Polydata

@Rash-Alternative

#1,18368

0xf3531b23b504cf0aed4ff21325232b2a2d496685

97d· 19578 markets · 9147 tradesVol: $16,481,132 @xrang27312026-07-06T15:48
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

68
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 93%20/20
Profit Factor 0.06x0/15
Sharpe 0.67213/15
Sortino 979.91910/10
HHI 3310/10
Profit Days 52%6/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Rash-Alternative ranks #1183 on Polymarket's global PnL leaderboard, with a net profit of $159,565.80 over 93 active days. The trader has completed 9,147 trades across 338 markets, generating a total volume exceeding $16 million. Despite a modest portfolio value of $2,948.50, Rash-Alternative maintains a good Smart Score of 68/100, reflecting solid trading performance and consistency.

This trader favors a high-frequency trading style with a focus on diverse markets, as indicated by the large number of trades and markets engaged. Rash-Alternative shows a risk-tolerant profile, evidenced by a relatively low win rate of 33.1% but an upward equity trend and zero max drawdown duration. The 0% sell rate and a Bot Score of 55/100 suggest a semi-automated approach blending algorithmic signals with manual oversight, allowing timely entries and exits while capturing market inefficiencies.

Rash-Alternative’s key strengths lie in disciplined execution and the ability to sustain long-term upward equity growth, supported by badges like Sniper and Diamond Hands. However, the low profit factor of 0.06 and modest Sharpe ratio (0.67) highlight potential profitability risks during volatile periods. Traders monitoring Rash-Alternative on Polymarket should note the balance between aggressive volume and cautious risk management inherent in this strategy.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 93%
Profitable
PnL $+159,566
Contrarian
51% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Win Streak
38 wins in a row
Whale
$605,227
High Roller
$6,508/day
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

5
CRYPTO#177$159,562Vol: $16,480,711
🎭 CULTURE#55,641$15Vol: $348
🏛️ POLITICS#1,244,933$-10Vol: $58
SPORTS#1,044,594$-2Vol: $15
📈 ECONOMICS#218,717$0Vol: $1

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$159,566
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$16,481,132
Total Redeem
$253,406
Portfolio
$2,949
Predictions
19578
total markets
Trades
9147B / 0S
Daily Volume
$6,508
Account Age
97d
since Mar 31, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$5,399
Vol: $757,723
Week
$5,399
Vol: $1,483,462
Month
$35,219
Vol: $3,931,820
All Time
$159,566
Vol: $16,481,132

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
94%
249W / 17L events
Realized PnL
$304,187
Win Rate
33%
106W / 214L
Profit Factor
0.06x
Avg Win
$197
Avg Loss
$-1,729

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET$876
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$727
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$609
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET$552
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$521
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET$500
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$498
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$454
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$413
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$401

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET$-2,858
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$-2,857
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET$-2,813
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET$-2,759
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET$-2,730
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$-2,729
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET$-2,728
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET$-2,725
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET$-2,716
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$-2,708

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.672
Sortino
979.918
HHI
34
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.580
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.5%
Top-5 markets
2.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
98.7
Very active
Markets / Day
3.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
4s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.55
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
23.8

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
52% < 5s — fast clicker/botSize CV 0.55 — diverse, typical for human23% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.21 — human randomness99 trades/day — mass trading

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
27.1
Heavy DCA
<=1
16 entries
<=2
16 entries
<=5
19 entries
<=10
20 entries
<=20
70 entries
<=50
338 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.6%
Mid (20-55c)50.5%
High (>55c)40%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 46%

Other$-349,166

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
337

Single bracket

<=1
336 brackets
<=2
337 brackets
<=3
337 brackets
<=4
337 brackets
<=5
337 brackets
<=8
337 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/4/2026, 10:35:05 PM1 trades$90 min
4/5/2026, 1:59:37 AM1 trades$100 min
4/5/2026, 5:47:19 AM1 trades$150 min
4/5/2026, 9:35:31 PM1 trades$150 min
4/11/2026, 3:35:07 PM2 trades$20 min
4/12/2026, 11:55:07 AM1 trades$120 min
4/15/2026, 7:17:46 PM1 trades$90 min
4/17/2026, 1:12:38 AM1 trades$10 min
4/25/2026, 1:51:20 PM1 trades$50 min
4/26/2026, 3:05:48 AM1 trades$160 min
4/26/2026, 10:40:12 AM1 trades$50 min
5/2/2026, 9:05:04 AM1 trades$60 min
5/10/2026, 9:27:06 AM1 trades$300 min
5/15/2026, 12:34:31 PM1 trades$350 min
6/18/2026, 9:40:04 AM1 trades$50 min
6/23/2026, 1:40:08 AM32 trades$1,5925 min
6/23/2026, 5:25:04 AM33 trades$1,6612 min
6/23/2026, 5:50:11 AM33 trades$1,6324 min
6/23/2026, 6:15:07 AM33 trades$1,6043 min
6/23/2026, 8:20:05 AM32 trades$1,5072 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-04
04-15
04-26
05-15
06-22
06-25
07-02
07-05
07-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 27.1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event