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@Poor-Fur

#4,33051

0x0178034c3b9df6d926e3e713046b08567ab73f7a

189d· 4770 markets · 2440 tradesVol: $3,220,5512026-06-26T13:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

51
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 69%19/20
Profit Factor 1.15x4/15
Sharpe 0.1092/15
Sortino 0.0511/10
EV $+0.0422/10
HHI 11310/10
Profit Days 81%10/10
DD/Peak 59%2/10

Summary

Poor-Fur is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 2,440 trades executed over 166 days and a net profit of $35,982.18. Ranked #4330 globally on the PnL leaderboard, their total trading volume exceeds $3.2 million, indicating substantial market engagement. Despite an average Smart Score of 51 and a Sharpe ratio of only 0.11, Poor-Fur maintains a portfolio valued at $44,000 and holds several top badges, reflecting consistent, albeit modest, profitability.

The trading style of Poor-Fur appears to be low-risk and selective, with an 85.1% win rate and a profit factor of 1.15, suggesting many small gains rather than large, volatile wins. Their low sell percentage of 6% and a Bot Score of 65/100 imply a hybrid approach combining automated and manual strategies. Poor-Fur avoids weather markets entirely and prefers markets where precise timing and patience pay off, consistent with the "Sniper" and "Diamond Hands" badges.

Strengths for Poor-Fur include disciplined trade execution, strong win consistency, and risk control, as evidenced by zero max drawdown duration and a stable equity trend. However, the downward equity trend and low Sharpe ratio highlight potential concerns about diminishing returns and risk-adjusted performance. Poor-Fur’s semi-bot approach may limit adaptability in highly volatile or trending markets on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

7
Sniper
Win Rate 69%
Profitable
PnL $+35,982
Diamond Hands
6% sell
Win Streak
95 wins in a row
Whale
$502,508
Consistent
85/105 days
High Roller
$3,027/day

Categories

1
SPORTS#1,481$36,016Vol: $3,218,680

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$35,982
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,220,551
Total Redeem
$476,517
Portfolio
$44,000
Predictions
4770
total markets
Trades
2290B / 150S
Daily Volume
$3,027
Account Age
189d
since Jan 9, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-1,900
Vol: $2,906
Week
$-1,029
Vol: $45,166
Month
$7,514
Vol: $241,396
All Time
$35,982
Vol: $3,220,551

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
69%
215W / 96L events
Realized PnL
$63,361
Win Rate
85%
496W / 87L
Profit Factor
1.15x
Avg Win
$313
Avg Loss
$-1,559

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $37,118 (188% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$13,040
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?$13,036
Will Georgia win on 2026-06-02?$11,042
Will Spain win on 2026-06-15?$9,033
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?$6,106
Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?$6,091
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$5,609
Will Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?$4,068
Will AFC Ajax vs. FC Utrecht end in a draw?$4,032
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-05-24?$3,616

Top Losers

Will FC Nantes vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?$-19,123
Will Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?$-14,850
Will VfL Wolfsburg vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?$-14,850
Will Smouha SC vs. El Masry SC end in a draw?$-13,631
Will Athletic Club vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?$-9,701
Will Southampton FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?$-5,898
Will Viborg FF vs. Sønderjyske Fodbold end in a draw?$-5,688
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?$-4,227
Will Trabzonspor win on 2026-04-19?$-3,932
Will Shanghai Haigang FC win on 2026-05-15?$-2,555

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.109
Sortino
0.051
HHI
113
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.042
Kelly %
54.9%
Half-Kelly
27.5%
Top-1 market
3.8%
Top-5 markets
15%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
36.2
Active
Markets / Day
10.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
36s
between trades
Avg Gap
49.8m
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.97
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.1

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

8 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 36s — typical for humanSize CV 3.97 — diverse, typical for human27% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.14 — human randomness36 trades/day — suspiciously high10 markets/day — mass coverage367 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.3
Moderate DCA
<=1
282 entries
<=2
426 entries
<=5
598 entries
<=10
661 entries
<=20
681 entries
<=50
691 entries
>50
1 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.7%
Mid (20-55c)14.2%
High (>55c)84.1%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 46.8%

Other$22,835
Chongqing$1,792
São Paulo$679
Paris$117
Shenzhen$41
Atlanta$41
Chengdu$30
Dallas$26
Islands win$21
Seattle$20
Jinmen Hu FC win$4
Hong Kong$3
Chicago$0
Beijing$0
Wuhan$-61
Milan$-205
Los Angeles$-270
Miami$-338

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.4
Events covered
500

Single bracket

<=1
323 brackets
<=2
485 brackets
<=3
500 brackets
<=4
500 brackets
<=5
500 brackets
<=8
500 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/19/2026, 6:54:48 PM1 trades$1050 min
4/19/2026, 7:00:28 PM2 trades$3,8271 min
4/21/2026, 7:00:14 PM1 trades$9,7010 min
4/21/2026, 8:11:28 PM4 trades$7830 min
4/21/2026, 8:47:42 PM1 trades$7710 min
4/22/2026, 2:24:28 AM2 trades$1490 min
4/22/2026, 2:54:44 AM2 trades$2970 min
4/22/2026, 3:06:30 AM3 trades$5750 min
4/22/2026, 10:33:36 AM1 trades$4040 min
4/24/2026, 11:50:08 AM2 trades$4520 min
4/24/2026, 5:23:08 PM2 trades$4920 min
4/24/2026, 5:45:16 PM2 trades$1,1490 min
4/25/2026, 5:52:46 AM1 trades$4600 min
4/25/2026, 6:26:10 AM10 trades$5758 min
4/25/2026, 6:41:42 AM2 trades$6902 min
4/25/2026, 7:03:32 AM5 trades$3014 min
4/25/2026, 7:15:26 AM2 trades$181 min
4/25/2026, 7:47:20 AM1 trades$40 min
4/25/2026, 8:13:46 AM1 trades$190 min
4/25/2026, 8:47:20 AM2 trades$174 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-11
02-22
03-21
04-24
05-12
05-29
06-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
6.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.3/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.4 br/event