Polydata

@Pol.1

#16,32021

0xd3a72382f2c459af33a839866b3f2852e4723362

~130d· 154 markets · 99217 tradesVol: $33,781,9142026-07-31 13:21:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

21
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

45% (54/121)7.3/20
0.92x (win $1,266,321 / loss $1,382,938)1.4/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.6610/15
Sortino -2.6690/10
$-0.0128 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 834 (121 markets)8.3/10
24/54 profitable days (44%)3.6/10
Max DD 853% of peak ($132,107 / $15,490)0/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+8,807
Whale
$9,105,275 invested
High Roller
$19,129/day
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
99% maker orders

Categories

6
SPORTS#6,711$7,457Vol: $27,817,940
🏛️ POLITICS#11,686$1,980Vol: $5,698,180
🌤️ WEATHER#273,454$-44Vol: $102,663
💰 FINANCE#649,502$-581Vol: $87,253
📈 ECONOMICS#639,768$-35Vol: $43,408
🎭 CULTURE#39,041$32Vol: $32,471

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$8,807
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$33,781,914
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
154
total markets
Trades
85053B / 14164S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~130d

Periods

#2
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$6,347
Vol: $14,109,922
All Time
$8,807
Vol: $33,781,914

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
45%
54W / 67L events
Realized PnL
$8,807
Win Rate
45%
54W / 67L
Profit Factor
0.92x
Avg Win
$23,450
Avg Loss
$-20,954

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,212,457 (137.66284073465164% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,198,340
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?$7,917
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?$6,200
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$6,197
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?$6,040
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$5,880
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$5,453
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$5,180
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$2,510
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$2,356

Top Losers

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-386,577
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-247,018
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-205,028
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-162,720
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-100,413
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-53,210
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-44,020
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-27,353
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-24,199
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-22,136

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.138
Sortino
-0.106
HHI
797
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.014
Kelly %
11.2%
Half-Kelly
5.6%
Top-1 market
17.3%
Top-5 markets
55.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
208.4
Very active
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
30s
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2m
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.90
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
132 min
Avg Trades / Session
491.7

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 30s — normal for humanCV 3.90 — diverse sizes (human-like)23% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock208 trades/day — automation0.3 markets/day — normal99% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
655.96
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)17.6%
Mid (20-55c)18.3%
High (>55c)64.1%

Sessions

#12
7/14/2026, 9:11:29 PM557 trades$221,554171 min
6/20/2026, 8:02:01 PM1713 trades$170,419181 min
7/11/2026, 4:30:50 PM1361 trades$146,831263 min
6/21/2026, 3:59:11 PM1374 trades$143,110315 min
6/20/2026, 4:10:55 PM854 trades$124,555136 min
4/12/2026, 3:29:43 PM990 trades$124,124151 min
7/6/2026, 5:32:11 PM688 trades$119,139273 min
6/22/2026, 11:39:02 PM1158 trades$117,239126 min
7/15/2026, 9:05:16 PM493 trades$116,20316 min
7/6/2026, 10:15:01 PM836 trades$95,041335 min
6/21/2026, 2:42:26 AM645 trades$82,507166 min
7/14/2026, 5:00:55 PM474 trades$82,286120 min
7/9/2026, 6:04:28 PM417 trades$81,392122 min
4/12/2026, 9:29:43 AM955 trades$80,474230 min
7/7/2026, 1:08:44 PM580 trades$80,189227 min
7/6/2026, 1:28:10 AM838 trades$71,684198 min
6/20/2026, 1:15:47 AM848 trades$70,629256 min
7/11/2026, 1:41:23 PM777 trades$65,800155 min
6/14/2026, 2:41:28 AM538 trades$65,705146 min
7/5/2026, 9:35:22 PM657 trades$63,243226 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2026-03-15 00:00:00
2026-05-19 00:00:00
2026-06-12 19:00:00
2026-06-19 19:00:00
2026-06-21 19:00:00
2026-06-27 23:30:00

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
14.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 655.96/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L17.6 / M18.3 / H64.1