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Prickly-Signup

@Prickly-Signup

#3,62392

0x0dde1b35552efae5aa3759aedb6fa7b2d6f594c3

500d· 661 markets · 11385 tradesVol: $4,282,6682026-05-15T18:31
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

92
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 97%20/20
Profit Factor 28.76x15/15
Sharpe 0.3637/15
Sortino 1242171.32310/10
EV $+0.34010/10
HHI 13710/10
Profit Days 98%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Prickly-Signup is a highly active trader on Polymarket, with over 11,000 trades executed across 255 markets over a span of 907 days. Ranked #3623 on the global PnL leaderboard, this trader has accumulated a net profit of $38,341.25 and maintains a portfolio value exceeding $209,000. Their smart score of 92/100 places them in the elite category, reflecting consistent and skillful trading performance.

The trading style of Prickly-Signup involves a diversified approach, engaging in a wide variety of markets without a specific focus on weather-related events. Their win rate of 51.1% combined with a relatively low profit factor of 0.22 suggests a strategy that may rely on frequent small gains rather than large payouts. The trader exhibits a moderate risk profile, as indicated by a Sharpe ratio of 0.36 and zero-day max drawdown duration, implying a steady upward equity trend with limited prolonged losses. The semi-bot score suggests a mix of algorithmic and manual trading, with a sell percentage of 38% pointing to timely profit-taking.

Prickly-Signup’s strengths include a large trading volume and a sustained upward portfolio growth, supported by badges such as Sniper and DCA Master that highlight precision and disciplined averaging down. However, the relatively low profit factor and moderate Sharpe ratio may indicate vulnerability during highly volatile or unfavorable market conditions. Continued reliance on frequent trades with modest profits could expose Prickly-Signup to risks if market dynamics shift suddenly on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 97%
Profitable
PnL $+38,341
DCA Master
avg 27.8 entries/market
Win Streak
14 wins in a row
Whale
$1,797,032
Consistent
55/56 days
High Roller
$1,981/day
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,059$42,393Vol: $3,428,163
📈 ECONOMICS#2,332$1,146Vol: $310,102
🎭 CULTURE#2,439$2,454Vol: $290,323
💻 TECH#231,370$-9,184Vol: $129,014
CRYPTO#32,392$735Vol: $64,497
🌤️ WEATHER#2,656$356Vol: $29,583
💰 FINANCE#9,170$265Vol: $26,681
SPORTS#81,671$175Vol: $4,294
📢 MENTIONS#40,197$1Vol: $10

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$38,341
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,282,668
Total Redeem
$148,293
Portfolio
$209,140
Predictions
661
total markets
Trades
7088B / 4297S
Daily Volume
$1,981
Account Age
500d
since Jan 5, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$486
Vol: $13,301
Week
$1,276
Vol: $89,533
Month
$5,187
Vol: $209,692
All Time
$38,341
Vol: $4,282,668

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
99%
240W / 3L events
Realized PnL
$64,707
Win Rate
51%
96W / 92L
Profit Factor
0.22x
Avg Win
$807
Avg Loss
$-3,771

Top Winners

Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?$17,357
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?$9,020
Trump takes Panama Canal in 2025?$3,923
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?$3,785
Trump out as President by March 31?$3,766
Will Trump be impeached in 2025?$2,469
Odds Trump acquires Greenland before 2027 hit 50% by March 31?$2,461
Macron out by June 30, 2026?$2,341
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?$2,120
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?$2,055

Top Losers

Israel nuclear weapon use against Iran by January 31?$-31,209
Will Russia invade a NATO country in 2025?$-19,364
Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked in 2025?$-18,597
Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged?$-16,738
Bayrou out as French PM in 2025?$-16,055
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$-15,934
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet?$-15,652
Next French confidence vote passes?$-15,609
Bayrou out as French PM by September 30?$-10,442
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?$-10,298

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.363
Sortino
inf
HHI
137
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.341
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.2%
Top-5 markets
17.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
23.1
Active
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
12.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.84
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.1

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 776s — typical for humanSize CV 2.84 — diverse, typical for human19% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.97 — human randomness23 trades/day — suspiciously high318 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
27.8
Heavy DCA
<=1
12 entries
<=2
24 entries
<=5
50 entries
<=10
94 entries
<=20
136 entries
<=50
217 entries
>50
38 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.2%
Mid (20-55c)2%
High (>55c)96.8%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 7.9%

Warsh$879
Newsom$0
New York City$-1,483
Other$-268,897

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.3
Events covered
191

Single bracket

<=1
162 brackets
<=2
178 brackets
<=3
183 brackets
<=4
187 brackets
<=5
188 brackets
<=8
189 brackets
>8
2 brackets

Sessions

#12
1/7/2025, 12:58:40 AM1 trades$850 min
1/7/2025, 8:28:13 AM1 trades$880 min
1/7/2025, 1:25:17 PM1 trades$840 min
1/7/2025, 2:15:56 PM1 trades$1680 min
1/7/2025, 6:35:02 PM1 trades$870 min
1/7/2025, 9:07:18 PM1 trades$10 min
1/9/2025, 7:30:30 AM1 trades$700 min
1/9/2025, 7:38:17 PM2 trades$152 min
1/9/2025, 7:50:47 PM1 trades$170 min
1/9/2025, 8:02:41 PM2 trades$604 min
1/10/2025, 9:01:49 AM1 trades$440 min
1/10/2025, 7:04:33 PM1 trades$860 min
1/12/2025, 5:28:07 PM1 trades$1720 min
1/12/2025, 8:46:52 PM1 trades$170 min
1/13/2025, 11:07:17 AM1 trades$850 min
1/14/2025, 6:54:07 AM2 trades$1284 min
1/14/2025, 5:47:55 PM1 trades$50 min
1/14/2025, 6:20:01 PM1 trades$810 min
1/14/2025, 10:09:46 PM1 trades$850 min
1/15/2025, 11:34:25 AM1 trades$80 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
02-28
06-13
09-19
03-01
05-22
12-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 27.8/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.3 br/event