Polydata

@Prestigious-Simple

#16,09392

0xa1795199a227f8d68134f30bf26314a9918c9629

101d· 63 markets · 162 tradesVol: $71,0952026-07-09T05:20
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

92
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 88%20/20
Profit Factor 11.29x15/15
Sharpe 0.5059/15
Sortino 0.7688/10
EV $+42.99110/10
HHI 36610/10
Profit Days 85%10/10
DD/Peak 7%10/10

Summary

Prestigious-Simple is an active trader on Polymarket with 162 trades spread across 63 markets over 273 days. They have achieved a net profit of $8,620 and hold a global PnL rank of #16,093. Their portfolio value currently stands at $201.17, supported by a total trading volume of $71,095. Prestigious-Simple’s smart score of 92 places them in the elite category, indicating strong performance consistency and strategy execution.

This trader favors a diversified approach, engaging in numerous markets without a specific focus on weather-related events. With a high win rate of 87.1% and a profit factor of 46.92, Prestigious-Simple demonstrates a low-risk profile, capitalizing on frequent, profitable trades. The slightly higher sell percentage of 57% suggests a preference for taking profits regularly rather than holding positions long-term. Their Sharpe ratio of 0.51 indicates moderate risk-adjusted returns, while their zero-day max drawdown duration points to effective risk management and minimal exposure to sustained losses.

Prestigious-Simple’s main strengths lie in their consistent profitability and ability to maintain an upward equity trend on Polymarket. Their sniper and contrarian badges highlight skill in timing and market insight. However, the relatively low bot score suggests manual trading, which may limit scalability. Additionally, the modest Sharpe ratio implies room for improvement in balancing returns with volatility. Overall, Prestigious-Simple shows disciplined trading with solid results but may face challenges in adapting to rapidly changing market conditions.

Badges

7
Sniper
Win Rate 88%
Profitable
PnL $+8,620
Lottery Player
35% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
100% entries <$0.50
Win Streak
21 wins in a row
Consistent
40/47 days
Cool Head
DD 7%

Categories

2
CRYPTO#8,858$5,297Vol: $36,058
💰 FINANCE#1,483$3,323Vol: $35,037

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$8,620
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$71,095
Total Redeem
$20
Portfolio
$201
Predictions
63
total markets
Trades
69B / 93S
Daily Volume
$18
Account Age
101d
since Mar 30, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$1,134
Vol: $3,000
Month
$1,330
Vol: $10,001
All Time
$8,620
Vol: $71,095

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
89%
56W / 7L events
Realized PnL
$8,619
Win Rate
87%
54W / 8L
Profit Factor
46.92x
Avg Win
$183
Avg Loss
$-26

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,659 (37.8% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $50,000 on July 8?$1,289
Will the price of XRP be between $1.10 and $1.20 on June 23?$1,285
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?$1,085
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 6?$740
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on June 11?$622
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April$462
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?$372
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 11?$335
MagicBlock FDV above $10M one day after launch?$295
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?$268

Top Losers

Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $67 Week of June 22 2026?$-116
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April $-36
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $61 Week of June 29 2026?$-25
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of June 15 above $400?$-22
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 Week of May 4 2026?$-8
QQQ (QQQ) Up or Down on April 21?$-3
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on June 19?$-0
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on June 24?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.505
Sortino
0.768
HHI
367
Diversified
EV per $1
$42.991
Kelly %
83.4%
Half-Kelly
41.7%
Top-1 market
8.1%
Top-5 markets
27.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
12.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.3h
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.14
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.0

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 723s — typical for humanSize CV 1.14 — diverse, typical for human18% at night — different timezone?23/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.10 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.1
Single entry
<=1
57 entries
<=2
63 entries
<=5
63 entries
<=10
63 entries
<=20
63 entries
<=50
63 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)34.8%
Mid (20-55c)65.2%
High (>55c)0%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 52.2%

Other$9,687
Up or Down$2

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
63

Single bracket

<=1
63 brackets
<=2
63 brackets
<=3
63 brackets
<=4
63 brackets
<=5
63 brackets
<=8
63 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/3/2026, 2:36:17 PM1 trades$00 min
4/6/2026, 1:31:05 PM2 trades$9802 min
4/7/2026, 4:27:37 PM3 trades$5051 min
4/7/2026, 9:13:21 PM2 trades$3771 min
4/9/2026, 10:33:25 AM2 trades$10 min
4/9/2026, 12:07:47 PM1 trades$90 min
4/10/2026, 2:47:13 PM2 trades$801 min
4/12/2026, 2:36:59 AM4 trades$1135 min
4/12/2026, 2:55:17 AM1 trades$1380 min
4/12/2026, 12:53:05 PM2 trades$3881 min
4/13/2026, 4:29:25 PM2 trades$121 min
4/13/2026, 4:45:31 PM1 trades$120 min
4/14/2026, 4:18:37 PM1 trades$2120 min
4/14/2026, 4:32:58 PM2 trades$3891 min
4/16/2026, 1:30:32 PM4 trades$322 min
4/17/2026, 1:13:12 PM3 trades$5131 min
4/20/2026, 4:25:44 PM1 trades$360 min
4/21/2026, 12:21:32 AM5 trades$838 min
4/21/2026, 2:48:08 PM12 trades$5851 min
4/27/2026, 1:47:36 PM2 trades$10 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-03
04-13
05-03
05-23
06-13
06-24
07-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
57.4% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event