Polydata

@Querulous-Center

#4,44430

0xec47cb4e0a4f4e375d9787debf7c874214f21119

184d· 14886 markets · 8624 tradesVol: $591,3842026-07-14T12:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

30
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 0.23x0/15
HHI 5310/10
Profit Days 17%0/10

Summary

Querulous-Center is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 8,624 trades across 1,330 markets over 179 days. They have generated a net profit of $37,372.13, placing them at rank #4444 on the global PnL leaderboard. Despite a below-average Smart Score of 30/100, their overall trading volume is substantial at $591,384. The portfolio currently holds no open positions, reflecting a fully realized equity trend that has been steadily growing.

This trader’s approach shows a preference for high-frequency trading with a strong win rate of 75.2%, suggesting a focus on short-term opportunities. Their profit factor of 0.23 and a Sharpe ratio of -0.28 indicate a relatively high risk profile with inconsistent returns per unit of risk. The absence of weather markets and zero sell percentage imply a buy-and-hold or dollar-cost averaging strategy, supported by badges like Diamond Hands and DCA Master. Querulous-Center also demonstrates timing discipline, avoiding drawdowns, as indicated by a zero-day max drawdown duration.

Querulous-Center’s strengths lie in consistent profitability and an upward equity trend, supported by a high volume of trades and diversified market exposure. However, the low profit factor and negative Sharpe ratio highlight potential concerns around risk management and efficiency. The semi-automated bot score of 60 suggests a hybrid strategy that may benefit from further optimization to improve risk-adjusted returns on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Profitable
PnL $+37,372
Diamond Hands
0% sell
DCA Master
avg 6.5 entries/market
Win Streak
59 wins in a row
Whale
$64,470

Categories

1
CRYPTO#1,080$37,372Vol: $591,384

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$37,372
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$591,384
Total Redeem
$29,371
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
14886
total markets
Trades
8624B / 0S
Daily Volume
$360
Account Age
184d
since Jan 11, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$120
Vol: $2,434
Week
$547
Vol: $10,737
Month
$4,734
Vol: $53,358
All Time
$37,372
Vol: $591,384

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
248W / 1L events
Realized PnL
$27,920
Win Rate
75%
865W / 285L
Profit Factor
0.23x
Avg Win
$11
Avg Loss
$-142

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$159
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$146
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$109
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$81
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET$71
Ethereum Up or Down - July 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET$70
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$65
Ethereum Up or Down - July 10, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET$64
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET$64
Ethereum Up or Down - July 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$64

Top Losers

XRP Up or Down - January 17, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET$-2,834
XRP Up or Down - January 17, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$-1,245
XRP Up or Down - January 17, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$-1,062
XRP Up or Down - January 18, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$-898
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$-691
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET$-674
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$-569
Solana Up or Down - January 25, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$-566
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$-538
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET$-535

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.275
Sortino
-0.266
HHI
53
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.513
Kelly %
29.1%
Half-Kelly
14.5%
Top-1 market
4.4%
Top-5 markets
10.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
48.2
Active
Markets / Day
7.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
4s
between trades
Avg Gap
10.3m
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.77
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
9 min
Avg Trades / Session
82.5

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
47% < 3s — suspicious speedSize CV 1.77 — diverse, typical for human28% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.37 — human randomness48 trades/day — suspiciously high

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.5
Active DCA
<=1
792 entries
<=2
972 entries
<=5
1161 entries
<=10
1231 entries
<=20
1257 entries
<=50
1285 entries
>50
45 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)19.4%
Mid (20-55c)34.1%
High (>55c)46.6%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 46.3%

Other$-31,160

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
1329

Single bracket

<=1
1329 brackets
<=2
1329 brackets
<=3
1329 brackets
<=4
1329 brackets
<=5
1329 brackets
<=8
1329 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
1/16/2026, 4:57:34 PM4 trades$1152 min
1/16/2026, 7:59:28 PM10 trades$2221 min
1/16/2026, 8:57:16 PM1 trades$1110 min
1/16/2026, 9:13:40 PM2 trades$881 min
1/16/2026, 10:59:56 PM2 trades$580 min
1/16/2026, 11:15:12 PM3 trades$960 min
1/16/2026, 11:27:16 PM5 trades$680 min
1/17/2026, 12:45:02 AM3 trades$1540 min
1/17/2026, 1:27:46 AM12 trades$922 min
1/17/2026, 1:58:50 AM4 trades$2023 min
1/17/2026, 2:27:22 AM6 trades$810 min
1/17/2026, 3:03:22 AM4 trades$944 min
1/17/2026, 3:30:04 AM11 trades$2160 min
1/17/2026, 3:44:58 AM20 trades$3160 min
1/17/2026, 6:15:52 AM5 trades$1022 min
1/17/2026, 6:28:06 AM5 trades$720 min
1/17/2026, 7:01:44 AM66 trades$4748 min
1/17/2026, 10:45:18 AM2 trades$470 min
1/17/2026, 12:12:52 PM12 trades$932 min
1/17/2026, 12:45:02 PM2 trades$840 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-16
01-26
02-11
04-14
05-15
06-28
07-10
07-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.5/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event