor
8.89x
Avg Win
$152
Avg Loss
$-41

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,572 (65.8% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$2,063
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$280
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$229
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$205
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$200
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$168
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$146
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$107
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$102
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET$97

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$-99
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET$-98
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$-90
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$-76
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$-39
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$-34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET$-22
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET$-15
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$-9
Will Fidesz-KDNP win at least 80 seats?$-7

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.317
Sortino
0.940
HHI
455
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.833
Kelly %
62.6%
Half-Kelly
31.3%
Top-1 market
8.2%
Top-5 markets
38%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.0
Active Hours
10/24
Normal
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
17.2m
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.42
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
16
Avg Duration
13 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.0

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 94s — typical for humanSize CV 1.42 — diverse, typical for human3% at night — normal sleep pattern10/24 hours — normal hoursSession CV 0.79 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.6
Single entry
<=1
36 entries
<=2
50 entries
<=5
57 entries
<=10
58 entries
<=20
58 entries
<=50
58 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)14.7%
Mid (20-55c)62.1%
High (>55c)23.2%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 61.7%

Other$3,910

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
58

Single bracket

<=1
58 brackets
<=2
58 brackets
<=3
58 brackets
<=4
58 brackets
<=5
58 brackets
<=8
58 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
2/15/2026, 9:59:25 PM19 trades$4,73736 min
2/15/2026, 10:46:03 PM2 trades$992 min
2/16/2026, 4:31:09 PM4 trades$495 min
2/16/2026, 4:40:57 PM16 trades$64019 min
4/10/2026, 6:08:05 PM3 trades$2962 min
4/10/2026, 6:15:25 PM6 trades$4833 min
4/10/2026, 6:25:15 PM7 trades$94211 min
4/10/2026, 6:42:33 PM9 trades$47413 min
4/10/2026, 7:00:59 PM3 trades$4762 min
4/10/2026, 7:09:33 PM7 trades$1,45211 min
4/10/2026, 7:26:23 PM2 trades$741 min
4/11/2026, 5:48:29 AM21 trades$3,05138 min
4/12/2026, 11:48:39 AM1 trades$40 min
4/12/2026, 2:12:21 PM14 trades$1,14827 min
4/12/2026, 2:50:29 PM1 trades$190 min
4/12/2026, 6:24:43 PM29 trades$8,20541 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-15
02-16
04-10
04-11
04-12
12-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.6/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event