Polydata

@ReedUpdatee

#3,015,97015

0x07a9bf6d9a913df0e149bb2d652998b57fd832c8

~58d· 104 markets · 639 tradesVol: $2,914,3092026-07-31 15:25:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

15
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

38% (38/99)4.2/20
0.57x (win $151,926 / loss $264,405)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.6230/15
Sortino -4.5380/10
$-0.0647 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 531 (99 markets)9.8/10
15/47 profitable days (32%)0.5/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($125,857 / $0)0/10

Badges

4
Contrarian
59% entries < $0.55
Whale
$1,739,227 invested
High Roller
$2,506/day
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,531$30,954Vol: $1,485,137
SPORTS#8,253$5,681Vol: $1,293,263
💻 TECH#257,943$-19,466Vol: $49,300
💰 FINANCE#655,428$-3,000Vol: $31,032
CRYPTO#1,670,538$-21,683Vol: $24,438
📈 ECONOMICS#676,195$-499Vol: $1,578

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,934
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,914,309
Total Redeem
$24,591
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
104
total markets
Trades
148B / 491S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~58d

Periods

#2
Today
$588
Vol: $0
Week
$3,922
Vol: $0
Month
$100,152
Vol: $1,647,265
All Time
$-2,934
Vol: $2,914,309

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
38%
38W / 61L events
Realized PnL
$-3,327
Win Rate
38%
38W / 61L
Profit Factor
0.57x
Avg Win
$3,998
Avg Loss
$-4,407

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $77,563 (23.31351331854497% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$48,662
Will FC Bayern München win on 2025-11-04?$19,123
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)$9,778
Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?$9,498
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?$6,000
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07?$5,756
Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2$5,632
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-14?$4,398
Volkov vs. Almeida$3,947
Spain to score first vs. Belgium?$3,527

Top Losers

Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-18?$-49,967
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-25,582
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$-20,000
Pavel Durov released in August?$-19,466
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-10,450
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-20?$-10,006
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev$-10,000
Will Bayern München win on 2025-11-08?$-9,993
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)$-9,972
Rams vs. Bears$-8,164

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.188
Sortino
-0.237
HHI
29
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.251
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.9%
Top-5 markets
9.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.0h
between trades
Night Trading
9%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.36
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.3

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 228s — normal for humanCV 3.36 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern18/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal7% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.38
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.8%
Mid (20-55c)45.9%
High (>55c)41.2%

Sessions

#12
7/8/2026, 5:26:16 PM127 trades$719,2414 min
7/5/2026, 12:40:01 AM45 trades$582,0660 min
7/3/2026, 10:25:14 PM17 trades$347,9330 min
7/3/2026, 8:37:32 PM30 trades$209,3340 min
1/15/2026, 3:18:52 PM2 trades$100,0170 min
7/3/2026, 6:24:43 PM27 trades$84,9912 min
6/29/2026, 4:21:17 PM61 trades$83,2291 min
1/18/2026, 6:43:42 PM1 trades$49,9670 min
1/19/2026, 12:34:56 AM5 trades$49,9411 min
1/19/2026, 2:00:06 AM1 trades$41,7770 min
7/3/2026, 6:36:49 PM15 trades$31,3660 min
7/15/2026, 4:59:38 PM7 trades$31,0510 min
10/4/2025, 12:33:33 PM15 trades$26,86310 min
7/20/2026, 2:20:57 PM4 trades$21,4290 min
6/29/2026, 4:28:56 PM14 trades$20,8201 min
7/14/2026, 2:08:56 PM2 trades$20,2710 min
1/23/2026, 12:13:22 AM1 trades$20,0000 min
1/27/2026, 12:12:01 AM1 trades$19,9850 min
7/19/2025, 8:29:54 PM1 trades$19,9680 min
10/25/2025, 2:20:51 PM9 trades$19,79415 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-26
10-04
11-26
01-19
02-20
04-07
07-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
76.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.38/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.8 / M45.9 / H41.2