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@Positive-Velocity

#32,13276

0x35385291a325af8a46909fa9d3b44c3c49c92c89

71d· 201 markets · 323 tradesVol: $161,957 @IsaacKeepFaith2026-07-03T12:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

76
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 68%19/20
Profit Factor 4.37x15/15
Sharpe 0.1944/15
Sortino 1.75310/10
EV $+0.33110/10
HHI 21362/10
Profit Days 57%7/10
DD/Peak 7%10/10

Summary

Positive-Velocity is an active trader on Polymarket, holding a global PnL rank of #32132. With 323 trades across 201 markets over 246 days, they have accumulated a net profit of $3,538.62 on a portfolio valued at $11,100. Their smart score of 76/100 reflects a very good trading performance, supported by a substantial total volume of $161,957 and a solid win rate of 81.8%.

The trading style of Positive-Velocity appears disciplined and calculated, favoring a high win rate with a profit factor of 7.21. Their activity suggests a moderate risk profile, given a low Sharpe ratio of 0.19 and zero days of max drawdown duration, indicating careful risk management. They do not engage in weather markets and maintain a sell percentage of 28%, hinting at a preference for holding positions rather than frequent flipping. Their badges, including Sniper and Cool Head, reinforce a strategic, patient approach with precise timing.

Positive-Velocity’s strengths lie in consistent profitability and an upward equity trend, supported by a strong win streak and a reputation as a whale trader. However, the relatively low Sharpe ratio signals limited risk-adjusted returns, suggesting room for improvement in volatility management. Additionally, their Bot Score of 30/100 implies human decision-making, which can be both a strength for adaptability and a risk for emotional bias. Overall, Positive-Velocity demonstrates effective trading on Polymarket with a stable, growth-oriented approach.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

5
Sniper
Win Rate 68%
Profitable
PnL $+3,539
Win Streak
19 wins in a row
Whale
$72,141
Cool Head
DD 7%

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#11,034$2,137Vol: $113,293
📈 ECONOMICS#1,949$1,728Vol: $40,367
SPORTS#1,607,764$-99Vol: $5,622
CRYPTO#1,501,651$-240Vol: $2,614
📢 MENTIONS#88,086$-2Vol: $26
💰 FINANCE#51,893$11Vol: $16
🎭 CULTURE#158,174$1Vol: $13

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$3,539
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$161,957
Total Redeem
$1,985
Portfolio
$11,100
Predictions
201
total markets
Trades
233B / 90S
Daily Volume
$293
Account Age
71d
since Apr 28, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1,698
Vol: $12,390
Month
$865
Vol: $244
All Time
$3,539
Vol: $161,957

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
71%
136W / 56L events
Realized PnL
$3,126
Win Rate
82%
139W / 31L
Profit Factor
7.21x
Avg Win
$25
Avg Loss
$-15

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,518 (85.1% of PnL)

Top Winners

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1,696
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$530
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$293
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?$61
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?$30
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score$29
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?$28
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET$25

Top Losers

Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)$-95
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET$-55
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?$-41
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$-33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$-29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$-24
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Orioles$-21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$-21
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.194
Sortino
1.753
HHI
2136
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.331
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
36.9%
Top-5 markets
89.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
3.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
22.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.4h
between trades
Night Trading
39%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.44
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.5

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1349s — typical for humanSize CV 4.44 — diverse, typical for human39% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.73 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.2
Single entry
<=1
183 entries
<=2
193 entries
<=5
200 entries
<=10
201 entries
<=20
201 entries
<=50
201 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.9%
Mid (20-55c)8.6%
High (>55c)90.6%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 2.7%

Other$2,935
Toronto$6
Los Angeles$4
San Francisco$3
Paris$3
Miami$3
Chicago$2
Atlanta$1
Milan$1
Houston$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
188

Single bracket

<=1
182 brackets
<=2
185 brackets
<=3
188 brackets
<=4
188 brackets
<=5
188 brackets
<=8
188 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/28/2026, 4:10:24 AM1 trades$7,4760 min
4/30/2026, 2:46:52 PM2 trades$15,0211 min
5/1/2026, 2:00:52 AM1 trades$240 min
5/1/2026, 2:34:16 AM1 trades$240 min
5/2/2026, 2:21:28 AM1 trades$240 min
5/2/2026, 5:40:30 PM1 trades$350 min
5/2/2026, 6:22:06 PM2 trades$791 min
5/2/2026, 6:39:00 PM2 trades$802 min
5/2/2026, 6:55:54 PM2 trades$481 min
5/2/2026, 11:24:20 PM2 trades$132 min
5/3/2026, 1:03:04 AM2 trades$271 min
5/3/2026, 3:17:16 AM1 trades$300 min
5/3/2026, 9:58:08 AM1 trades$50 min
5/3/2026, 4:47:24 PM2 trades$201 min
5/4/2026, 2:39:48 AM1 trades$100 min
5/4/2026, 3:16:38 AM1 trades$90 min
5/5/2026, 6:12:00 AM1 trades$250 min
5/5/2026, 8:27:24 AM1 trades$50 min
5/5/2026, 9:12:40 AM1 trades$60 min
5/7/2026, 1:20:30 AM1 trades$320 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-30
05-09
05-18
05-27
06-11
06-22
07-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
27.9% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.2/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event