Polydata

@Randomfool

#5,479100

0xf036f9631ae2fc83821b3a8581892109d506b8f1

320d· 75 markets · 2158 tradesVol: $1,267,0192026-05-18T12:31
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

100
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 99%20/20
Profit Factor 8053.59x15/15
Sharpe 0.77515/15
Sortino 499092.64010/10
EV $+1.90810/10
HHI 35710/10
Profit Days 98%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Randomfool is an active Polymarket trader ranked #5479 on the global PnL leaderboard, with a net profit of $23,952.97 and a total trading volume exceeding $1.2 million. Over 320 days, they executed 2,158 trades across 75 markets, maintaining a perfect 100% win rate. Despite the high volume and consistency, their profit factor is listed as 0.00, which may indicate data irregularities or unique accounting metrics. Their portfolio value stands at $12,585.19 with a Sharpe ratio of 0.77, reflecting moderate risk-adjusted returns.

The trading style of Randomfool appears highly disciplined and low risk, emphasized by zero recorded drawdown duration and a flat equity trend. Their top badges, such as Sniper and Diamond Hands, suggest a patient, precision-based approach with strong conviction in positions. They do not engage in weather markets and maintain a zero sell percentage, implying they might hold positions rather than frequently flipping them. The low bot score confirms manual trading, while their DCA Master badge hints at dollar-cost averaging as part of their strategy.

Randomfool’s key strength lies in their consistency and risk control, as indicated by a perfect win rate and stable portfolio growth. However, the zero profit factor and sell percentage raise questions about trade closure methods or data reporting. Additionally, being ranked outside the top tiers suggests room for scaling strategies. Overall, Randomfool exemplifies a methodical, low-volatility trader on Polymarket with a strong emphasis on manual, patient trading.

Badges

9
Sniper
Win Rate 99%
Profitable
PnL $+23,953
Diamond Hands
0% sell
DCA Master
avg 28.8 entries/market
Win Streak
73 wins in a row
Whale
$1,240,317
Consistent
47/48 days
High Roller
$3,877/day
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

5
🎭 CULTURE#997$7,613Vol: $452,889
📈 ECONOMICS#636$7,766Vol: $381,546
🏛️ POLITICS#5,043$6,247Vol: $353,713
SPORTS#18,932$2,036Vol: $66,632
💰 FINANCE#8,725$291Vol: $12,239

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$23,953
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,267,019
Total Redeem
$1,254,192
Portfolio
$12,585
Predictions
75
total markets
Trades
2158B / 0S
Daily Volume
$3,877
Account Age
320d
since Jul 2, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$33
Vol: $6,976
Week
$33
Vol: $15,640
Month
$2,025
Vol: $103,948
All Time
$23,953
Vol: $1,267,019

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
98%
56W / 1L events
Realized PnL
$23,928
Win Rate
100%
73W / 0L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$362
Avg Loss
$0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $7,422 (28.1% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary elect$3,362
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 202$2,250
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 202$1,809
Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?$1,571
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meetin$1,431
Will the ECB announce no change at the October meeting?$1,356
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1,149
Will the ECB announce no change at the February 2026 meeting?$1,026
Will Paul Thomas Anderson (One Battle After Another) win Best Dir$857
Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$837

Top Losers

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.775
Sortino
inf
HHI
357
Diversified
EV per $1
$1.908
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.1%
Top-5 markets
32.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
46.6m
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.38
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.8

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 76s — typical for humanSize CV 3.39 — diverse, typical for human6% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.00 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
28.8
Heavy DCA
<=1
12 entries
<=2
18 entries
<=5
30 entries
<=10
38 entries
<=20
51 entries
<=50
66 entries
>50
9 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)100%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 74.9%

Other$25,283
New York City$1,149

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.3
Events covered
57

Single bracket

<=1
48 brackets
<=2
51 brackets
<=3
54 brackets
<=4
57 brackets
<=5
57 brackets
<=8
57 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
7/2/2025, 12:47:11 PM1 trades$20,0000 min
7/31/2025, 9:06:38 AM1 trades$4,1100 min
8/10/2025, 12:14:29 PM1 trades$10,1190 min
8/11/2025, 10:12:18 AM1 trades$2800 min
8/11/2025, 10:27:40 AM1 trades$320 min
8/12/2025, 10:31:09 PM1 trades$3370 min
8/14/2025, 12:32:54 PM1 trades$1000 min
8/14/2025, 6:26:11 PM1 trades$190 min
8/14/2025, 7:06:11 PM1 trades$320 min
8/14/2025, 10:28:56 PM1 trades$170 min
8/15/2025, 12:33:26 AM1 trades$530 min
8/15/2025, 3:25:50 AM1 trades$520 min
8/15/2025, 4:45:52 AM1 trades$90 min
8/15/2025, 5:15:36 AM1 trades$20 min
8/15/2025, 3:54:30 PM1 trades$1,0670 min
8/15/2025, 7:29:24 PM1 trades$10 min
8/15/2025, 11:19:10 PM1 trades$40 min
8/17/2025, 11:48:34 PM1 trades$3,7620 min
9/22/2025, 8:27:16 AM1 trades$3760 min
9/22/2025, 8:33:32 AM20 trades$4374 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-30
12-22
02-05
03-15
04-29
05-16
05-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 28.8/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.3 br/event