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@Profitable-Recorder

#4,20038

0x92a6294cd55b9c6ccd57efaffc365ad943118b84

123d· 1253 markets · 4718 tradesVol: $8,419,5072026-05-12T21:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

38
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 0.21x0/15
HHI 9210/10
Profit Days 63%8/10
DD/Peak 749556%0/10

Summary

Profitable-Recorder is an active Polymarket trader with 4,718 trades across 653 markets over 366 days. With a net PnL of $32,356.26, they rank #4200 on the global PnL leaderboard. Despite a high win rate of 79.9%, their Smart Score is 38/100, indicating below-average overall trading quality. Their portfolio value stands at $137,147.63, but recent equity trends show a decline.

The trader prefers a high-frequency approach, engaging in a large number of trades with low sell percentages (7%), suggesting a tendency to hold positions longer. Profitable-Recorder focuses little on niche markets like weather (1%) and demonstrates a strategy that might rely on averaging down (DCA Master badge) and disciplined entry timing (Sniper badge). Their profit factor of 0.21 and a negative Sharpe ratio (-0.23) point to a risky style with uneven returns despite a strong win rate.

Key strengths for Profitable-Recorder include consistent trade frequency and a solid win rate, supported by badges indicating disciplined tactics. However, the downward equity trend and a low profit factor raise concerns about risk management and overall profitability sustainability. The combination of a below-average Smart Score and negative Sharpe ratio suggests that improvements in trade selection and risk controls could benefit their Polymarket performance.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Profitable
PnL $+32,356
Diamond Hands
7% sell
DCA Master
avg 6.7 entries/market
Win Streak
162 wins in a row
Whale
$4,986,978
Consistent
46/73 days
High Roller
$13,626/day

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,761$23,682Vol: $5,885,339
📢 MENTIONS#156,292$-2,333Vol: $709,862
🎭 CULTURE#1,195$5,886Vol: $496,093
SPORTS#1,634,524$-8,780Vol: $490,384
💰 FINANCE#5,647$531Vol: $314,680
🌤️ WEATHER#2,036$474Vol: $142,287
💻 TECH#5,268$99Vol: $98,473
CRYPTO#31,817$757Vol: $69,897
📈 ECONOMICS#2,203$1,233Vol: $43,409

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$32,356
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$8,419,507
Total Redeem
$2,433,694
Portfolio
$137,148
Predictions
1253
total markets
Trades
4374B / 344S
Daily Volume
$13,626
Account Age
123d
since Jan 17, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$429
Vol: $164,847
Week
$1,563
Vol: $230,300
Month
$-1,930
Vol: $895,647
All Time
$32,356
Vol: $8,419,507

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
99%
158W / 1L events
Realized PnL
$157,419
Win Rate
80%
510W / 128L
Profit Factor
0.21x
Avg Win
$896
Avg Loss
$-17,035

Top Winners

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$185,809
Iran leadership change by March 13?$51,494
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$44,862
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 202$19,703
U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?$13,110
Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy $12,221
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$10,790
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$9,893
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?$9,065
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?$8,305

Top Losers

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-101,862
Will GALBOT have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?$-94,969
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$-94,569
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?$-78,991
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?$-77,671
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?$-74,681
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?$-73,173
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$-69,888
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-21?$-65,074
Will the US strike Somalia next?$-58,379

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.225
Sortino
-0.151
HHI
92
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.353
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.3%
Top-5 markets
12.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
40.9
Active
Markets / Day
5.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
48s
between trades
Avg Gap
23.6m
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.21
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.7

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 48s — typical for humanSize CV 4.20 — diverse, typical for human24% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.12 — human randomness41 trades/day — suspiciously high

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.7
Active DCA
<=1
255 entries
<=2
361 entries
<=5
485 entries
<=10
560 entries
<=20
611 entries
<=50
641 entries
>50
12 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.3%
Mid (20-55c)0.8%
High (>55c)97.8%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 55.5%

Gaza$920
Lebanon$248
Greater Beirut$32
Paris$13
London$8
Miami$6
Shenzhen$4
Tokyo$1
Seoul$-38,118
Chicago$-40,709
Other$-1,646,146

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
2.5
Events covered
264

Moderate coverage

<=1
173 brackets
<=2
206 brackets
<=3
221 brackets
<=4
230 brackets
<=5
235 brackets
<=8
248 brackets
>8
16 brackets

Sessions

#12
1/17/2026, 4:03:42 PM5 trades$6184 min
1/17/2026, 4:15:58 PM1 trades$10 min
1/17/2026, 4:21:20 PM1 trades$10 min
1/17/2026, 4:29:06 PM1 trades$10 min
1/17/2026, 4:37:24 PM4 trades$271 min
1/18/2026, 12:22:28 AM3 trades$1115 min
1/19/2026, 7:12:40 AM13 trades$1,72111 min
1/19/2026, 7:35:14 AM1 trades$1440 min
1/19/2026, 7:44:56 AM3 trades$522 min
1/21/2026, 4:49:02 PM16 trades$1,1735 min
1/21/2026, 5:15:02 PM1 trades$430 min
1/21/2026, 5:55:06 PM5 trades$4301 min
1/21/2026, 8:37:18 PM1 trades$2030 min
1/21/2026, 9:26:08 PM1 trades$700 min
1/21/2026, 9:46:00 PM1 trades$780 min
1/22/2026, 4:36:38 PM1 trades$1,7980 min
1/22/2026, 4:42:36 PM7 trades$1700 min
1/22/2026, 4:47:56 PM1 trades$4800 min
1/22/2026, 5:38:50 PM1 trades$2210 min
1/23/2026, 8:57:30 AM1 trades$7890 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-31
02-16
03-17
03-31
04-15
05-04
12-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
1.1% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
7.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.7/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 2.5 br/event