Polydata
Posh-Bracket

@Posh-Bracket

#4,18570

0x5482e3563af2e7ab2a3ecae3ebb6fe5b6d7cb6ee

603d· 5698 markets · 19260 tradesVol: $8,296,2332026-07-12T21:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

70
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 30%0/20
Profit Factor 3.72x15/15
Sharpe 0.3246/15
Sortino 2.95010/10
EV $+2.06010/10
HHI 910/10
Profit Days 66%9/10
DD/Peak 1%10/10

Summary

Posh-Bracket is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, ranked #4185 on the global PnL leaderboard. With 19,260 trades across 2,838 markets and a net profit of $39,711.91, this trader shows consistent engagement over 591 days. Despite a substantial total trading volume exceeding $8.2 million, their portfolio value currently stands at $36.75, indicating frequent turnover or reinvestment. The trader holds a solid Smart Score of 70/100 and maintains a perfect win rate of 100% in their trades.

Posh-Bracket appears to adopt a balanced strategy with a moderate risk profile, as evidenced by a Sharpe ratio of 0.32 and a low maximum drawdown duration. They do not trade in weather markets and tend to sell about 28% of positions, suggesting selective exit strategies. The trader’s style is a hybrid of bot-assisted and manual trading, reflected in their Bot Score of 55/100, allowing for responsiveness and consistency. Their portfolio equity remains stable, indicating cautious and steady market participation rather than aggressive speculation.

The strengths of Posh-Bracket include a consistent winning streak, strong profitability, and a contrarian approach that may capture unique market opportunities. However, the flat equity trend and relatively low Sharpe ratio imply limited upside volatility and potential challenges in scaling profits. Additionally, the perfect win rate paired with a profit factor of zero could signal unusual trade structuring or reporting nuances. Overall, Posh-Bracket demonstrates disciplined trading on Polymarket but may face constraints in risk-adjusted performance growth.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+39,712
Lottery Player
100% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
100% entries <$0.50
Win Streak
55 wins in a row
Consistent
209/318 days
Cool Head
DD 1%

Categories

4
SPORTS#1,697$35,851Vol: $8,144,152
🏛️ POLITICS#7,482$3,860Vol: $150,155
📢 MENTIONS#74,839$-1Vol: $505
🎭 CULTURE#614,923$-4Vol: $327

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$39,712
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$8,296,233
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$37
Predictions
5698
total markets
Trades
13807B / 5453S
Daily Volume
$47
Account Age
603d
since Nov 16, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$-138
Vol: $83,704
Week
$-435
Vol: $83,704
Month
$2,809
Vol: $523,750
All Time
$39,712
Vol: $8,296,233

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
30%
907W / 2156L events
Realized PnL
$55,900
Win Rate
100%
55W / 0L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$291
Avg Loss
$0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $7,735 (48.3% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colom$3,494
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Yankees$3,100
Rangers vs. Blue Jays$1,141
Florida International vs. Western Kentucky$1,131
Dodgers vs. Mariners$820
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees$742
Cavaliers vs. Knicks$511
Raptors vs. Wizards$368
Fresno State vs. Hawai'i$350
Celtics vs. Raptors$282

Top Losers

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.324
Sortino
2.950
HHI
9
Diversified
EV per $1
$2.060
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.8%
Top-5 markets
2.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
51.8
Very active
Markets / Day
7.6
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
15.7m
between trades
Night Trading
62%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.89
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.2

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 61s — typical for humanSize CV 1.89 — diverse, typical for human62% at night — bot never sleeps20/24 hours — extended daySession CV 1.04 — human randomness52 trades/day — mass trading3148 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.9
Moderate DCA
<=1
448 entries
<=2
961 entries
<=5
1968 entries
<=10
2574 entries
<=20
2813 entries
<=50
2837 entries
>50
1 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)99.9%
Mid (20-55c)0.1%
High (>55c)0%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 94%

Other$15,067
San Francisco$354
Los Angeles$250
Atlanta$114
Toronto$112
Chicago$110
Miami$0
Houston$0
Seattle$0
Dallas$0
Denver$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
2827

Single bracket

<=1
2820 brackets
<=2
2824 brackets
<=3
2827 brackets
<=4
2827 brackets
<=5
2827 brackets
<=8
2827 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
7/5/2025, 8:50:13 PM5 trades$245 min
7/5/2025, 9:04:29 PM2 trades$32 min
7/5/2025, 9:35:43 PM8 trades$3912 min
7/5/2025, 9:57:11 PM1 trades$30 min
7/5/2025, 10:07:07 PM11 trades$4112 min
7/5/2025, 10:26:11 PM1 trades$40 min
7/5/2025, 10:31:53 PM10 trades$6013 min
7/5/2025, 10:51:15 PM1 trades$10 min
7/5/2025, 11:13:59 PM2 trades$324 min
7/6/2025, 1:52:39 AM5 trades$436 min
7/6/2025, 2:04:07 AM2 trades$60 min
7/6/2025, 3:27:03 AM4 trades$145 min
7/6/2025, 3:37:07 AM1 trades$50 min
7/6/2025, 3:43:09 AM8 trades$188 min
7/6/2025, 4:09:01 AM1 trades$10 min
7/6/2025, 4:20:37 AM1 trades$10 min
7/6/2025, 4:26:47 AM2 trades$22 min
7/6/2025, 6:20:37 PM1 trades$190 min
7/6/2025, 6:34:59 PM1 trades$100 min
7/6/2025, 6:48:13 PM2 trades$205 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-05
03-20
07-09
08-31
10-22
05-25
07-12
07-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
28.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.9/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event