Polydata

@Red-Dissonance

#62295

0xeb6789ca6b1425ff908a69a2a5469c38532cd696

134d· 102 markets · 2224 tradesVol: $2,387,4722026-07-18T03:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

95
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 74%20/20
Profit Factor 6.73x15/15
Sharpe 0.54310/15
Sortino 9.05310/10
EV $+20.08910/10
HHI 44210/10
Profit Days 71%10/10
DD/Peak 2%10/10

Summary

Red-Dissonance is a highly active Polymarket trader ranked #622 on the global PnL leaderboard, boasting an elite Smart Score of 95/100. Over 366 days, they have executed 2,224 trades across 102 markets, generating a net profit of $318,479.34 on a total volume of approximately $2.39 million. Their portfolio value currently stands at zero, indicating full realization of gains or closed positions.

The trader favors a diverse range of markets with no exposure to weather-related bets, maintaining a balanced sell ratio of 43%. Red-Dissonance’s trading style is characterized by a strong win rate of 79.3% and a profit factor of 8.34, suggesting disciplined risk management and high profitability. Their Sharpe ratio of 0.54 points to moderate risk-adjusted returns, while the absence of drawdown duration indicates effective downside control. The semi-bot score of 45/100 implies a hybrid approach combining automated signals with manual decisions.

Key strengths for Red-Dissonance include consistent profitability, a strategic contrarian stance, and mastery of dollar-cost averaging, as reflected in their badges. However, the moderate Sharpe ratio and reliance on semi-automated methods may introduce some variability in performance. Overall, Red-Dissonance’s upward equity trend and elite Smart Score highlight their capability to navigate Polymarket with skill and resilience.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

9
Sniper
Win Rate 74%
Profitable
PnL $+318,479
Contrarian
58% entries <$0.50
DCA Master
avg 12.5 entries/market
Win Streak
15 wins in a row
Whale
$500,444
Consistent
10/14 days
High Roller
$1,367/day
Cool Head
DD 2%

Categories

1
₿ CRYPTO#79$318,855Vol: $2,373,090

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$318,479
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,387,472
Total Redeem
$168,824
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
102
total markets
Trades
1273B / 951S
Daily Volume
$1,367
Account Age
134d
since Mar 5, 2026

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
64%
21W / 12L events
Realized PnL
$333,923
Win Rate
79%
73W / 19L
Profit Factor
8.34x
Avg Win
$4,430
Avg Loss
$-2,041

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $135,721 (47.7% of PnL)

Top Winners

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$46,896
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?$45,097
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?$43,729
Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?$24,442
Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale?$21,434
Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?$18,004
Over $2M committed to the Fluent public sale?$13,000
Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?$10,809
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?$9,809
MegaETH FDV above $1.2B one day after launch?$9,512

Top Losers

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$-21,450
Over $6M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?$-5,350
Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch?$-2,870
Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?$-1,771
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?$-1,254
Will EdgeX launch a token by March 31, 2026?$-1,181
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? $-1,073
Fluent FDV above $100M one day after launch?$-1,013
Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?$-793
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?$-584

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.543
Sortino
9.053
HHI
442
Diversified
EV per $1
$20.089
Kelly %
65.7%
Half-Kelly
32.9%
Top-1 market
11.8%
Top-5 markets
39.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
38.7
Active
Markets / Day
1.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
34.8m
between trades
Night Trading
34%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.73
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.1

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 320s — typical for humanSize CV 2.73 — diverse, typical for human34% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.94 — human randomness39 trades/day — suspiciously high

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12.5
Heavy DCA
<=1
23 entries
<=2
37 entries
<=5
56 entries
<=10
72 entries
<=20
87 entries
<=50
98 entries
>50
4 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)14.8%
Mid (20-55c)51.7%
High (>55c)33.5%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 62.8%

Other$284,610

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
3.1
Events covered
33

Multi-bracket hedger

<=1
15 brackets
<=2
18 brackets
<=3
23 brackets
<=4
27 brackets
<=5
30 brackets
<=8
31 brackets
>8
2 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/5/2026, 4:54:53 PM16 trades$3165 min
3/5/2026, 6:44:39 PM1 trades$330 min
3/6/2026, 1:24:13 AM2 trades$964 min
3/6/2026, 1:41:07 AM5 trades$3920 min
3/6/2026, 1:54:21 AM1 trades$1240 min
3/6/2026, 2:36:05 AM1 trades$10 min
3/6/2026, 3:05:41 AM2 trades$172 min
3/6/2026, 3:53:11 AM1 trades$390 min
3/6/2026, 4:06:05 AM2 trades$272 min
3/6/2026, 4:18:51 AM3 trades$9705 min
3/6/2026, 5:14:43 AM1 trades$530 min
3/6/2026, 5:22:43 AM1 trades$250 min
3/6/2026, 5:36:13 AM3 trades$1,0671 min
3/6/2026, 5:45:17 AM2 trades$8490 min
3/6/2026, 6:13:49 AM1 trades$10 min
3/6/2026, 6:24:19 AM4 trades$5392 min
3/6/2026, 6:37:09 AM1 trades$40 min
3/6/2026, 6:44:57 AM1 trades$280 min
3/6/2026, 6:51:41 AM2 trades$261 min
3/6/2026, 6:58:05 AM1 trades$60 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
03-22
04-03
04-10
04-19
06-01
01-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.5/mkt
Hedging
MULTI
avg 3.1 br/event