Polydata

@Present-Osprey-Matrix

#77,50693

0x3fbf76bb0a626881dfbeaf77df98d706b50efbce

31d· 48 markets · 50 tradesVol: $4,7672026-07-14T00:01
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

93
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 89%20/20
Profit Factor 2.99x15/15
Sharpe 0.4258/15
Sortino 2.61010/10
EV $+2.12010/10
HHI 48010/10
Profit Days 75%10/10
DD/Peak 10%10/10

Summary

Present-Osprey-Matrix is an elite Polymarket trader ranked #77,506 globally with a net profit of $1,057.64 over 29 days. They have executed 50 trades across 48 markets, accumulating a total volume of $4,767. Their portfolio value currently stands at zero, indicating full realization of profits or closed positions. Despite a modest Sharpe ratio of 0.42, the trader maintains an impressive win rate of 97.7% and a profit factor exceeding 187,000, highlighting exceptional efficiency in their trades.

This trader exhibits a highly selective and low-risk approach, reflected in their minimal sell percentage of 2% and zero days of drawdown duration. Present-Osprey-Matrix focuses on manual trading with a human-driven style, favoring precision and patience over high-frequency activity. Their badges, including Sniper and Diamond Hands, suggest a preference for strategic entry points and holding positions long enough to maximize gains. The upward equity trend supports a consistent growth strategy rather than speculative bursts.

The strengths of Present-Osprey-Matrix lie in their disciplined execution and strong risk management, evidenced by minimal drawdowns and a sustained win streak. However, the low Sharpe ratio and zero portfolio value could indicate limited exposure or overly cautious positioning, potentially capping upside potential. While their elite Smart Score confirms skill, traders should be mindful of the balance between cautious profits and missed opportunities in volatile Polymarket conditions.

Badges

7
Sniper
Win Rate 89%
Profitable
PnL $+1,058
Diamond Hands
2% sell
Hedger
avg 2.2 brackets/event
Win Streak
31 wins in a row
Consistent
9/12 days
Cool Head
DD 10%

Categories

1
📢 MENTIONS#1,201$1,058Vol: $4,767

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,058
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,767
Total Redeem
$3,872
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
48
total markets
Trades
49B / 1S
Daily Volume
$98
Account Age
31d
since Jun 12, 2026

Periods

#2
Month
$935
Vol: $3,957
All Time
$1,058
Vol: $4,767

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
86%
19W / 3L events
Realized PnL
$1,557
Win Rate
98%
42W / 1L
Profit Factor
187019.17x
Avg Win
$38
Avg Loss
$-0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $731 (46% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Norway vs England FI$516
Will the announcers say "Nutmeg" or "Meg" during the Norway vs En$108
Will the announcers say "Compact" during Netherlands vs Morocco?$106
Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Norway vs Englan$84
Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the Argentina vs Cap$76
Will the announcers say "Unbelievable" during the England vs DR C$72
Will the announcers say "Fitness" during the Australia vs Egypt F$69
Will the announcers say "Presence" during the Belgium vs Senegal $58
Will the announcers say "Real Madrid" during the Brazil vs Norway$54
Will the announcers say "What a Save" during the France vs Morocc$52

Top Losers

Will the announcers say "Extra Time" during the Portugal vs Spain$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.425
Sortino
2.610
HHI
480
Diversified
EV per $1
$2.120
Kelly %
94.3%
Half-Kelly
47.2%
Top-1 market
11.1%
Top-5 markets
38%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.6
Active Hours
11/24
Normal
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2h
between trades
Avg Gap
4.2h
between trades
Night Trading
38%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.17
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
46
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.1

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

4 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 4337s — typical for humanSize CV 1.17 — diverse, typical for human38% at night — bot never sleeps11/24 hours — normal hours

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1
Single entry
<=1
47 entries
<=2
48 entries
<=5
48 entries
<=10
48 entries
<=20
48 entries
<=50
48 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)26.5%
High (>55c)73.5%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 100%

Other$1,536
Madrid$54
Paris$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
2.2
Events covered
22

Moderate coverage

<=1
6 brackets
<=2
15 brackets
<=3
20 brackets
<=4
21 brackets
<=5
22 brackets
<=8
22 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
6/12/2026, 11:28:19 PM1 trades$50 min
6/29/2026, 8:53:07 PM1 trades$250 min
6/29/2026, 9:21:10 PM1 trades$170 min
6/30/2026, 1:10:11 AM1 trades$1020 min
6/30/2026, 3:09:59 AM1 trades$590 min
6/30/2026, 3:35:25 AM1 trades$1880 min
6/30/2026, 8:47:55 PM1 trades$40 min
6/30/2026, 9:47:31 PM1 trades$850 min
6/30/2026, 10:23:26 PM1 trades$770 min
7/1/2026, 2:07:01 AM1 trades$1570 min
7/1/2026, 4:47:20 PM2 trades$2873 min
7/1/2026, 5:03:28 PM1 trades$280 min
7/1/2026, 5:12:41 PM1 trades$950 min
7/1/2026, 5:53:02 PM1 trades$10 min
7/1/2026, 5:58:41 PM1 trades$20 min
7/1/2026, 8:43:01 PM1 trades$620 min
7/1/2026, 9:16:28 PM1 trades$80 min
7/2/2026, 12:45:25 AM1 trades$90 min
7/2/2026, 12:52:55 AM1 trades$1230 min
7/2/2026, 7:00:47 PM1 trades$150 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-13
06-30
07-02
07-04
07-07
07-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
2% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 2.2 br/event