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@Profitable-Recorder

#2,24538

0x92a6294cd55b9c6ccd57efaffc365ad943118b84

171d· 1650 markets · 5352 tradesVol: $12,041,7462026-07-01T10:16
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

38
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 99%20/20
Profit Factor 0.31x0/15
HHI 8310/10
Profit Days 60%8/10

Summary

Profitable-Recorder is an experienced and highly active trader on Polymarket, with a full year of continuous trading activity, completing over 5,300 trades across 774 markets. Despite a substantial total volume of $12 million, their net profit stands at $76,321.42, placing them at rank #2245 on the global PnL leaderboard. Their overall performance metrics, including a below-average Smart Score of 38 and a negative Sharpe Ratio of -0.21, suggest challenges in risk-adjusted returns.

This trader favors a high-frequency trading style with a focus on quick executions, as evidenced by a very low sell percentage of 6% and an emphasis on holding positions, indicated by the Diamond Hands badge. Profitable-Recorder maintains a relatively conservative approach to market exposure, avoiding weather-related markets entirely and showing a low profit factor of 0.31 despite a high win rate of 78.3%. Their strategy seems to rely on frequent small wins but may lack robust risk management given their declining equity trend and negative drawdown duration.

Profitable-Recorder’s strengths lie in their consistency and discipline, supported by badges like Sniper and DCA Master, which point to precise entry timing and dollar-cost averaging techniques. However, the downward equity trend and negative Sharpe Ratio highlight potential concerns about long-term sustainability and risk exposure. Traders observing Profitable-Recorder on Polymarket should note the contrast between high activity and modest profitability, which may indicate inefficiencies in capital allocation or market selection.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 99%
Profitable
PnL $+76,321
Diamond Hands
6% sell
DCA Master
avg 6.5 entries/market
Win Streak
149 wins in a row
Whale
$6,936,008
Consistent
53/88 days
High Roller
$19,003/day

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#823$60,908Vol: $8,377,693
📢 MENTIONS#737$1,980Vol: $1,299,267
🎭 CULTURE#1,026$7,686Vol: $710,353
SPORTS#1,774,637$-8,871Vol: $432,734
💰 FINANCE#5,373$663Vol: $421,688
💻 TECH#2,994$294Vol: $231,872
🌤️ WEATHER#2,484$474Vol: $142,287
CRYPTO#34,136$757Vol: $69,897
📈 ECONOMICS#2,188$1,426Vol: $62,818

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$76,321
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$12,041,746
Total Redeem
$4,248,706
Portfolio
$10,907
Predictions
1650
total markets
Trades
5007B / 345S
Daily Volume
$19,003
Account Age
171d
since Jan 17, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$476
Vol: $655
Week
$1,180
Vol: $121,797
Month
$476
Vol: $655
All Time
$76,321
Vol: $12,041,746

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
98%
147W / 3L events
Realized PnL
$172,628
Win Rate
78%
601W / 167L
Profit Factor
0.31x
Avg Win
$1,317
Avg Loss
$-15,205

Top Winners

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$185,809
Will Trump say "Mutilation" during Faith & Freedom Coalition Conf$139,911
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?$91,525
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$44,862
Will Trump visit China by May 15?$41,962
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$25,193
Will Trump visit China by May 31?$21,410
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 202$19,703
Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy $12,221
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping$11,303

Top Losers

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-101,862
Will GALBOT have robot dancers at the 2026 Spring Festival Gala?$-94,969
US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?$-94,524
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 2, 2026?$-78,991
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?$-77,671
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?$-74,681
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?$-73,710
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?$-73,173
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?$-69,888
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-02-21?$-65,074

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.205
Sortino
-0.147
HHI
83
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.253
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.2%
Top-5 markets
11.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
32.5
Active
Markets / Day
4.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
50s
between trades
Avg Gap
27.9m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.41
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.9

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 50s — typical for humanSize CV 4.41 — diverse, typical for human22% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.11 — human randomness33 trades/day — suspiciously high

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.5
Active DCA
<=1
338 entries
<=2
459 entries
<=5
590 entries
<=10
666 entries
<=20
722 entries
<=50
761 entries
>50
13 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.1%
Mid (20-55c)0.9%
High (>55c)98%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 60%

Hong Kong$34
Shanghai$10
London$9
Lebanon$-4,367
Gaza$-32,332
Seoul$-38,143
Chicago$-40,709
Other$-1,631,998

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
2.7
Events covered
292

Moderate coverage

<=1
170 brackets
<=2
222 brackets
<=3
242 brackets
<=4
252 brackets
<=5
258 brackets
<=8
271 brackets
>8
21 brackets

Sessions

#12
1/17/2026, 4:03:42 PM5 trades$6184 min
1/17/2026, 4:15:58 PM1 trades$10 min
1/17/2026, 4:21:20 PM1 trades$10 min
1/17/2026, 4:29:06 PM1 trades$10 min
1/17/2026, 4:37:24 PM4 trades$271 min
1/18/2026, 12:22:28 AM3 trades$1115 min
1/19/2026, 7:12:40 AM13 trades$1,72111 min
1/19/2026, 7:35:14 AM1 trades$1440 min
1/19/2026, 7:44:56 AM3 trades$522 min
1/21/2026, 4:49:02 PM16 trades$1,1735 min
1/21/2026, 5:15:02 PM1 trades$430 min
1/21/2026, 5:55:06 PM5 trades$4301 min
1/21/2026, 8:37:18 PM1 trades$2030 min
1/21/2026, 9:26:08 PM1 trades$700 min
1/21/2026, 9:46:00 PM1 trades$780 min
1/22/2026, 4:36:38 PM1 trades$1,7980 min
1/22/2026, 4:47:56 PM1 trades$4800 min
1/22/2026, 5:38:50 PM1 trades$2210 min
1/23/2026, 8:57:30 AM10 trades$3,0996 min
1/23/2026, 9:09:54 AM3 trades$2,2542 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
02-24
04-15
05-09
05-26
06-14
06-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0.3% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
6.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.5/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 2.7 br/event