Polydata

@RandomGenius-190

#4165

0x033a07b3de5947eab4306676ad74eb546da30d50

624d· 3 markets · 1688 tradesVol: $8,794,4652026-07-06T21:39
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

65
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 99.00x15/15
EV $+0.75410/10
HHI 96370/10
Profit Days 100%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

RandomGenius-190 is a highly active trader on Polymarket, ranking 41st on the global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of over $3.1 million. Despite only five days of activity, they have executed 1,688 trades across three markets, demonstrating an intensive trading pace. Their total volume traded is nearly $8.8 million, reflecting significant engagement in a short timeframe.

The trading style of RandomGenius-190 is characterized by a concentrated focus on a small number of markets, which suggests a preference for depth over breadth. Their perfect win rate of 100% and a sell percentage of 28% indicate a selective approach to exiting positions, likely combining manual and automated strategies given their semi-bot score of 45/100. The trader's badges, including Sniper and DCA Master, imply a tactical, risk-managed style with emphasis on precision and scaling in.

RandomGenius-190’s key strength lies in their flawless win record and rapid trade execution, which has generated substantial profits quickly on Polymarket. However, the limited duration of activity and zero Sharpe ratio or drawdown data highlight risks in assessing long-term sustainability. Their reliance on only three markets could expose them to sector-specific volatility, while the semi-bot trading style may introduce operational and timing risks.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Profitable
PnL $+3,115,550
DCA Master
avg 403.3 entries/market
Whale
$4,381,588
Consistent
2/2 days
High Roller
$855,719/day

Categories

1
🏛️ POLITICS#13$3,115,550Vol: $8,794,465

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$3,115,550
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$8,794,465
Total Redeem
$7,410,404
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
3
total markets
Trades
1210B / 478S
Daily Volume
$855,719
Account Age
624d
since Oct 22, 2024

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
2W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$3,115,550
Win Rate
100%
3W / 0L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$1,101,162
Avg Loss
$0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,303,485 (100% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$3,109,926
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$193,548
Kamala wins 270-268 - MI, PA, WI $11

Top Losers

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.000
Sortino
0.000
HHI
9637
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.754
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
98.1%
Top-5 markets
100%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
329.7
Very active
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
2s
between trades
Avg Gap
9.1m
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.76
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
47
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
35.9

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
58% < 3s — suspicious speedSize CV 5.76 — diverse, typical for human12% at night — normal sleep pattern15/24 hours — normal hoursSession CV 1.50 — human randomness330 trades/day — automation

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
403.3
Heavy DCA
<=1
1 entries
<=2
1 entries
<=5
1 entries
<=10
1 entries
<=20
1 entries
<=50
1 entries
>50
2 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.1%
Mid (20-55c)50.7%
High (>55c)49.3%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 100%

Other$3,303,485

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.5
Events covered
2

Single bracket

<=1
1 brackets
<=2
2 brackets
<=3
2 brackets
<=4
2 brackets
<=5
2 brackets
<=8
2 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
10/31/2024, 6:56:23 PM1 trades$4130 min
11/1/2024, 3:27:23 PM229 trades$6,6735 min
11/1/2024, 3:38:57 PM88 trades$34,5601 min
11/1/2024, 3:48:39 PM11 trades$7,8541 min
11/1/2024, 4:11:52 PM183 trades$26,0513 min
11/1/2024, 4:21:18 PM6 trades$5,5591 min
11/1/2024, 9:59:21 PM2 trades$8,0401 min
11/1/2024, 10:07:59 PM44 trades$191,0243 min
11/1/2024, 10:30:09 PM2 trades$7,3543 min
11/1/2024, 10:38:57 PM1 trades$4,0700 min
11/1/2024, 10:50:16 PM397 trades$46,38012 min
11/1/2024, 11:14:05 PM30 trades$17,3770 min
11/2/2024, 10:26:42 AM2 trades$4241 min
11/2/2024, 11:02:20 PM21 trades$394,6803 min
11/2/2024, 11:24:21 PM11 trades$47,4786 min
11/2/2024, 11:42:05 PM1 trades$25,6630 min
11/2/2024, 11:48:39 PM18 trades$5,2211 min
11/2/2024, 11:57:53 PM45 trades$121,50315 min
11/3/2024, 12:18:41 AM7 trades$25,5792 min
11/3/2024, 12:29:38 AM2 trades$25,4660 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-04
11-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
28.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 403.3/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.5 br/event