Polydata

@Prestigious-Simple

#27,57886

0xa1795199a227f8d68134f30bf26314a9918c9629

51d· 30 markets · 90 tradesVol: $36,8302026-05-19T13:57
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

86
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 94%20/20
Profit Factor 7.21x15/15
Sharpe 0.4438/15
Sortino 0.3744/10
EV $+1.61310/10
HHI 7489/10
Profit Days 92%10/10
DD/Peak 16%10/10

Summary

Prestigious-Simple is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, ranked #27,578 globally with a net profit of $3,815.28 from 90 trades across 30 markets. With a total volume of $36,830 and 273 days of activity, this trader maintains a strong win rate of 90%, placing them among elite performers as indicated by their smart score of 86/100. Despite a portfolio value of zero currently, their equity trend is upward, demonstrating consistent profitability over time.

The trading style of Prestigious-Simple appears to be selective and strategic, favoring a manual approach with a low bot score of 5/100. They exhibit a preference for holding positions with a sell percentage of 61%, suggesting a moderate risk tolerance balanced between holding and taking profits. Their trades are spread across various markets, but they avoid weather markets entirely. The trader’s timing is disciplined, reflected in their zero-day max drawdown duration and a Sharpe ratio of 0.44, indicating reasonable risk-adjusted returns without prolonged losses.

Prestigious-Simple’s key strengths lie in their high win rate and profit factor of 90.65, supported by badges such as Sniper and Profitable that highlight precision and consistent gains on Polymarket. However, the relatively low Sharpe ratio and zero portfolio value may suggest limited capital deployment or conservative sizing at times. While their upward equity trend and short drawdowns are positive, the trader should monitor potential overexposure in contrarian or lottery-style bets that could impact long-term stability.

Badges

7
Sniper
Win Rate 94%
Profitable
PnL $+3,815
Lottery Player
46% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
100% entries <$0.50
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
Consistent
22/24 days
Cool Head
DD 16%

Categories

2
CRYPTO#20,630$1,723Vol: $19,755
💰 FINANCE#1,946$2,093Vol: $17,075

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$3,815
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$36,830
Total Redeem
$10
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
30
total markets
Trades
35B / 55S
Daily Volume
$10
Account Age
51d
since Mar 30, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$3
Vol: $11
Month
$1,903
Vol: $13,785
All Time
$3,815
Vol: $36,830

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
93%
28W / 2L events
Realized PnL
$3,815
Win Rate
90%
27W / 3L
Profit Factor
90.65x
Avg Win
$160
Avg Loss
$-16

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,287 (53.6% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 7?$1,085
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 6?$740
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on April$462
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 7?$372
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?$268
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 29?$195
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 7?$185
Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?$177
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April $147
Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on April 30?$143

Top Losers

Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April $-36
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $78 Week of May 4 2026?$-8
QQQ (QQQ) Up or Down on April 21?$-3

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.443
Sortino
0.374
HHI
748
Moderate
EV per $1
$1.613
Kelly %
88.4%
Half-Kelly
44.2%
Top-1 market
14.8%
Top-5 markets
48.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.12
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
46
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.0

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 144s — typical for humanSize CV 1.12 — diverse, typical for human20% at night — different timezone?17/24 hours — normal hoursSession CV 0.94 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.2
Single entry
<=1
25 entries
<=2
30 entries
<=5
30 entries
<=10
30 entries
<=20
30 entries
<=50
30 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)45.7%
Mid (20-55c)54.3%
High (>55c)0%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 42.6%

Other$4,264

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
30

Single bracket

<=1
30 brackets
<=2
30 brackets
<=3
30 brackets
<=4
30 brackets
<=5
30 brackets
<=8
30 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/3/2026, 2:36:17 PM1 trades$00 min
4/6/2026, 1:31:05 PM2 trades$9802 min
4/7/2026, 4:27:37 PM3 trades$5051 min
4/7/2026, 9:13:21 PM2 trades$3771 min
4/9/2026, 10:33:25 AM2 trades$10 min
4/9/2026, 12:07:47 PM1 trades$90 min
4/10/2026, 2:47:13 PM2 trades$801 min
4/12/2026, 2:36:59 AM4 trades$1135 min
4/12/2026, 2:55:17 AM1 trades$1380 min
4/12/2026, 12:53:05 PM2 trades$3881 min
4/13/2026, 4:29:25 PM2 trades$121 min
4/13/2026, 4:45:31 PM1 trades$120 min
4/14/2026, 4:18:37 PM1 trades$2120 min
4/14/2026, 4:32:58 PM2 trades$3891 min
4/16/2026, 1:30:32 PM4 trades$322 min
4/17/2026, 1:13:12 PM3 trades$5131 min
4/20/2026, 4:25:44 PM1 trades$360 min
4/21/2026, 12:21:32 AM5 trades$838 min
4/21/2026, 2:48:08 PM12 trades$5851 min
4/27/2026, 1:47:36 PM2 trades$10 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-03
04-09
04-16
04-29
05-07
05-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
61.1% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.2/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event