Polydata

@Positive-Velocity

#116,62845

0x35385291a325af8a46909fa9d3b44c3c49c92c89

23d· 128 markets · 202 tradesVol: $45,360 @IsaacKeepFaith2026-05-21T19:21
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

45
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 66%18/20
Profit Factor 1.62x10/15
Sharpe 0.1262/15
Sortino 0.4795/10
EV $+0.0462/10
HHI 26990/10
Profit Days 50%5/10
DD/Peak 60%2/10

Summary

Positive-Velocity is a moderately active trader on Polymarket with 202 trades over 61 days. Ranked #116,628 on the global PnL leaderboard, they have generated a net profit of $377.98 from a total trading volume of $45,360. Their portfolio value stands at $7,982.72, reflecting steady growth supported by an upward equity trend.

This trader favors a diverse range of markets, having participated in 128 different ones, and maintains a relatively low-risk approach indicated by a win rate of 76.8% and a profit factor of 2.50. Positive-Velocity executes trades mainly on the buy side, with only 29% of trades involving selling. Their Sharpe ratio of 0.13 suggests modest risk-adjusted returns, and the zero-day max drawdown duration points to effective risk control. The average Smart Score of 45 and a Bot Score of 20 imply a primarily human-driven, consistent trading style.

Positive-Velocity’s key strengths include a strong win streak, a sniper-like precision in trade selection, and profitable outcomes over time. However, their moderate Sharpe ratio and average Smart Score indicate room for improvement in volatility management and market timing. The absence of weather market trades shows a preference for other categories, which may limit diversification. Overall, Positive-Velocity demonstrates solid performance but could enhance resilience against market fluctuations.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

3
Sniper
Win Rate 66%
Profitable
PnL $+378
Win Streak
10 wins in a row

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#23,719$576Vol: $41,055
SPORTS#1,428,553$-52Vol: $2,327
CRYPTO#1,381,007$-155Vol: $1,899
📈 ECONOMICS#160,196$0Vol: $32
📢 MENTIONS#86,120$-2Vol: $26
💰 FINANCE#47,613$11Vol: $16
🎭 CULTURE#476,613$-1Vol: $6

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$378
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$45,360
Total Redeem
$1,090
Portfolio
$7,983
Predictions
128
total markets
Trades
144B / 58S
Daily Volume
$416
Account Age
23d
since Apr 28, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$82
Vol: $15,694
Week
$29
Vol: $15,944
Month
$374
Vol: $21,969
All Time
$378
Vol: $45,360

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
69%
83W / 38L events
Realized PnL
$637
Win Rate
77%
83W / 25L
Profit Factor
2.5x
Avg Win
$12
Avg Loss
$-15

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $618 (107.4% of PnL)

Top Winners

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$530
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$15
Portland Timbers vs. Sporting Kansas City: Both Teams to Score$12
Lakers vs. Rockets$12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$11
Will Cerebras' market cap be between $60B and $70B at market clos$11

Top Losers

Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)$-95
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$-55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$-33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$-29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$-24
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles$-21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$-21
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)$-20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET$-18
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10?$-18

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.126
Sortino
0.479
HHI
2699
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.046
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
30.9%
Top-5 markets
90.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
5.4
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0h
between trades
Night Trading
42%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.07
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.5

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 614s — typical for humanSize CV 6.07 — diverse, typical for human42% at night — bot never sleeps21/24 hours — extended daySession CV 0.73 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.1
Single entry
<=1
117 entries
<=2
124 entries
<=5
128 entries
<=10
128 entries
<=20
128 entries
<=50
128 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.7%
Mid (20-55c)11.1%
High (>55c)88.2%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 3.4%

Other$558
Toronto$6
Paris$3
Chicago$2
San Francisco$2
Los Angeles$2
Milan$1
Houston$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
121

Single bracket

<=1
116 brackets
<=2
119 brackets
<=3
121 brackets
<=4
121 brackets
<=5
121 brackets
<=8
121 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/28/2026, 4:10:24 AM1 trades$7,4760 min
4/30/2026, 2:46:52 PM2 trades$15,0211 min
5/1/2026, 2:00:52 AM1 trades$240 min
5/1/2026, 2:34:16 AM1 trades$240 min
5/2/2026, 2:21:28 AM1 trades$240 min
5/2/2026, 5:40:30 PM1 trades$350 min
5/2/2026, 6:22:06 PM2 trades$791 min
5/2/2026, 6:39:00 PM2 trades$802 min
5/2/2026, 6:55:54 PM2 trades$481 min
5/2/2026, 11:24:20 PM2 trades$132 min
5/3/2026, 1:03:04 AM2 trades$271 min
5/3/2026, 3:17:16 AM1 trades$300 min
5/3/2026, 9:58:08 AM1 trades$50 min
5/3/2026, 4:47:24 PM2 trades$201 min
5/4/2026, 2:39:48 AM1 trades$100 min
5/4/2026, 3:16:38 AM1 trades$90 min
5/5/2026, 6:12:00 AM1 trades$250 min
5/5/2026, 8:27:24 AM1 trades$50 min
5/5/2026, 9:12:40 AM1 trades$60 min
5/7/2026, 1:20:30 AM1 trades$320 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-30
05-04
05-08
05-12
05-16
05-20
05-21
05-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
28.7% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event