Polydata

@Productive-Hospital

#2,829,41070

0x7272f7097c481312fc0e88574918de6df3775d6d

93d· 3350 markets · 844 tradesVol: $216,361 @Nashesol2026-07-03T09:19
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

70
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 51%11/20
Profit Factor 30.71x15/15
Sharpe 0.2224/15
Sortino 21.20410/10
EV $+28.62710/10
HHI 8410/10
Profit Days 20%0/10
DD/Peak 3%10/10

Summary

Productive-Hospital is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 844 trades across 573 markets over 107 days. Despite a high trading volume of $216,361, their net PnL stands at -$1,046.49, placing them at rank #2,829,410 on the global leaderboard. Their Smart Score of 70/100 indicates generally good trading decisions, and they maintain a stable portfolio value around $37.33.

The trader’s strategy appears to involve diverse market engagement, including a notable 9% allocation to weather markets, with a low sell percentage of 13%, suggesting a longer holding period. Productive-Hospital maintains a 100% win rate but a profit factor of 0.00 and a low Sharpe ratio of 0.22, indicating limited profitability per trade and low risk-adjusted returns. Rapid trading activity combined with a Bot Score of 30/100 suggests they are likely a human trader using a fast interface. Their equity trend remains flat, reflecting a cautious or break-even approach.

Key strengths for Productive-Hospital include consistency and a calm approach, as highlighted by badges like Win Streak and Cool Head, and no prolonged drawdowns. However, the negative net PnL and low profit factor raise concerns about the overall effectiveness of their strategy on Polymarket. Continuous losses despite frequent wins may indicate small margins or transaction costs eroding profits.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

2
Win Streak
127 wins in a row
Cool Head
DD 3%

Categories

4
CRYPTO#1,557,862$-814Vol: $203,933
SPORTS#1,640,951$-144Vol: $7,511
🌤️ WEATHER#262,533$-37Vol: $2,712
🏛️ POLITICS#1,117,463$-5Vol: $1,586

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,046
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$216,361
Total Redeem
$25,833
Portfolio
$37
Predictions
3350
total markets
Trades
732B / 112S
Daily Volume
$42
Account Age
93d
since Apr 3, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$-148
Vol: $5,728
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-1,046
Vol: $216,361

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
54%
252W / 212L events
Realized PnL
$46,124
Win Rate
100%
127W / 0L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$14
Avg Loss
$0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $301 (17.5% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$100

Top Losers

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.222
Sortino
21.204
HHI
84
Diversified
EV per $1
$28.627
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.4%
Top-5 markets
15.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
9.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
6.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
11.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
56.8m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.15
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.0

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 660s — typical for humanSize CV 1.14 — diverse, typical for human22% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.30 — human randomness492 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.3
Single entry
<=1
521 entries
<=2
545 entries
<=5
560 entries
<=10
570 entries
<=20
571 entries
<=50
572 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)24.3%
Mid (20-55c)26%
High (>55c)49.7%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 80.7%

Other$1,526
Shanghai$189
Taipei$0
Milan$0
Wellington$0
Los Angeles$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
534

Single bracket

<=1
512 brackets
<=2
517 brackets
<=3
534 brackets
<=4
534 brackets
<=5
534 brackets
<=8
534 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/3/2026, 5:59:25 PM1 trades$240 min
4/3/2026, 6:09:11 PM3 trades$160 min
4/5/2026, 12:18:11 AM2 trades$50 min
4/5/2026, 1:16:45 PM1 trades$20 min
4/6/2026, 5:56:11 AM1 trades$30 min
4/6/2026, 11:16:17 AM1 trades$10 min
4/6/2026, 1:01:29 PM1 trades$30 min
4/6/2026, 1:33:35 PM1 trades$40 min
4/6/2026, 6:27:43 PM1 trades$10 min
4/6/2026, 8:06:29 PM1 trades$10 min
4/20/2026, 1:08:06 PM1 trades$50 min
4/25/2026, 1:55:18 AM2 trades$50 min
4/25/2026, 3:08:24 AM21 trades$221 min
4/28/2026, 2:45:14 AM3 trades$80 min
4/28/2026, 3:00:18 AM3 trades$83 min
5/13/2026, 12:29:29 AM2 trades$30 min
5/15/2026, 2:07:59 AM1 trades$10 min
5/17/2026, 10:02:15 PM14 trades$10 min
5/17/2026, 10:19:10 PM1 trades$00 min
5/17/2026, 10:34:27 PM6 trades$05 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
05-07
05-15
05-28
06-07
06-14
06-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
8.7% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
13.3% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.3/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event