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@Randomfool

#5,54398

0xf036f9631ae2fc83821b3a8581892109d506b8f1

359d· 78 markets · 2453 tradesVol: $1,389,2812026-06-06T03:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

98
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 99%20/20
Profit Factor 15.63x15/15
Sharpe 0.68413/15
Sortino 493940.54210/10
EV $+0.50710/10
HHI 33010/10
Profit Days 98%10/10
DD/Peak 7%10/10

Summary

Randomfool is a highly active and successful trader on Polymarket, ranking #5543 on the global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of $25,190.97. Over 336 days, they have executed 2,453 trades across 78 markets, accumulating a total volume exceeding $1.38 million. Their portfolio value stands at $50,161.67, supported by a strong Smart Score of 98 out of 100, placing them in the elite category of traders.

The trading style of Randomfool is characterized by a very high win rate of 98.7% and a profit factor of 16.93, indicating consistent and well-managed risk-taking. They prefer diverse markets but show no activity in weather-related markets. Their approach appears to be manual rather than automated, with a low sell percentage of 1% and a flat equity trend, suggesting a patient, long-term holding strategy with minimal drawdowns and a Sharpe ratio of 0.68.

Randomfool’s strengths include exceptional accuracy, disciplined execution, and a stable portfolio with no drawdown periods. Their badges such as Sniper and DCA Master highlight precision and effective averaging techniques. Potential risks could arise from a low Sharpe ratio and minimal portfolio growth volatility, which may indicate limited upside in highly volatile conditions. Nonetheless, Randomfool demonstrates robust performance and steady management on Polymarket.

Badges

9
Sniper
Win Rate 99%
Profitable
PnL $+25,191
Diamond Hands
1% sell
DCA Master
avg 31.3 entries/market
Win Streak
76 wins in a row
Whale
$1,353,985
Consistent
50/51 days
High Roller
$4,029/day
Cool Head
DD 7%

Categories

5
🎭 CULTURE#1,005$7,613Vol: $452,889
📈 ECONOMICS#629$8,226Vol: $426,445
🏛️ POLITICS#4,311$8,114Vol: $409,293
SPORTS#59,857$366Vol: $80,691
💰 FINANCE#4,234$872Vol: $19,963

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$25,191
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,389,281
Total Redeem
$1,328,532
Portfolio
$50,162
Predictions
78
total markets
Trades
2439B / 14S
Daily Volume
$4,029
Account Age
359d
since Jul 2, 2025

Periods

#2
Week
$262
Vol: $15,400
Month
$262
Vol: $15,400
All Time
$25,191
Vol: $1,389,281

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
98%
59W / 1L events
Realized PnL
$24,734
Win Rate
99%
76W / 1L
Profit Factor
16.93x
Avg Win
$384
Avg Loss
$-1,722

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $7,673 (28% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will ANO win the most seats in the next Czech parliamentary elect$3,362
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 202$2,250
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the House of Representati$2,060
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 202$1,809
Wicked vs Avatar: Bigger Domestic Opening Weekend?$1,571
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meetin$1,431
Will the ECB announce no change at the October meeting?$1,356
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$1,149
Will the ECB announce no change at the February 2026 meeting?$1,026
Will Paul Thomas Anderson (One Battle After Another) win Best Dir$857

Top Losers

Roland Garros ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Juan Manuel Cerundolo$-1,722

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.684
Sortino
inf
HHI
330
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.507
Kelly %
78.3%
Half-Kelly
39.2%
Top-1 market
7.4%
Top-5 markets
30%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
52s
between trades
Avg Gap
45.0m
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.41
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.8

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 52s — typical for humanSize CV 3.41 — diverse, typical for human6% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.98 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
31.3
Heavy DCA
<=1
13 entries
<=2
19 entries
<=5
31 entries
<=10
38 entries
<=20
51 entries
<=50
67 entries
>50
11 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)100%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 76.9%

Other$26,282
New York City$1,149

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.3
Events covered
60

Single bracket

<=1
51 brackets
<=2
54 brackets
<=3
57 brackets
<=4
60 brackets
<=5
60 brackets
<=8
60 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
7/2/2025, 12:47:11 PM1 trades$20,0000 min
7/31/2025, 9:06:38 AM1 trades$4,1100 min
8/10/2025, 12:14:29 PM1 trades$10,1190 min
8/11/2025, 10:12:18 AM1 trades$2800 min
8/11/2025, 10:27:40 AM1 trades$320 min
8/12/2025, 10:31:09 PM1 trades$3370 min
8/14/2025, 12:32:54 PM1 trades$1000 min
8/14/2025, 6:26:11 PM1 trades$190 min
8/14/2025, 7:06:11 PM1 trades$320 min
8/14/2025, 10:28:56 PM1 trades$170 min
8/15/2025, 12:33:26 AM1 trades$530 min
8/15/2025, 3:25:50 AM1 trades$520 min
8/15/2025, 4:45:52 AM1 trades$90 min
8/15/2025, 5:15:36 AM1 trades$20 min
8/15/2025, 3:54:30 PM1 trades$1,0670 min
8/15/2025, 7:29:24 PM1 trades$10 min
8/15/2025, 11:19:10 PM1 trades$40 min
8/17/2025, 11:48:34 PM1 trades$3,7620 min
9/22/2025, 8:27:16 AM1 trades$3760 min
9/22/2025, 8:33:32 AM20 trades$4374 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-30
12-22
02-05
03-15
04-29
05-16
06-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 31.3/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.3 br/event