Polydata

@Puzzling-Mythology

#2,40164

0x98f5d88798331947dc2a0f9087308a17c41f754f

79d· 2898 markets · 5148 tradesVol: $1,079,0752026-07-13T01:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

64
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 23%0/20
Profit Factor 1.90x14/15
Sharpe 0.2835/15
Sortino 0.8198/10
EV $+0.91710/10
HHI 6010/10
Profit Days 58%7/10
DD/Peak 17%10/10

Summary

Puzzling-Mythology is an active trader on Polymarket, holding the rank of #2401 on the global PnL leaderboard. Over 79 days, they have executed 5,148 trades across 1,359 markets, generating a net profit of $74,926.63 from a total trading volume exceeding one million dollars. Their portfolio value currently stands at $70.76, reflecting consistent engagement and growth in equity with a positive upward trend.

This trader exhibits a high-volume, automated trading style, as indicated by a strong bot score of 75/100 and a perfect sell percentage of 0%, suggesting a buy-and-hold or diamond hands approach. Their win rate of 98.2% and an exceptionally high profit factor of 410.88 demonstrate an effective risk strategy favoring consistent small gains. Puzzling-Mythology appears to avoid weather markets entirely, focusing instead on diverse markets with a contrarian and lottery player mindset, as reflected in their top badges.

The key strength of Puzzling-Mythology lies in their disciplined, systematic approach with low drawdown duration and a good smart score of 64/100, highlighting sound decision-making on Polymarket. However, their relatively low Sharpe ratio of 0.28 suggests limited risk-adjusted returns, and the absence of selling could expose them to potential liquidity risks or market shifts. Overall, their strategy favors steady gains but may require caution in volatile conditions.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+74,927
Lottery Player
45% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
78% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Bot
Score 75/100
Win Streak
182 wins in a row
Whale
$51,605
Cool Head
DD 17%

Categories

1
CRYPTO#472$74,927Vol: $1,079,075

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$74,927
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,079,075
Total Redeem
$53,111
Portfolio
$71
Predictions
2898
total markets
Trades
5148B / 0S
Daily Volume
$650
Account Age
79d
since Apr 24, 2026

Periods

#2
Month
$25,027
Vol: $68,149
All Time
$74,927
Vol: $1,079,075

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
23%
273W / 902L events
Realized PnL
$109,726
Win Rate
98%
426W / 8L
Profit Factor
410.88x
Avg Win
$99
Avg Loss
$-13

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $16,741 (39.6% of PnL)

Top Winners

BNB Up or Down - July 3, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$9,092
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$4,414
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$3,235
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET$2,371
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 26, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$2,012
Solana Up or Down - July 10, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$1,088
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET$894
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$882
Ethereum Up or Down - July 11, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$806
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET$781

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$-59
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 23, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$-23
XRP Up or Down - June 27, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET$-9
Dogecoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$-5
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$-4
XRP Up or Down - June 22, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$-2
Solana Up or Down - July 8, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET$-1
Solana Up or Down - June 22, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.283
Sortino
0.819
HHI
60
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.917
Kelly %
97.9%
Half-Kelly
48.9%
Top-1 market
1.9%
Top-5 markets
9.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
64.8
Very active
Markets / Day
17.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
24.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.71
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.5

Bot Detection

#6
75
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

8 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 1496s — typical for humanSize CV 3.72 — diverse, typical for human27% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.22 — human randomness65 trades/day — mass trading17 markets/day — mass coverage1175 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.8
Moderate DCA
<=1
514 entries
<=2
771 entries
<=5
1107 entries
<=10
1268 entries
<=20
1331 entries
<=50
1359 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)45.2%
Mid (20-55c)35.5%
High (>55c)19.3%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 63.5%

Other$42,228

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
1353

Single bracket

<=1
1353 brackets
<=2
1353 brackets
<=3
1353 brackets
<=4
1353 brackets
<=5
1353 brackets
<=8
1353 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/24/2026, 12:10:02 PM5 trades$2740 min
4/24/2026, 6:55:04 PM5 trades$420 min
4/24/2026, 7:35:04 PM1 trades$30 min
4/24/2026, 9:00:04 PM2 trades$790 min
4/24/2026, 9:44:58 PM12 trades$825 min
4/24/2026, 10:00:04 PM9 trades$1740 min
4/24/2026, 11:40:00 PM4 trades$70 min
4/25/2026, 12:25:04 AM4 trades$3190 min
4/25/2026, 12:45:02 AM1 trades$00 min
4/25/2026, 1:40:04 AM10 trades$2840 min
4/25/2026, 2:45:02 AM1 trades$60 min
4/25/2026, 4:00:04 AM11 trades$1720 min
4/25/2026, 4:55:04 AM4 trades$3440 min
4/25/2026, 7:29:58 AM2 trades$00 min
4/25/2026, 11:15:06 AM2 trades$10 min
4/25/2026, 12:15:04 PM5 trades$1490 min
4/25/2026, 2:45:04 PM5 trades$380 min
4/25/2026, 6:55:06 PM1 trades$00 min
4/25/2026, 8:25:00 PM6 trades$110 min
4/25/2026, 9:10:04 PM3 trades$20 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-24
05-09
05-22
06-04
06-17
06-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.8/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event