Polydata

@Positive-Clapboard

#347,16515

0xfa67d8199110bef901b36dba231e2b5e84811475

111d· 30 markets · 45 tradesVol: $1,5242026-06-20T08:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

15
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 27%0/20
Profit Factor 1.08x3/15
Sharpe 0.0240/15
Sortino 0.0390/10
EV $+0.0301/10
HHI 6279/10
Profit Days 30%0/10
DD/Peak 139%0/10

Summary

Positive-Clapboard is a relatively new and moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 45 trades executed over 35 days. Their net profit stands at $31.51 from a total trading volume of $1,524, placing them at rank #347,165 on the global PnL leaderboard. Despite a low smart score of 15/100, indicating beginner status, Positive-Clapboard maintains an upward equity trend and a portfolio valued at $108.49.

The trader shows a preference for a diverse range of markets, having traded 30 different ones, but avoids weather markets entirely. Positive-Clapboard’s trading style appears cautious, with a low sell percentage of 4% and a contrarian approach suggested by their badges. Their win rate is 31.2%, with a profit factor of 1.37, and a very low Sharpe ratio of 0.02, implying minimal risk-adjusted returns. The timing of trades is manual, not bot-driven, and the trader tends to hold positions for varying durations without significant drawdowns.

Positive-Clapboard’s strengths include maintaining profitability despite beginner status and showing resilience with no max drawdown duration. However, their low win rate and Sharpe ratio highlight risks related to inconsistent trade success and limited risk management. As a manual trader with a modest track record, Positive-Clapboard may benefit from refining strategy and improving trade selection on Polymarket.

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+32
Contrarian
77% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
4% sell

Categories

5
🎭 CULTURE#517,278$-1Vol: $1,000
₿ CRYPTO#173,719$20Vol: $290
⚽ SPORTS#285,720$6Vol: $161
🏛️ POLITICS#241,633$3Vol: $59
📈 ECONOMICS#70,739$3Vol: $14

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$32
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,524
Total Redeem
$54
Portfolio
$108
Predictions
30
total markets
Trades
43B / 2S
Daily Volume
$4
Account Age
111d
since Feb 28, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $188
Week
$33
Vol: $510
Month
$32
Vol: $1,524
All Time
$32
Vol: $1,524

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
27%
7W / 19L events
Realized PnL
$-1
Win Rate
31%
5W / 11L
Profit Factor
1.37x
Avg Win
$8
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $38 (328% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$24
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$8
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$1

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET$-10
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$-5
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$-3
Spread: Spain (-1.5)$-2
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$-2
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET$-2
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$-2
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$-2
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$-1
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 10, 2026?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.024
Sortino
0.039
HHI
627
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.030
Kelly %
18.0%
Half-Kelly
9.0%
Top-1 market
14.2%
Top-5 markets
44.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
3.0
Active Hours
8/24
Normal
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.95
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
14
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.2

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 130s — typical for humanSize CV 0.95 — diverse, typical for human0% at night — normal sleep pattern8/24 hours — normal hoursSession CV 0.63 — semi-mechanical

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.4
Single entry
<=1
20 entries
<=2
28 entries
<=5
30 entries
<=10
30 entries
<=20
30 entries
<=50
30 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)25.6%
Mid (20-55c)51.2%
High (>55c)23.3%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 72.5%

Other$12

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
30

Single bracket

<=1
30 brackets
<=2
30 brackets
<=3
30 brackets
<=4
30 brackets
<=5
30 brackets
<=8
30 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
6/10/2026, 11:04:18 AM2 trades$115 min
6/15/2026, 7:37:19 AM6 trades$336 min
6/15/2026, 9:19:51 AM1 trades$100 min
6/15/2026, 9:47:01 AM1 trades$100 min
6/15/2026, 5:29:39 PM1 trades$20 min
6/16/2026, 7:50:32 PM1 trades$20 min
6/17/2026, 8:46:04 AM2 trades$101 min
6/17/2026, 6:35:23 PM1 trades$50 min
6/19/2026, 8:34:19 AM3 trades$33 min
6/19/2026, 9:23:05 AM2 trades$263 min
6/19/2026, 8:01:14 PM1 trades$10 min
6/19/2026, 8:08:38 PM7 trades$297 min
6/20/2026, 7:54:52 AM12 trades$1621 min
6/20/2026, 8:21:23 AM5 trades$75 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
06-15
06-17
06-19
06-20
06-27
06-30
07-01
07-13
07-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
4.4% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.4/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event