Polydata
Realistic-Harmonise

@Realistic-Harmonise

#2,533,27179

0xe9dd429cbe1b47a99ee5bc241dc8dba2840055c4

142d· 441 markets · 942 tradesVol: $98,997 @Cabro09292026-05-21T04:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

79
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 12.77x15/15
Sharpe 0.3967/15
Sortino 0.3714/10
EV $+0.0533/10
HHI 8410/10
Profit Days 96%10/10
DD/Peak 5%10/10

Summary

Realistic-Harmonise is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 942 trades spanning 366 days and a total volume near $99,000. Despite a high win rate of 96%, the trader currently holds a net PnL of approximately negative $441 and ranks around #2.5 million globally. Their Smart Score is strong at 79/100, indicating solid trading skills, while their portfolio value remains low at $19.57, reflecting limited capital deployment or recent losses.

This trader favors a high-frequency, low-risk style, evidenced by a 96% success rate and a profit factor of 12.77. Realistic-Harmonise participates across a wide variety of markets, with 354 distinct markets traded, but does not engage in weather markets. The sell percentage of 34% suggests a patient approach, often holding positions rather than quick flipping. The zero-day max drawdown duration and flat equity trend indicate consistent risk management and stable performance over time.

Key strengths for Realistic-Harmonise include their consistent winning streaks and disciplined trading style, supported by badges like Sniper and Cool Head. However, the negative net PnL and low portfolio value raise questions about the overall profitability despite the high win rate. The relatively low Sharpe ratio of 0.40 and the human-like trading pattern could expose them to unpredictable market shifts or emotional decision-making.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

5
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Win Streak
123 wins in a row
Whale
$50,334
Consistent
131/137 days
Cool Head
DD 5%

Categories

9
CRYPTO#71,662$132Vol: $83,717
🏛️ POLITICS#64,595$89Vol: $5,789
SPORTS#1,590,649$-582Vol: $4,145
💰 FINANCE#575,905$-53Vol: $2,420
🌤️ WEATHER#17,585$12Vol: $1,647
📈 ECONOMICS#52,156$5Vol: $533
🎭 CULTURE#126,531$2Vol: $360
💻 TECH#215,384$-27Vol: $207
📢 MENTIONS#131,300$-19Vol: $178

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-441
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$98,997
Total Redeem
$29,330
Portfolio
$20
Predictions
441
total markets
Trades
622B / 320S
Daily Volume
$138
Account Age
142d
since Dec 29, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $60
Week
$6
Vol: $5,647
Month
$-3
Vol: $22,548
All Time
$-441
Vol: $98,997

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
200W / 1L events
Realized PnL
$711
Win Rate
96%
310W / 13L
Profit Factor
12.77x
Avg Win
$9
Avg Loss
$-17

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $702 (26.6% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$301
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 12?$201
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 20?$200
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 4?$195
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 24?$101
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 30?$100
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 16?$100
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on April 13?$95
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 13?$80
U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?$73

Top Losers

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 29?$-128
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 14?$-69
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 21?$-14
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 9?$-9
LoL: Shifters vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season$-2
Valorant: TYLOO vs All Gamers (BO3) - VCT China Playoffs$-1
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET$-1
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$-1
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 11, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$-0
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 4?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.396
Sortino
0.371
HHI
84
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.053
Kelly %
88.3%
Half-Kelly
44.1%
Top-1 market
3%
Top-5 markets
11.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1h
between trades
Avg Gap
3.4h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.78
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.2

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 4031s — typical for humanSize CV 1.78 — diverse, typical for human20% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.98 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.8
Single entry
<=1
218 entries
<=2
300 entries
<=5
340 entries
<=10
352 entries
<=20
354 entries
<=50
354 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.2%
Mid (20-55c)13%
High (>55c)83.8%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 67.8%

Other$2,597
New York City$37
Warsh$1
Atlanta$0
Up or Down$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.3
Events covered
264

Single bracket

<=1
197 brackets
<=2
245 brackets
<=3
261 brackets
<=4
263 brackets
<=5
264 brackets
<=8
264 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
12/31/2025, 4:19:33 PM1 trades$500 min
1/1/2026, 9:23:41 AM1 trades$540 min
1/5/2026, 4:41:35 PM3 trades$1035 min
1/5/2026, 5:02:49 PM1 trades$1140 min
1/6/2026, 4:21:11 PM1 trades$1140 min
1/6/2026, 4:27:35 PM1 trades$2920 min
1/6/2026, 5:07:55 PM1 trades$4120 min
1/7/2026, 4:32:03 PM1 trades$4120 min
1/7/2026, 5:03:13 PM1 trades$4330 min
1/8/2026, 10:13:51 AM2 trades$31 min
1/8/2026, 4:31:42 PM1 trades$4300 min
1/8/2026, 5:05:06 PM1 trades$4570 min
1/9/2026, 2:26:58 AM1 trades$10 min
1/9/2026, 2:50:16 AM1 trades$40 min
1/9/2026, 4:26:58 PM1 trades$4600 min
1/9/2026, 5:06:26 PM1 trades$4940 min
1/10/2026, 11:20:56 AM2 trades$22 min
1/10/2026, 4:08:46 PM1 trades$4940 min
1/10/2026, 5:17:42 PM1 trades$4950 min
1/11/2026, 3:33:26 AM1 trades$20 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
01-25
02-17
03-11
04-04
04-27
05-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.8/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.3 br/event