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@Polite-Promenade

#38,04612

0x0bf96a1c55e6f47ea84335bc3fc08a89653efd90

137d· 21584 markets · 16992 tradesVol: $1,633,5512026-06-27T00:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

12
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 5%0/20
Profit Factor 0.05x0/15
HHI 210/10
Profit Days 38%2/10
DD/Peak 4166%0/10

Summary

Polite-Promenade is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 16,992 trades across 5,485 markets over 97 days. Despite a significant total trading volume of $1.63 million, their net profit stands at $2,774.32, placing them at #38046 on the global PnL leaderboard. Their portfolio value is currently low at $155, and their Smart Score indicates a beginner level of trading expertise.

The trading style of Polite-Promenade appears to be highly automated, supported by a Bot Score of 70/100 and the presence of bot-related badges. They do not engage in selling positions, as indicated by a 0% sell rate, which aligns with a “Diamond Hands” holding approach. Their win rate is reported as 100%, but the profit factor is zero and the Sharpe ratio is negative (-1.15), suggesting that despite many winning trades, the overall risk-adjusted returns are poor. The trader has not participated in weather markets and shows no signs of diversification into different event types.

Polite-Promenade’s key strength lies in their high trading frequency and automation, which can capitalize on small market inefficiencies. However, the downward equity trend and negative Sharpe ratio highlight risks of sustained underperformance and poor risk management. Their beginner status and zero sell activity may expose them to larger drawdowns not yet realized, warranting caution when interpreting their win rate and profitability on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+2,774
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Bot
Score 70/100
Win Streak
444 wins in a row
Whale
$256,299
High Roller
$2,642/day

Categories

1
CRYPTO#15,447$2,774Vol: $1,633,551

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,774
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,633,551
Total Redeem
$44,228
Portfolio
$155
Predictions
21584
total markets
Trades
16992B / 0S
Daily Volume
$2,642
Account Age
137d
since Feb 16, 2026

Periods

#2
Week
$-1,948
Vol: $94,805
Month
$627
Vol: $432,367
All Time
$2,774
Vol: $1,633,551

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
5%
251W / 5040L events
Realized PnL
$12,733
Win Rate
100%
444W / 0L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$50
Avg Loss
$0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $210 (0.9% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET$70
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$70
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET$70
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$70
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$70
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$65
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET$60
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$60
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET$60
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$60

Top Losers

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-1.153
Sortino
-3.254
HHI
2
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.946
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0%
Top-5 markets
0.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
300.1
Very active
Markets / Day
96.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
7.9m
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.16
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
9 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.9

Bot Detection

#6
70
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

8 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 136s — typical for humanSize CV 1.16 — diverse, typical for human24% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.28 — human randomness300 trades/day — automation97 markets/day — mass coverage5291 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.1
Moderate DCA
<=1
2631 entries
<=2
3114 entries
<=5
4446 entries
<=10
5385 entries
<=20
5485 entries
<=50
5485 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)100%
High (>55c)0%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 51.1%

Other$22,364

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
5485

Single bracket

<=1
5485 brackets
<=2
5485 brackets
<=3
5485 brackets
<=4
5485 brackets
<=5
5485 brackets
<=8
5485 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
5/1/2026, 9:43:36 AM4 trades$102 min
5/1/2026, 9:58:10 AM26 trades$13712 min
5/1/2026, 10:22:18 AM18 trades$848 min
5/1/2026, 11:00:08 AM54 trades$23950 min
5/1/2026, 11:56:08 AM7 trades$207 min
5/1/2026, 12:12:30 PM58 trades$32924 min
5/1/2026, 12:45:32 PM11 trades$605 min
5/1/2026, 1:00:18 PM21 trades$14011 min
5/1/2026, 1:16:20 PM37 trades$14316 min
5/1/2026, 1:39:14 PM36 trades$23021 min
5/1/2026, 2:07:48 PM6 trades$705 min
5/1/2026, 2:25:30 PM1 trades$100 min
5/1/2026, 2:40:22 PM2 trades$80 min
5/1/2026, 2:55:22 PM81 trades$40250 min
5/1/2026, 3:50:36 PM32 trades$1367 min
5/1/2026, 4:05:18 PM8 trades$115 min
5/1/2026, 4:15:12 PM27 trades$9420 min
5/1/2026, 4:42:28 PM11 trades$303 min
5/1/2026, 4:55:14 PM14 trades$1436 min
5/1/2026, 5:11:58 PM16 trades$1409 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-22
04-07
04-25
05-11
05-26
06-10
06-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event