Polydata
Data is 3 days old — refreshing in background...

@Pretty-Divan

#2,589,69410

0xee888fa7b96007f7fa270988e92bddb0ae19ed10

573d· 9071 markets · 4717 tradesVol: $111,6722026-05-15T22:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 9%0/20
Profit Factor 0.31x0/15
HHI 410/10
Profit Days 21%0/10
DD/Peak 438%0/10

Summary

Pretty-Divan is a relatively new and highly active trader on Polymarket, with 4,717 trades across 3,132 markets over 58 days. Despite the high volume of activity, their net PnL stands at -$961.95, placing them at rank #2,589,694 on the global leaderboard. Their portfolio value has declined to $29.76, and their Sharpe ratio of -0.45 reflects negative risk-adjusted returns.

The trader prefers a high-frequency approach, engaging mostly in manual or semi-automated trading as indicated by a bot score of 65/100. Pretty-Divan does not appear to participate in weather markets and exhibits a 0% sell rate, suggesting a buy-and-hold style aligned with their Diamond Hands badge. Their extremely high win rate (99.2%) and profit factor (390.94) point to frequent small gains, but the downward equity trend implies an inability to convert these into sustainable profits.

Pretty-Divan’s strength lies in their persistence and volume, as well as their ability to maintain a long position without selling. However, the significant net losses, low smart score (10/100), and declining equity trend raise concerns about risk management and strategy effectiveness. Their lack of diversification into different market types and a 0% sell rate could amplify downside risk in volatile conditions.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

2
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Win Streak
209 wins in a row

Categories

2
CRYPTO#1,455,206$-957Vol: $111,636
🏛️ POLITICS#1,087,811$-5Vol: $36

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-962
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$111,672
Total Redeem
$5,061
Portfolio
$30
Predictions
9071
total markets
Trades
4717B / 0S
Daily Volume
$234
Account Age
573d
since Oct 22, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$-59
Vol: $4,432
Week
$-497
Vol: $11,886
Month
$-1,120
Vol: $19,164
All Time
$-962
Vol: $111,672

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
9%
253W / 2421L events
Realized PnL
$3,375
Win Rate
99%
700W / 6L
Profit Factor
390.94x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $54 (2.3% of PnL)

Top Winners

Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$21
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$14
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET$14
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET$12
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$11
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET$11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$11

Top Losers

Solana Up or Down - May 15, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$-3
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$-2
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$-1
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$-0
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$-0
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.452
Sortino
-0.582
HHI
4
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.689
Kelly %
99.0%
Half-Kelly
49.5%
Top-1 market
0.2%
Top-5 markets
0.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
94.4
Very active
Markets / Day
62.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
14.6m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.60
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.2

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

8 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 283s — typical for humanSize CV 0.60 — diverse, typical for human25% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.50 — human randomness94 trades/day — mass trading63 markets/day — mass coverage2674 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.5
Single entry
<=1
2126 entries
<=2
2780 entries
<=5
3112 entries
<=10
3131 entries
<=20
3132 entries
<=50
3132 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.5%
Mid (20-55c)62.7%
High (>55c)35.8%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 44.6%

Other$2,378

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
3132

Single bracket

<=1
3132 brackets
<=2
3132 brackets
<=3
3132 brackets
<=4
3132 brackets
<=5
3132 brackets
<=8
3132 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/26/2026, 11:25:13 PM1 trades$70 min
3/26/2026, 11:50:35 PM1 trades$60 min
3/26/2026, 11:55:59 PM2 trades$134 min
3/30/2026, 2:31:23 PM2 trades$20 min
3/30/2026, 6:45:27 PM1 trades$70 min
3/31/2026, 8:40:07 AM1 trades$20 min
3/31/2026, 11:48:55 AM1 trades$70 min
3/31/2026, 2:20:29 PM1 trades$80 min
4/2/2026, 12:10:41 PM1 trades$80 min
4/2/2026, 12:25:17 PM1 trades$80 min
4/2/2026, 1:05:13 PM1 trades$70 min
4/2/2026, 1:11:07 PM1 trades$70 min
4/2/2026, 1:32:43 PM1 trades$70 min
4/2/2026, 2:05:13 PM1 trades$70 min
4/2/2026, 2:35:35 PM1 trades$70 min
4/2/2026, 2:45:23 PM1 trades$70 min
4/2/2026, 3:00:33 PM3 trades$70 min
4/2/2026, 3:20:19 PM1 trades$70 min
4/2/2026, 3:30:35 PM2 trades$145 min
4/2/2026, 3:45:17 PM1 trades$70 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-18
03-30
04-06
04-13
04-20
04-27
05-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.5/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event