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@Productive-Hospital

#2,756,05371

0x7272f7097c481312fc0e88574918de6df3775d6d

90d· 3302 markets · 861 tradesVol: $210,359 @Nashesol2026-06-20T14:47
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

71
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 53%11/20
Profit Factor 37.62x15/15
Sharpe 0.2334/15
Sortino 27.74610/10
EV $+32.53410/10
HHI 9110/10
Profit Days 21%0/10
DD/Peak 2%10/10

Summary

Productive-Hospital is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, having executed 861 trades across 583 markets over 79 days. Despite a high volume of $210,359, their net PnL stands at -$1,006.51, placing them at rank #2,756,053 globally. Their portfolio value is currently $247.22, with a smart score of 71 indicating solid trading skill, though their profit factor is zero and Sharpe ratio is low at 0.23.

The trading style of Productive-Hospital appears to be high-frequency and diversified, with a strong preference for weather markets (8% of trades) and a low sell percentage of 10%. Their win rate is an unusual 100%, but the negative net PnL suggests these "wins" may be small or offset by losses elsewhere. The trader holds a contrarian approach and is characterized by a cool-headed demeanor, often engaging in lottery-like, high-variance positions. Their activity suggests a mix of bot-assisted and manual trades, given a bot score of 45.

Productive-Hospital’s main strength is consistency in trade execution and maintaining a flat equity trend without significant drawdowns. However, the negative overall PnL and low profit factor highlight concerns about profitability and risk-adjusted returns. Their contrarian and lottery-player profile may expose them to high volatility and unpredictable outcomes in Polymarket trading.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

4
Lottery Player
38% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
54% entries <$0.50
Win Streak
334 wins in a row
Cool Head
DD 2%

Categories

3
₿ CRYPTO#1,531,783$-814Vol: $203,933
⚽ SPORTS#1,595,568$-166Vol: $3,860
🌤️ WEATHER#253,455$-27Vol: $2,566

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,007
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$210,359
Total Redeem
$27,451
Portfolio
$247
Predictions
3302
total markets
Trades
772B / 89S
Daily Volume
$39
Account Age
90d
since Apr 3, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$19
Vol: $118
Week
$-123
Vol: $4,967
Month
$3
Vol: $6,506
All Time
$-1,007
Vol: $210,359

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
56%
258W / 200L events
Realized PnL
$46,241
Win Rate
100%
334W / 0L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$31
Avg Loss
$0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $303 (3% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$101
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$101
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$101
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET$101
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$101
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$100

Top Losers

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.233
Sortino
27.746
HHI
91
Diversified
EV per $1
$32.534
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.1%
Top-5 markets
15.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
11.1
Active
Markets / Day
7.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
11.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
49.2m
between trades
Night Trading
30%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.15
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.1

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 688s — typical for humanSize CV 1.15 — diverse, typical for human30% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.91 — human randomness11 trades/day — very active489 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.3
Single entry
<=1
532 entries
<=2
550 entries
<=5
568 entries
<=10
580 entries
<=20
582 entries
<=50
583 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)38.5%
Mid (20-55c)18%
High (>55c)43.5%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 82.3%

Other$10,092
Shanghai$107
Taipei$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
549

Single bracket

<=1
531 brackets
<=2
533 brackets
<=3
549 brackets
<=4
549 brackets
<=5
549 brackets
<=8
549 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/3/2026, 5:59:25 PM1 trades$240 min
4/3/2026, 6:09:11 PM3 trades$160 min
4/5/2026, 12:18:11 AM2 trades$50 min
4/5/2026, 1:16:45 PM1 trades$20 min
4/6/2026, 5:56:11 AM1 trades$30 min
4/6/2026, 11:16:17 AM1 trades$10 min
4/6/2026, 1:01:29 PM1 trades$30 min
4/6/2026, 1:33:35 PM1 trades$40 min
4/6/2026, 6:27:43 PM1 trades$10 min
4/6/2026, 8:06:29 PM1 trades$20 min
4/20/2026, 1:08:06 PM1 trades$50 min
4/25/2026, 1:55:18 AM2 trades$50 min
4/25/2026, 3:08:24 AM21 trades$221 min
4/28/2026, 2:45:14 AM3 trades$80 min
4/28/2026, 3:00:18 AM3 trades$83 min
5/13/2026, 12:29:29 AM2 trades$30 min
5/15/2026, 2:07:59 AM1 trades$10 min
5/17/2026, 5:13:11 PM11 trades$10 min
5/17/2026, 5:24:14 PM1 trades$00 min
5/17/2026, 5:59:26 PM9 trades$05 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-03
05-08
05-18
05-29
06-08
06-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
8.2% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
10.3% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.3/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event