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Pure-Threat

@Pure-Threat

#2,97295

0x5ecde7348ea5100af4360dd7a6e0a3fb1d420787

337d· 4574 markets · 9195 tradesVol: $47,296,171 @HanRiverVictim2026-05-16T01:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

95
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 78%20/20
Profit Factor 13.14x15/15
Sharpe 0.54910/15
Sortino 1.55210/10
EV $+8.73210/10
HHI 21510/10
Profit Days 87%10/10
DD/Peak 4%10/10

Summary

Pure-Threat is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, ranked #2972 on the global profit and loss leaderboard. Over 645 days, they have executed 9,195 trades across 252 markets, achieving a net PnL of $47,945.62. Their portfolio value stands at $92,070.62, supported by a strong Smart Score of 95, placing them in the elite tier. Despite their high volume of $47 million, Pure-Threat maintains a relatively stable equity trend without significant drawdowns.

The trader exhibits a balanced approach with a near 50% win rate and a profit factor of 0.24, indicating that while profitable, their gains per winning trade might be modest relative to losses. Pure-Threat engages in diverse markets but does not participate in weather contracts, favoring steady positions with a slight preference for selling, as indicated by a 54% sell percentage. Their Sharpe ratio of 0.55 suggests moderate risk-adjusted returns, and their activity pattern combines both manual and semi-automated strategies, reflected in their bot score of 55.

Pure-Threat’s key strengths include consistent activity, a sniper-like precision in trade entry, and the ability to maintain equity stability without prolonged drawdowns. However, their low profit factor and sub-50% win rate introduce some risk, as the trader may rely heavily on volume and averaging down (DCA) to achieve overall profitability. While their elite Smart Score reflects skill, the mixed manual and automated trading approach may expose them to execution risks under volatile market conditions.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 78%
Profitable
PnL $+47,946
DCA Master
avg 17.5 entries/market
Win Streak
23 wins in a row
Whale
$3,853,198
Consistent
88/101 days
High Roller
$5,974/day
Cool Head
DD 4%

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,543,276$-89,028Vol: $17,590,665
SPORTS#3,443$13,239Vol: $8,915,593
🎭 CULTURE#135$50,221Vol: $6,189,571
📈 ECONOMICS#639,305$-11,315Vol: $5,720,947
CRYPTO#1,508,502$-12,426Vol: $3,707,527
💰 FINANCE#80$36,785Vol: $2,593,027
💻 TECH#21$40,981Vol: $1,634,604
🌤️ WEATHER#394$3,642Vol: $398,381
📢 MENTIONS#179$10,260Vol: $274,343

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$47,946
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$47,296,171
Total Redeem
$369,400
Portfolio
$92,071
Predictions
4574
total markets
Trades
4189B / 5006S
Daily Volume
$5,974
Account Age
337d
since Jun 18, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$-476
Vol: $0
Week
$-856
Vol: $0
Month
$3,758
Vol: $0
All Time
$47,946
Vol: $47,296,171

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
90%
210W / 24L events
Realized PnL
$1,311,587
Win Rate
50%
83W / 84L
Profit Factor
0.24x
Avg Win
$2,830
Avg Loss
$-11,569

Top Winners

Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$27,377
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential elect$24,900
Will António José Seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 Portugal p$24,594
California Baptist Lancers vs. Kansas Jayhawks$20,319
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$17,314
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by January 31?$11,397
Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a woman?$11,256
Will Charlie Kirk rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of $9,669
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?$8,906
Will Die With a Smile by Lady Gaga and Bruno Mars be the most str$7,656

Top Losers

Lighter FDV above $3B one day after launch?$-130,686
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$-40,334
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers$-36,279
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A$-32,667
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026$-30,114
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-28,514
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Cup Group Stage$-28,375
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-27,632
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 1m?$-27,275
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting$-26,821

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.549
Sortino
1.552
HHI
215
Diversified
EV per $1
$8.732
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.7%
Top-5 markets
23.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
33.4
Active
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
28.1m
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.76
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.3

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 94s — typical for humanSize CV 4.76 — diverse, typical for human27% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.02 — human randomness33 trades/day — suspiciously high374 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
17.5
Heavy DCA
<=1
51 entries
<=2
76 entries
<=5
122 entries
<=10
161 entries
<=20
181 entries
<=50
213 entries
>50
26 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.1%
Mid (20-55c)25.4%
High (>55c)62.6%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 38.7%

Houston$51
Miami$48
Atlanta$0
Warsh$0
Milan$-40,209
Other$-696,842

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.4
Events covered
180

Single bracket

<=1
144 brackets
<=2
162 brackets
<=3
168 brackets
<=4
176 brackets
<=5
179 brackets
<=8
180 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
7/19/2025, 4:57:14 PM2 trades$2,1221 min
7/27/2025, 9:05:13 PM1 trades$700 min
7/27/2025, 9:39:23 PM2 trades$704 min
7/28/2025, 12:26:31 AM1 trades$00 min
8/1/2025, 11:33:52 AM1 trades$70 min
8/1/2025, 11:55:26 AM1 trades$170 min
8/1/2025, 12:32:10 PM1 trades$10 min
8/1/2025, 1:00:58 PM1 trades$40 min
8/1/2025, 1:43:10 PM1 trades$110 min
8/1/2025, 2:00:56 PM2 trades$101 min
8/1/2025, 2:08:10 PM1 trades$170 min
8/1/2025, 2:37:02 PM1 trades$10 min
8/1/2025, 2:59:56 PM1 trades$10 min
8/1/2025, 5:45:40 PM1 trades$110 min
8/1/2025, 5:50:54 PM2 trades$95 min
8/1/2025, 6:02:26 PM2 trades$230 min
8/1/2025, 6:44:22 PM1 trades$560 min
8/1/2025, 9:45:46 PM1 trades$10 min
8/1/2025, 10:12:54 PM3 trades$204 min
8/1/2025, 10:22:22 PM3 trades$502 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
09-29
11-09
12-13
02-12
04-03
01-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 17.5/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.4 br/event