Polydata
Data is 5 days old — refreshing in background...

@Redits

#2,401,47331

0x3faec7a1a932fd3b36225ceaf7717821826b26d5

413d· 58 markets · 150 tradesVol: $9,1852026-07-18T09:11
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

31
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 59%15/20
Profit Factor 0.62x0/15
HHI 28810/10
Profit Days 56%7/10

Summary

Redits is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, having executed 150 trades across 58 markets over 536 days. Despite a total trading volume of $9,185, Redits currently holds a net loss of $64.20, placing them at rank #2,401,473 on the global PnL leaderboard. Their overall performance metrics, including a below-average Smart Score of 31/100 and a negative Sharpe Ratio of -0.28, indicate challenges in achieving consistent profitability.

The trading style of Redits appears to lean towards a higher-risk approach, as suggested by their “Lottery Player” badge and a relatively low profit factor of 0.62. Their win rate sits slightly above average at 55.2%, but the relatively high sell percentage of 43% shows a balanced use of both buy and sell positions. Redits does not engage in weather markets and demonstrates an upward equity trend despite the negative net PnL, indicating some improvement over time.

Redits’ key strengths include a decent win rate and an equity trend that suggests gradual learning or adaptation. However, the low Smart Score and negative Sharpe Ratio point to inconsistent risk management and potential overexposure. Additionally, the absence of a portfolio value and a short max drawdown duration imply limited capital allocation and possibly cautious exposure to downside risk. Overall, Redits shows potential but faces significant challenges in converting activity into sustainable profits on Polymarket.

Badges

2
Lottery Player
30% entries <$0.20
Win Streak
9 wins in a row

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,382,463$-23Vol: $8,662
📈 ECONOMICS#614,380$-18Vol: $247
🎭 CULTURE#710,868$-18Vol: $231
SPORTS#1,162,777$-4Vol: $24
CRYPTO#857,455$-1Vol: $20

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-64
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$9,185
Total Redeem
$123
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
58
total markets
Trades
86B / 64S
Daily Volume
$1
Account Age
413d
since Jun 4, 2025

Periods

#2
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-64
Vol: $9,185

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
56%
24W / 19L events
Realized PnL
$-64
Win Rate
55%
32W / 25L
Profit Factor
0.62x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-6

Top Winners

Azerbaijan x Armenia peace deal in 2025?$17
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$9
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$7
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$7
Will Trump’s approval rating be 44.0–44.4% on August 8?$7
ATP Cincinnati - Zverev vs. Alcaraz $6
Will no leader be out in 2025?$4
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?$3
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$3
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$3

Top Losers

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$-31
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$-19
Will Taylor Swift be the top Spotify artist for 2025?$-17
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?$-10
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meet$-10
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeti$-10
Will China lift rare earths export ban by December 31?$-8
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$-6
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?$-5
Missing Epstein cell footage released before August?$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.275
Sortino
-0.261
HHI
288
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.081
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.1%
Top-5 markets
24.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
27.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
5.0h
between trades
Night Trading
39%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.93
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.3

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1652s — typical for humanSize CV 0.93 — diverse, typical for human39% at night — bot never sleeps21/24 hours — extended daySession CV 0.42 — semi-mechanical

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.5
Single entry
<=1
42 entries
<=2
52 entries
<=5
55 entries
<=10
57 entries
<=20
57 entries
<=50
57 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)30.2%
Mid (20-55c)23.3%
High (>55c)46.5%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 49.7%

Other$-54

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.3
Events covered
44

Single bracket

<=1
35 brackets
<=2
41 brackets
<=3
42 brackets
<=4
44 brackets
<=5
44 brackets
<=8
44 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
7/13/2025, 5:12:09 PM4 trades$305 min
7/14/2025, 4:36:28 PM3 trades$353 min
7/16/2025, 7:48:22 PM1 trades$20 min
7/16/2025, 8:39:56 PM1 trades$50 min
7/16/2025, 9:07:28 PM1 trades$40 min
7/20/2025, 1:40:52 AM2 trades$301 min
7/20/2025, 4:07:45 AM2 trades$200 min
7/20/2025, 7:12:43 AM1 trades$80 min
7/20/2025, 4:51:33 PM1 trades$200 min
7/23/2025, 4:11:33 AM1 trades$60 min
7/27/2025, 3:46:58 AM1 trades$100 min
7/27/2025, 3:55:10 AM3 trades$383 min
7/29/2025, 3:09:59 AM1 trades$80 min
7/29/2025, 4:06:19 PM1 trades$280 min
7/29/2025, 4:15:03 PM1 trades$100 min
7/29/2025, 10:48:43 PM1 trades$40 min
7/29/2025, 11:00:15 PM1 trades$50 min
7/30/2025, 3:07:48 PM1 trades$50 min
8/4/2025, 12:33:49 AM1 trades$60 min
8/4/2025, 1:16:53 AM1 trades$90 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
08-17
09-17
11-16
02-08
04-07
11-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.7% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.5/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.3 br/event