Polydata

@Prestigious-Feather

#2,566,47497

0xd695548ffe240bbc663ba09fc35d188badc4f470

104d· 520 markets · 806 tradesVol: $2,5142026-07-03T06:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

97
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 76%20/20
Profit Factor 8.41x15/15
Sharpe 1.01815/15
Sortino 3340.82710/10
EV $+0.1477/10
HHI 10010/10
Profit Days 98%10/10
DD/Peak 1%10/10

Summary

Prestigious-Feather is a highly active trader on Polymarket with 806 trades across 480 markets over 81 days. Despite a net PnL of -$150.19 and a global rank of #2,566,474, the trader maintains an elite Smart Score of 97/100, reflecting strong trading skills. With a total volume of $2,514 and a stable equity trend, Prestigious-Feather demonstrates consistent market engagement.

The trader predominantly focuses on weather-related markets, accounting for 98% of their activity, which aligns with their top badge, Weather Pro. Their style is characterized by a high win rate of 93.2%, a profit factor of 8.41, and a very low sell percentage of 7%, indicating a patient, long-term holding approach. Prestigious-Feather’s Sharpe ratio of 1.02 suggests moderate risk-adjusted returns, while their zero-day max drawdown duration points to effective risk management without prolonged losses.

Prestigious-Feather’s strengths lie in their precision and consistency, as reflected in badges like Sniper and Diamond Hands, and their ability to hedge positions effectively. However, the negative net PnL and low Bot Score imply potential challenges in capitalizing on opportunities or scaling profits despite winning trades. The reliance on weather markets also exposes them to sector-specific risks that may impact performance in changing conditions.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

7
Sniper
Win Rate 76%
Diamond Hands
7% sell
Weather Pro
98% weather
Hedger
avg 2.6 brackets/event
Win Streak
75 wins in a row
Consistent
54/55 days
Cool Head
DD 1%

Categories

4
🌤️ WEATHER#265,458$-46Vol: $2,158
SPORTS#1,625,306$-117Vol: $254
📈 ECONOMICS#79,988$2Vol: $56
🏛️ POLITICS#165,859$11Vol: $46

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-150
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,514
Total Redeem
$1,391
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
520
total markets
Trades
751B / 55S
Daily Volume
$19
Account Age
104d
since Mar 23, 2026

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
65%
104W / 57L events
Realized PnL
$213
Win Rate
93%
373W / 27L
Profit Factor
8.41x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $23 (12.5% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?$10
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 62-63°F $6
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F $6
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April$5
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on$5
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on April 13?$4
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on May$4
Spurs vs. Thunder$3
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C or below on May 6?$3
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 13?$3

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on May$-4
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on May$-3
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on May $-3
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 86°F or higher on May $-2
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 62°F or higher on Apri$-1
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F $-1
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on May $-1
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F $-1
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F $-1
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F $-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
1.018
Sortino
inf
HHI
100
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.147
Kelly %
86.7%
Half-Kelly
43.3%
Top-1 market
7.3%
Top-5 markets
14.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
10.7
Active
Markets / Day
6.4
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
56s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.26
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.7

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 56s — typical for humanSize CV 2.26 — diverse, typical for human22% at night — different timezone?20/24 hours — extended daySession CV 1.05 — human randomness11 trades/day — very active330 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.6
Single entry
<=1
310 entries
<=2
420 entries
<=5
475 entries
<=10
480 entries
<=20
480 entries
<=50
480 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.5%
Mid (20-55c)8.7%
High (>55c)90.8%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 9.1%

San Francisco$38
Los Angeles$26
Other$21
Toronto$16
New York City$12
Atlanta$11
Chicago$11
Miami$11
Seattle$9
Singapore$7
Denver$7
Houston$5
Dallas$4
Austin$3
Mexico City$1
Tokyo$1
Amsterdam$1
Paris$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
2.6
Events covered
185

Moderate coverage

<=1
46 brackets
<=2
92 brackets
<=3
142 brackets
<=4
172 brackets
<=5
183 brackets
<=8
185 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/9/2026, 12:57:21 PM1 trades$50 min
4/9/2026, 6:59:25 PM3 trades$181 min
4/10/2026, 12:42:51 AM1 trades$50 min
4/11/2026, 9:36:49 PM2 trades$100 min
4/12/2026, 1:58:51 AM2 trades$161 min
4/17/2026, 2:08:26 PM2 trades$31 min
4/18/2026, 11:59:42 AM1 trades$20 min
4/19/2026, 12:02:56 AM2 trades$61 min
4/19/2026, 2:33:06 AM1 trades$20 min
4/19/2026, 11:33:04 AM4 trades$72 min
4/20/2026, 2:15:34 AM4 trades$43 min
4/20/2026, 1:39:56 PM3 trades$33 min
4/21/2026, 2:48:34 AM6 trades$64 min
4/21/2026, 6:07:04 PM3 trades$43 min
4/22/2026, 2:09:02 AM4 trades$77 min
4/22/2026, 2:59:28 AM2 trades$21 min
4/22/2026, 11:33:42 AM2 trades$43 min
4/22/2026, 2:01:44 PM3 trades$73 min
4/22/2026, 2:11:42 PM1 trades$10 min
4/22/2026, 2:27:56 PM1 trades$10 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-11
04-24
05-03
05-12
05-21
05-30
06-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
97.5% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
6.8% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.6/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 2.6 br/event