Polydata
Data is 4 days old — refreshing in background...

@Productive-Hospital

#2,582,52086

0x7272f7097c481312fc0e88574918de6df3775d6d

47d· 2733 markets · 1078 tradesVol: $189,342 @Nashesol2026-05-17T17:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

86
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 93%20/20
Profit Factor 6752.44x15/15
Sharpe 0.3977/15
Sortino 203.31910/10
EV $+93.65810/10
HHI 11710/10
Profit Days 44%3/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Productive-Hospital is an active trader on Polymarket, with 1,078 trades executed across 335 markets in just 44 days. Despite a high trading volume of $189,342, the trader currently holds a net PnL of -$813.84, placing them at rank #2,582,520 on the global leaderboard. Their portfolio value stands at $400, and they maintain an elite Smart Score of 86/100, indicating strong strategic capabilities despite the negative overall profit.

The trader’s style is characterized by a very high win rate of 98.1% and a profit factor of 6752.44, suggesting frequent small wins rather than large payoffs. Productive-Hospital exhibits a semi-automated approach, blending bot-driven and manual trading with a Bot Score of 45/100. They avoid weather markets and maintain a balanced sell rate of 40%, indicating a moderate risk profile with an emphasis on quick, consistent trades. Their Sharpe Ratio of 0.40 reflects modest risk-adjusted returns, and the zero-day max drawdown duration suggests disciplined risk management.

Productive-Hospital’s strengths lie in their consistent equity growth and ability to maintain a steady upward trend while avoiding large drawdowns. Their sniper and contrarian badges highlight precision and confidence in market timing. However, the negative net PnL and low portfolio value may signal overtrading or challenges in scaling profitable positions. Continued monitoring of their risk controls and market selection on Polymarket is advisable to assess long-term viability.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

5
Sniper
Win Rate 93%
Lottery Player
94% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
99% entries <$0.50
Win Streak
286 wins in a row
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

1
CRYPTO#1,454,015$-814Vol: $189,342

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-814
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$189,342
Total Redeem
$87,250
Portfolio
$400
Predictions
2733
total markets
Trades
652B / 426S
Daily Volume
$9
Account Age
47d
since Apr 3, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-36
Vol: $7,936
Week
$-176
Vol: $7,936
Month
$-400
Vol: $157,363
All Time
$-814
Vol: $189,342

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
94%
250W / 16L events
Realized PnL
$46,100
Win Rate
98%
312W / 3L
Profit Factor
6752.44x
Avg Win
$91
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $406 (1.4% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET$199
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET$104
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET$104
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET$103
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET$102
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$102
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET$102
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET$102
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET$102
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$102

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET$-2
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET$-1
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.397
Sortino
203.319
HHI
117
Diversified
EV per $1
$93.658
Kelly %
98.1%
Half-Kelly
49.0%
Top-1 market
5.8%
Top-5 markets
18.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
24.5
Active
Markets / Day
7.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
18.2m
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.96
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.7

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 178s — typical for humanSize CV 1.96 — diverse, typical for human28% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.30 — human randomness25 trades/day — suspiciously high

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.2
Moderate DCA
<=1
202 entries
<=2
223 entries
<=5
265 entries
<=10
288 entries
<=20
292 entries
<=50
293 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)93.6%
Mid (20-55c)5.7%
High (>55c)0.8%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 60.5%

Other$28,462

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
335

Single bracket

<=1
335 brackets
<=2
335 brackets
<=3
335 brackets
<=4
335 brackets
<=5
335 brackets
<=8
335 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/3/2026, 5:59:25 PM1 trades$240 min
4/3/2026, 6:09:11 PM3 trades$160 min
4/5/2026, 12:18:11 AM2 trades$50 min
4/5/2026, 1:16:45 PM1 trades$20 min
4/6/2026, 5:56:11 AM1 trades$30 min
4/6/2026, 11:16:17 AM1 trades$10 min
4/6/2026, 1:01:29 PM1 trades$30 min
4/6/2026, 1:33:35 PM1 trades$40 min
4/6/2026, 6:27:43 PM1 trades$10 min
4/6/2026, 8:06:29 PM1 trades$20 min
4/20/2026, 1:08:06 PM1 trades$50 min
4/25/2026, 1:55:18 AM2 trades$50 min
4/25/2026, 3:08:24 AM21 trades$221 min
4/28/2026, 2:45:14 AM3 trades$80 min
4/28/2026, 3:00:18 AM3 trades$83 min
5/8/2026, 1:39:48 AM5 trades$60 min
5/8/2026, 6:49:57 AM2 trades$90 min
5/8/2026, 12:39:40 PM2 trades$20 min
5/8/2026, 5:14:42 PM6 trades$40 min
5/9/2026, 3:29:32 AM6 trades$60 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-03
04-06
04-25
05-07
05-09
05-11
05-13
05-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.2/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event