Polydata

@Polished-Larva

#1,71283

0xb809a4b78b5eadc71d84be43eda0491eedf72004

10d· 43 markets · 1080 tradesVol: $588,9032026-06-11T09:51
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

83
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 55%12/20
Profit Factor 2.00x15/15
Sharpe 0.51010/15
Sortino 1.60710/10
EV $+0.99110/10
HHI 52210/10
Profit Days 56%6/10
DD/Peak 12%10/10

Summary

Polished-Larva is an active Polymarket trader ranked #1712 on the global PnL leaderboard, with a net profit of $94,273.27 from 1,080 trades across 43 markets. Over 25 days of trading, they have maintained a high win rate of 95.8% and generated a total volume of $588,903, reflecting a consistent and sizable presence on the platform. Their smart score of 83/100 indicates very strong trading performance, while their portfolio value stands at $2,684.59 with an upward equity trend.

This trader prefers markets with clear directional outcomes, as evidenced by zero weather market exposure and no selling activity, indicating a buy-and-hold or averaging strategy. Polished-Larva’s risk profile appears moderate, supported by a Sharpe ratio of 0.51 and an absence of drawdown duration, suggesting disciplined risk management. Their timing pattern includes frequent trades with a focus on dollar-cost averaging, aligning with badges like DCA Master and Diamond Hands, which imply patience and resilience in volatile markets.

Polished-Larva’s key strengths on Polymarket include a very high profit factor of 146.76 and consistent upward equity growth, demonstrating skill in capitalizing on favorable market conditions. However, the relatively low bot score suggests a human trader, which could imply limitations in speed or automated risk controls. Additionally, a Sharpe ratio below 1 indicates moderate risk-adjusted returns, and the lack of diversification into weather markets might present some vulnerability to sector-specific risks.

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+94,273
Contrarian
69% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
DCA Master
avg 25.1 entries/market
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
Whale
$245,642
High Roller
$9,826/day
Cool Head
DD 12%

Categories

1
SPORTS#635$94,273Vol: $588,903

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$94,273
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$588,903
Total Redeem
$367,905
Portfolio
$2,685
Predictions
43
total markets
Trades
1080B / 0S
Daily Volume
$9,826
Account Age
10d
since Jun 1, 2026

Periods

#2
Week
$8,654
Vol: $77,947
Month
$94,273
Vol: $588,903
All Time
$94,273
Vol: $588,903

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
48%
14W / 15L events
Realized PnL
$186,692
Win Rate
96%
23W / 1L
Profit Factor
146.76x
Avg Win
$9,223
Avg Loss
$-1,445

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $103,166 (49% of PnL)

Top Winners

Spread: Brazil (-1.5)$50,610
Spain vs. Iraq: O/U 3.5$34,013
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)$18,543
United States vs. Germany: O/U 3.5$17,630
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-03?$16,825
Spread: England (-2.5)$12,730
Spread: Spain (-2.5)$12,052
Brazil vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5$10,348
France vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5$9,607
Will Zweigen Kanazawa win on 2026-06-07?$6,232

Top Losers

Will Kamatamare Sanuki win on 2026-06-05?$-1,445

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.510
Sortino
1.607
HHI
523
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.991
Kelly %
93.2%
Half-Kelly
46.6%
Top-1 market
11.3%
Top-5 markets
40.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
132.3
Very active
Markets / Day
5.3
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
16s
between trades
Avg Gap
12.0m
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.23
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
9 min
Avg Trades / Session
20.0

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 16s — typical for humanSize CV 3.23 — diverse, typical for human6% at night — normal sleep pattern18/24 hours — extended daySession CV 1.25 — human randomness132 trades/day — automation

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
25.1
Heavy DCA
<=1
5 entries
<=2
6 entries
<=5
8 entries
<=10
16 entries
<=20
22 entries
<=50
38 entries
>50
5 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2%
Mid (20-55c)73.2%
High (>55c)24.7%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 41.2%

Other$210,676

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.5
Events covered
29

Single bracket

<=1
19 brackets
<=2
25 brackets
<=3
29 brackets
<=4
29 brackets
<=5
29 brackets
<=8
29 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
6/2/2026, 3:51:25 PM30 trades$2,7409 min
6/2/2026, 5:45:10 PM28 trades$9,9053 min
6/2/2026, 6:10:15 PM4 trades$2202 min
6/3/2026, 5:37:39 PM44 trades$7,24124 min
6/3/2026, 6:16:16 PM3 trades$641 min
6/3/2026, 6:25:01 PM1 trades$850 min
6/3/2026, 6:30:10 PM110 trades$7,08715 min
6/4/2026, 5:49:15 PM164 trades$57,92781 min
6/5/2026, 7:55:51 AM1 trades$3100 min
6/5/2026, 8:05:28 AM1 trades$820 min
6/5/2026, 8:14:18 AM5 trades$2,4844 min
6/5/2026, 8:24:09 AM4 trades$7131 min
6/5/2026, 9:47:01 AM3 trades$674 min
6/5/2026, 9:56:01 AM3 trades$563 min
6/6/2026, 4:43:10 AM59 trades$31,68320 min
6/6/2026, 6:04:57 AM2 trades$592 min
6/6/2026, 6:23:13 AM1 trades$50 min
6/6/2026, 6:31:48 AM1 trades$20 min
6/6/2026, 7:48:46 AM2 trades$1053 min
6/6/2026, 8:00:04 AM5 trades$3137 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-02
06-03
06-04
06-05
06-06
06-07
06-08
06-09
06-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 25.1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.5 br/event