Polydata

@Prickly-Barrel

#1,76386

0x558f2f82cf0394c28ce3c8e117ee747aeab51a56

92d· 9959 markets · 5361 tradesVol: $4,800,3582026-06-26T23:19
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

86
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 63%16/20
Profit Factor 6.14x15/15
Sharpe 0.4689/15
Sortino 0.6026/10
EV $+3.82910/10
HHI 11210/10
Profit Days 80%10/10
DD/Peak 8%10/10

Summary

Prickly-Barrel is an experienced and consistently successful trader on Polymarket, currently ranked #1763 on the global PnL leaderboard. With 447 days active and over 5,300 trades across more than 1,500 markets, they have generated a net profit of $97,632.39 on a total volume exceeding $4.8 million. Their Smart Score of 86/100 places them in the elite category, reflecting strong overall performance and skill.

Prickly-Barrel tends to favor a high-volume, diversified trading approach, engaging broadly rather than focusing on specific market types, as evidenced by zero exposure to weather markets. Their 71.8% win rate and profit factor of 4.51 suggest a reliable ability to identify profitable opportunities. The trader’s low sell percentage (2%) and semi-bot score indicate a hybrid strategy combining automated decision-making with manual oversight. Prickly-Barrel’s Sharpe ratio of 0.47 and stable equity trend point to moderate risk-taking with consistent returns rather than aggressive speculation.

The key strengths of Prickly-Barrel lie in their disciplined, sniper-like execution and strong win streaks, supported by a large and varied portfolio. However, the relatively modest Sharpe ratio and flat equity growth imply limited upside volatility, which may restrict large gains during favorable conditions. Additionally, their semi-bot approach could face risks if market dynamics shift rapidly, requiring careful balance between automation and manual intervention.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 63%
Profitable
PnL $+97,632
Diamond Hands
2% sell
Win Streak
151 wins in a row
Whale
$658,118
Consistent
88/110 days
High Roller
$1,472/day
Cool Head
DD 8%

Categories

7
SPORTS#784$83,870Vol: $4,070,294
🏛️ POLITICS#5,027$6,785Vol: $323,083
🎭 CULTURE#4,001$1,376Vol: $145,908
💰 FINANCE#1,404$3,423Vol: $127,835
🌤️ WEATHER#1,203$1,287Vol: $93,160
📈 ECONOMICS#12,817$81Vol: $21,235
💻 TECH#10,030$32Vol: $4,104

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$97,632
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,800,358
Total Redeem
$386,711
Portfolio
$55,256
Predictions
9959
total markets
Trades
5263B / 98S
Daily Volume
$1,472
Account Age
92d
since Mar 27, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$364
Vol: $1,664
Week
$-14,585
Vol: $102,090
Month
$-40,629
Vol: $446,106
All Time
$97,632
Vol: $4,800,358

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
80%
224W / 55L events
Realized PnL
$667,632
Win Rate
72%
630W / 247L
Profit Factor
4.51x
Avg Win
$420
Avg Loss
$-237

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $188,972 (91.9% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$165,959
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals$11,754
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$11,259
New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5$7,463
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies$7,463
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5$5,182
Boston Red Sox vs. Seattle Mariners$4,851
1st 5 Innings Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)$4,062
Spurs vs. Knicks$3,619
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Kansas City Royals$3,470

Top Losers

Baltimore Orioles vs. Los Angeles Dodgers$-5,021
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on $-2,417
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market c$-2,417
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on M$-2,417
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap $-2,417
Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap o$-2,417
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on M$-2,412
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential $-2,226
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5$-1,794
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles$-1,151

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.468
Sortino
0.602
HHI
112
Diversified
EV per $1
$3.829
Kelly %
44.5%
Half-Kelly
22.3%
Top-1 market
6%
Top-5 markets
17.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
59.1
Very active
Markets / Day
17.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
7.10
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.4

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

8 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 186s — typical for humanSize CV 7.10 — diverse, typical for human24% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.18 — human randomness59 trades/day — mass trading17 markets/day — mass coverage1228 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.3
Moderate DCA
<=1
602 entries
<=2
900 entries
<=5
1342 entries
<=10
1502 entries
<=20
1573 entries
<=50
1582 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.4%
Mid (20-55c)5.4%
High (>55c)91.2%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 15%

Other$150,419
Chicago$16,505
Los Angeles$10,834
Miami$9,685
Seattle$7,384
Houston$5,898
Toronto$4,328
San Francisco$1,594
Mousavian$0
Balogun$0
Seoul$-463
Atlanta$-488

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
3.5
Events covered
452

Multi-bracket hedger

<=1
197 brackets
<=2
289 brackets
<=3
334 brackets
<=4
367 brackets
<=5
378 brackets
<=8
409 brackets
>8
43 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/27/2026, 6:18:33 PM12 trades$4000 min
3/27/2026, 6:34:39 PM11 trades$1621 min
3/27/2026, 6:59:33 PM22 trades$1,0560 min
3/28/2026, 2:46:11 AM3 trades$480 min
3/28/2026, 6:28:27 AM20 trades$3830 min
3/28/2026, 2:49:59 PM7 trades$2,3990 min
3/29/2026, 5:42:02 PM8 trades$1480 min
3/29/2026, 7:19:18 PM19 trades$5554 min
3/30/2026, 5:37:31 PM1 trades$150 min
3/31/2026, 1:02:29 AM4 trades$940 min
3/31/2026, 3:46:17 AM3 trades$620 min
3/31/2026, 5:38:17 PM1 trades$500 min
4/1/2026, 1:02:39 AM1 trades$260 min
4/1/2026, 8:11:35 AM4 trades$940 min
4/1/2026, 2:52:07 PM23 trades$4230 min
4/1/2026, 4:02:49 PM2 trades$570 min
4/1/2026, 6:13:21 PM14 trades$6490 min
4/1/2026, 11:47:19 PM13 trades$1,4170 min
4/2/2026, 5:10:13 AM22 trades$4240 min
4/2/2026, 5:50:07 AM11 trades$4990 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
04-12
04-30
05-23
06-17
06-27
07-23
12-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
1.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.3/mkt
Hedging
MULTI
avg 3.5 br/event