Polydata

@Quiet-Subroutine

#30265

0x25e64cd559e8c46a888d8ebfa47d4490e810cc9f

601d· 12 markets · 455 tradesVol: $1,771,9692026-07-12T14:14
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

65
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 50%10/20
Profit Factor 1920.70x15/15
Sharpe 0.3787/15
Sortino 877.79010/10
EV $+2.86110/10
HHI 98840/10
Profit Days 43%3/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Quiet-Subroutine is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, ranking #302 globally by net profit. Over 212 days, they have executed 455 trades across 12 markets, generating a net PnL of $624,754.30 on a total volume of $1.77 million. Their Smart Score of 65 indicates solid trading skills, and their profit factor of 1920.70 suggests highly efficient trades. Despite a win rate of 50%, their portfolio shows consistent upward equity growth, although the current portfolio value stands at zero.

Quiet-Subroutine’s trading style appears contrarian and risk-balanced, with a low sell percentage of 6% and a Sharpe ratio of 0.38, reflecting moderate risk-adjusted returns. They favor a diverse range of markets rather than weather-related ones, and their badges imply they use dollar-cost averaging and maintain strong conviction in positions. The absence of drawdown duration indicates quick recovery from losses, while the bot score suggests fast human execution rather than automated trading.

The main strengths of Quiet-Subroutine include disciplined risk management, consistent profitability, and a contrarian approach that can exploit market inefficiencies. However, their modest Sharpe ratio and 50% win rate highlight vulnerability to volatility. Additionally, the zero portfolio value could mean capital is frequently redeployed or withdrawn, which may affect long-term compounding. Overall, Quiet-Subroutine demonstrates a balanced but cautious trading profile on Polymarket.

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+624,754
Lottery Player
41% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
100% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
5% sell
DCA Master
avg 35.8 entries/market
Whale
$220,535
High Roller
$1,040/day
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

3
🏛️ POLITICS#64$625,000Vol: $1,766,105
CRYPTO#1,497,813$-189Vol: $1,479
🎭 CULTURE#622,589$-4Vol: $226

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$624,754
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,771,969
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
12
total markets
Trades
430B / 25S
Daily Volume
$1,040
Account Age
601d
since Nov 18, 2024

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
56%
5W / 4L events
Realized PnL
$624,754
Win Rate
50%
6W / 6L
Profit Factor
1920.7x
Avg Win
$105,211
Avg Loss
$-55

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $630,835 (100% of PnL)

Top Winners

Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?$630,356
Yoon released from custody before April?$266
Will 0 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for Yo$214
Will 1-2 justices on South Korea's Constitutional Court vote for $177
Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024?$170
Will MicroStrategy hold 400k+ BTC before 2025?$83

Top Losers

Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?$-231
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in November?$-40
Will 'Final Fantasy 7 Rebirth' win Game of the Year?$-38
Will 'Astro Bot' win Game of the Year?$-15
Will "Anora" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?$-4
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in November?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.378
Sortino
877.790
HHI
9884
Concentrated
EV per $1
$2.861
Kelly %
43.9%
Half-Kelly
21.9%
Top-1 market
99.4%
Top-5 markets
99.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
40.4m
between trades
Night Trading
33%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.99
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.9

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 158s — typical for humanSize CV 3.99 — diverse, typical for human33% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.08 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
35.8
Heavy DCA
<=1
8 entries
<=2
8 entries
<=5
9 entries
<=10
9 entries
<=20
9 entries
<=50
10 entries
>50
2 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)41.2%
Mid (20-55c)58.6%
High (>55c)0.2%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 0.4%

Other$630,937

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.3
Events covered
9

Single bracket

<=1
6 brackets
<=2
9 brackets
<=3
9 brackets
<=4
9 brackets
<=5
9 brackets
<=8
9 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
11/20/2024, 1:25:43 AM2 trades$723 min
11/20/2024, 10:41:19 PM1 trades$170 min
11/20/2024, 11:10:59 PM1 trades$50 min
11/21/2024, 12:44:01 AM1 trades$110 min
11/21/2024, 1:24:29 AM1 trades$320 min
12/2/2024, 1:14:01 PM1 trades$1150 min
12/4/2024, 1:08:23 AM1 trades$1150 min
12/6/2024, 2:03:27 AM2 trades$5691 min
12/6/2024, 2:02:26 PM1 trades$2690 min
12/6/2024, 2:13:02 PM1 trades$2690 min
12/7/2024, 6:34:42 AM2 trades$4631 min
2/8/2025, 11:02:41 AM1 trades$1280 min
2/8/2025, 11:21:24 AM1 trades$970 min
2/8/2025, 11:34:10 AM1 trades$80 min
2/8/2025, 11:41:40 AM2 trades$100 min
2/8/2025, 11:57:19 AM46 trades$90412 min
2/8/2025, 2:50:55 PM1 trades$2760 min
2/8/2025, 6:01:50 PM1 trades$20 min
2/8/2025, 6:42:46 PM2 trades$105 min
2/8/2025, 10:19:38 PM1 trades$800 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-30
12-12
12-13
12-31
03-02
03-31
06-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
5.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 35.8/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.3 br/event