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@Queasy-Cocoa

#2,23968

0xc2fb2890612ac30ee3547b28020bcc0ce3c6b9f0

~128d· 237 markets · 549 tradesVol: $2,958,0772026-06-26T19:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

68
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 81%20/20
Profit Factor 1.37x7/15
Sharpe 0.1553/15
Sortino 0.1632/10
EV $+3.18210/10
HHI 6710/10
Profit Days 76%10/10
DD/Peak 37%7/10

Summary

Queasy-Cocoa is an active trader on Polymarket, ranked #2239 on the global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of $75,135.51. Over 128 days of activity, they executed 549 trades across 237 markets, generating nearly $3 million in total volume. Despite a solid win rate of 82% and a profit factor of 1.55, Queasy-Cocoa’s portfolio value currently stands at zero, and their equity trend shows a recent decline. Their Sharpe ratio is modest at 0.15, indicating limited risk-adjusted returns.

The trading style of Queasy-Cocoa appears focused on consistent, manual market engagement, as reflected by a low bot score of 5/100. They do not trade weather markets and tend to hold positions rather than sell quickly, with only 26% of trades involving selling. Their badges such as Sniper, Profitable, and Win Streak suggest a preference for precision and steady gains. The trader’s approach leans toward medium risk, balancing a high win rate with moderate profit margins and a relatively short maximum drawdown duration of zero days.

Queasy-Cocoa’s key strengths include a strong win rate and consistent profitability, supported by disciplined manual trading. However, the recent downward equity trend and zero portfolio value raise concerns about sustainability and capital allocation. Their moderate Sharpe ratio and profit factor suggest room for improvement in risk management. Overall, Queasy-Cocoa demonstrates solid trading skills on Polymarket but may face challenges maintaining momentum in volatile conditions.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 81%
Profitable
PnL $+75,136
Win Streak
35 wins in a row
Whale
$1,592,470
Consistent
70/92 days
High Roller
$12,441/day

Categories

1
SPORTS#845$75,136Vol: $2,958,077

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$75,136
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,958,077
Total Redeem
$702,060
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
237
total markets
Trades
409B / 140S
Daily Volume
$12,441
Account Age
~128d

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
81%
170W / 39L events
Realized PnL
$98,613
Win Rate
82%
192W / 42L
Profit Factor
1.55x
Avg Win
$1,448
Avg Loss
$-4,280

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $48,114 (49% of PnL)

Top Winners

Páfos FC vs. SK Slavia Praha: O/U 2.5$25,038
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5$14,000
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Novak Djokovic$9,076
Real Madrid CF vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5$9,054
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 2.5$6,219
Will FC Arouca vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica end in a draw?$5,607
FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5$5,053
Hamburger SV vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5$3,892
Dundee FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 1.5$3,303
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5$3,042

Top Losers

Chelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 1.5$-21,693
SV Werder Bremen vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5$-16,225
VfB Stuttgart vs. RB Leipzig: O/U 1.5$-15,000
FC Barcelona vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5$-9,961
Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5$-8,025
Chelsea FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 1.5$-7,036
Go Ahead Eagles vs. AZ: O/U 2.5$-6,740
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner$-6,003
Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 1.5$-5,989
BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5$-5,473

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.155
Sortino
0.163
HHI
67
Diversified
EV per $1
$3.182
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.8%
Top-5 markets
7.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.9
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
20.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.2h
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.04
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.3

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1232s — typical for humanSize CV 1.04 — diverse, typical for human2% at night — normal sleep pattern20/24 hours — extended daySession CV 0.88 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.7
Single entry
<=1
189 entries
<=2
205 entries
<=5
226 entries
<=10
234 entries
<=20
237 entries
<=50
237 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1%
Mid (20-55c)5.9%
High (>55c)93.2%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 94%

Other$54,481
Madrid$33,494
Milan$5,123
Paris$5,015
Miami$175

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
209

Single bracket

<=1
188 brackets
<=2
205 brackets
<=3
207 brackets
<=4
208 brackets
<=5
209 brackets
<=8
209 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
1/11/2026, 1:59:04 PM1 trades$9,8540 min
1/11/2026, 3:57:58 PM1 trades$11,4470 min
1/11/2026, 4:07:46 PM1 trades$11,4470 min
1/11/2026, 5:50:44 PM1 trades$13,1250 min
1/11/2026, 6:53:20 PM1 trades$5,1250 min
1/12/2026, 7:25:11 PM1 trades$10,0320 min
1/13/2026, 7:33:24 PM1 trades$5,0000 min
1/14/2026, 7:43:52 PM1 trades$5,0350 min
1/16/2026, 7:51:52 PM1 trades$5,2450 min
1/17/2026, 12:56:44 PM1 trades$2,9630 min
1/17/2026, 2:54:08 PM1 trades$3,2060 min
1/19/2026, 4:36:12 AM1 trades$11,2060 min
1/21/2026, 9:39:44 PM1 trades$12,0790 min
1/22/2026, 5:38:52 PM1 trades$5,0790 min
1/24/2026, 2:33:00 PM3 trades$3,0003 min
1/24/2026, 3:51:58 PM2 trades$1,5821 min
1/24/2026, 4:35:22 PM1 trades$5,1280 min
1/24/2026, 5:29:40 PM1 trades$1,1280 min
1/24/2026, 6:51:14 PM1 trades$1,3420 min
1/24/2026, 7:27:14 PM1 trades$3,3420 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-10
02-01
02-17
03-05
03-21
04-10
05-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
25.5% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.7/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event