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Prickly-Signup

@Prickly-Signup

#3,77592

0x0dde1b35552efae5aa3759aedb6fa7b2d6f594c3

548d· 688 markets · 12777 tradesVol: $4,664,4392026-07-01T06:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

92
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 98%20/20
Profit Factor 29.31x15/15
Sharpe 0.3937/15
Sortino 1457020.04710/10
EV $+0.41910/10
HHI 13710/10
Profit Days 100%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Prickly-Signup is a highly active trader on Polymarket, ranked #3775 globally by net profit and recognized with an elite Smart Score of 92/100. Over 907 days, they executed 12,777 trades across 265 markets, generating a net PnL of $42,647.20 on a total volume exceeding $4.6 million. Their portfolio value has steadily grown to $186,405.41, reflecting consistent equity appreciation despite a moderate Sharpe ratio of 0.39.

This trader demonstrates a balanced approach with a 50% win rate and a profit factor of 0.17, indicating a more conservative risk profile. Prickly-Signup tends to avoid weather markets and employs a mix of manual and semi-automated trading strategies, as suggested by their bot score of 45/100. With a sell percentage of 38%, they often hold positions rather than quick flips, and their badges such as "DCA Master" and "Sniper" imply careful entry timing and dollar-cost averaging tactics.

Prickly-Signup's strengths include a robust trading volume, an upward equity trend, and resilience with no extended drawdown periods. However, their relatively low profit factor and moderate Sharpe ratio suggest limited risk-adjusted returns and potential vulnerability to market volatility. Overall, Prickly-Signup presents a disciplined yet cautious profile within Polymarket’s diverse trader community.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

7
Sniper
Win Rate 98%
Profitable
PnL $+42,647
DCA Master
avg 29.7 entries/market
Win Streak
21 wins in a row
Whale
$1,895,910
Consistent
52/52 days
High Roller
$2,090/day

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#963$51,466Vol: $3,742,125
📈 ECONOMICS#666,510$-4,263Vol: $336,553
🎭 CULTURE#2,566$2,527Vol: $292,690
💻 TECH#245,775$-9,153Vol: $130,309
🌤️ WEATHER#1,665$851Vol: $66,363
CRYPTO#34,656$735Vol: $64,497
💰 FINANCE#9,536$289Vol: $27,097
SPORTS#83,931$195Vol: $4,794
📢 MENTIONS#41,260$1Vol: $10

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$42,647
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,664,439
Total Redeem
$149,591
Portfolio
$186,405
Predictions
688
total markets
Trades
7879B / 4898S
Daily Volume
$2,090
Account Age
548d
since Jan 5, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$102
Vol: $195
Week
$827
Vol: $7,280
Month
$102
Vol: $195
All Time
$42,647
Vol: $4,664,439

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
98%
238W / 4L events
Realized PnL
$70,364
Win Rate
50%
100W / 100L
Profit Factor
0.17x
Avg Win
$667
Avg Loss
$-3,822

Top Winners

Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?$5,477
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?$5,413
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?$4,076
Trump takes Panama Canal in 2025?$3,923
Trump out as President by March 31?$3,704
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?$2,733
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?$2,471
Macron out by June 30, 2026?$2,341
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?$2,120
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?$2,109

Top Losers

Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?$-31,209
Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?$-19,073
Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked in 2025?$-18,911
Bayrou out as French PM in 2025?$-16,055
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$-15,934
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?$-15,652
Next French confidence vote passes?$-15,609
Nicolas Sarkozy in jail by March 31?$-11,946
Bayrou out as French PM by September 30?$-10,442
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?$-10,298

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.393
Sortino
inf
HHI
137
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.419
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.9%
Top-5 markets
17.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
23.7
Active
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
11.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
59.0m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.76
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.4

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 690s — typical for humanSize CV 2.76 — diverse, typical for human21% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.95 — human randomness24 trades/day — suspiciously high316 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
29.7
Heavy DCA
<=1
12 entries
<=2
27 entries
<=5
56 entries
<=10
96 entries
<=20
138 entries
<=50
222 entries
>50
43 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.1%
Mid (20-55c)1.9%
High (>55c)97%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 7.4%

Warsh$879
Newsom$0
New York City$-2,220
Other$-314,118

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.3
Events covered
199

Single bracket

<=1
171 brackets
<=2
186 brackets
<=3
192 brackets
<=4
195 brackets
<=5
195 brackets
<=8
197 brackets
>8
2 brackets

Sessions

#12
1/7/2025, 1:25:17 PM1 trades$840 min
1/7/2025, 2:15:56 PM1 trades$1680 min
1/7/2025, 9:07:18 PM1 trades$10 min
1/9/2025, 7:30:30 AM1 trades$700 min
1/9/2025, 7:38:17 PM2 trades$152 min
1/9/2025, 7:50:47 PM1 trades$170 min
1/9/2025, 8:02:41 PM2 trades$604 min
1/10/2025, 9:01:49 AM1 trades$440 min
1/12/2025, 8:46:52 PM1 trades$170 min
1/13/2025, 11:07:17 AM1 trades$850 min
1/14/2025, 6:54:07 AM2 trades$1284 min
1/14/2025, 5:47:55 PM1 trades$50 min
1/14/2025, 6:20:01 PM1 trades$810 min
1/14/2025, 10:09:46 PM1 trades$850 min
1/15/2025, 2:52:49 PM1 trades$310 min
1/15/2025, 6:30:43 PM1 trades$400 min
1/16/2025, 7:04:16 PM1 trades$90 min
1/16/2025, 11:55:13 PM1 trades$420 min
1/17/2025, 7:31:12 AM1 trades$840 min
1/17/2025, 1:51:21 PM2 trades$3221 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
02-10
05-09
08-31
01-01
05-14
11-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 29.7/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.3 br/event