Polydata

@Reliable-Concentration

#22693

0x6db568e61e5e3de7d87f831431b673f38ce2e279

34d· 149 markets · 2942 tradesVol: $14,578,4162026-05-21T15:42
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

93
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 64%17/20
Profit Factor 6.54x15/15
Sharpe 0.61612/15
Sortino 2.19310/10
EV $+3.74310/10
HHI 28910/10
Profit Days 88%10/10
DD/Peak 3%10/10

Summary

Reliable-Concentration is an active trader on Polymarket, ranked #226 globally with a net PnL of $635,447.64 over 40 days. They have executed 2,942 trades across 149 markets, totaling $14.58 million in volume. Their portfolio value stands at $315,678.57, supported by a high Smart Score of 93/100, placing them in the elite category. Despite a moderate Sharpe ratio of 0.62, their equity trend remains stable with no significant drawdowns, indicating consistent performance.

The trading style of Reliable-Concentration reflects a balanced approach with a 50% win rate and a profit factor of 0.55, suggesting smaller gains relative to losses. They avoid selling, holding positions continuously, as indicated by a 0% sell rate and badges like Diamond Hands and DCA Master. They show no preference for weather markets, instead likely focusing on diverse areas within Polymarket. Their Bot Score of 40/100 implies a blend of automated and manual trading, favoring steady accumulation rather than aggressive timing or high-risk speculation.

Reliable-Concentration’s key strength lies in their disciplined, steady trading style, supported by elite recognition and a large trading volume. However, their relatively low profit factor and moderate Sharpe ratio highlight potential risks in return efficiency and risk-adjusted performance. The absence of drawdown duration is positive but the flat equity trend suggests limited growth momentum. Overall, Reliable-Concentration demonstrates consistent, risk-controlled trading with room for optimizing profitability.

Badges

9
Sniper
Win Rate 64%
Profitable
PnL $+635,448
Diamond Hands
0% sell
DCA Master
avg 19.7 entries/market
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
Whale
$7,368,095
Consistent
36/41 days
High Roller
$184,202/day
Cool Head
DD 3%

Categories

1
SPORTS#128$635,448Vol: $14,578,416

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$635,448
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$14,578,416
Total Redeem
$1,974,543
Portfolio
$315,679
Predictions
149
total markets
Trades
2942B / 0S
Daily Volume
$184,202
Account Age
34d
since Apr 17, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-9,103
Vol: $795,719
Week
$188,405
Vol: $2,784,359
Month
$387,845
Vol: $10,486,756
All Time
$635,448
Vol: $14,578,416

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
71%
105W / 43L events
Realized PnL
$1,224,893
Win Rate
50%
73W / 73L
Profit Factor
0.55x
Avg Win
$11,015
Avg Loss
$-20,184

Top Winners

Cavaliers vs. Knicks$238,946
Thunder vs. Lakers$92,790
Spurs vs. Timberwolves$55,312
Pistons vs. Cavaliers$50,286
Cavaliers vs. Raptors$36,225
76ers vs. Celtics$34,610
Lakers vs. Thunder$33,572
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves$28,319
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves$26,882
Pistons vs. Cavaliers$19,799

Top Losers

Timberwolves vs. Nuggets$-227,419
Magic vs. Pistons$-194,448
Hawks vs. Knicks$-162,310
Hawks vs. Knicks$-136,738
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers$-122,047
Cavaliers vs. Pistons$-106,037
Stars vs. Wild$-57,251
Cavaliers vs. Raptors$-50,559
Knicks vs. Hawks$-46,796
Magic vs. Pistons$-31,404

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.616
Sortino
2.193
HHI
289
Diversified
EV per $1
$3.744
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.8%
Top-5 markets
25%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
88.1
Very active
Markets / Day
4.5
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
58s
between trades
Avg Gap
16.3m
between trades
Night Trading
77%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.62
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.4

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
HIGH
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 58s — typical for humanSize CV 2.62 — diverse, typical for human77% at night — bot never sleeps14/24 hours — normal hoursSession CV 0.89 — human randomness88 trades/day — mass trading

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
19.7
Heavy DCA
<=1
10 entries
<=2
19 entries
<=5
49 entries
<=10
74 entries
<=20
102 entries
<=50
129 entries
>50
20 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)13.5%
Mid (20-55c)37.2%
High (>55c)49.4%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 0%

San Francisco$2,787
Houston$1,452
Miami$732
Toronto$184
Seattle$-2,229
Atlanta$-4,321
Los Angeles$-15,090
Chicago$-38,643
Other$-614,205

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
148

Single bracket

<=1
147 brackets
<=2
148 brackets
<=3
148 brackets
<=4
148 brackets
<=5
148 brackets
<=8
148 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/17/2026, 5:12:16 PM3 trades$92 min
4/17/2026, 5:24:36 PM1 trades$50 min
4/17/2026, 5:58:52 PM1 trades$60 min
4/18/2026, 12:01:00 AM4 trades$1,5097 min
4/18/2026, 12:20:04 AM1 trades$1370 min
4/18/2026, 12:33:00 AM4 trades$4,3495 min
4/18/2026, 12:49:08 AM2 trades$3192 min
4/18/2026, 12:57:04 AM2 trades$6923 min
4/18/2026, 1:16:40 AM3 trades$3116 min
4/18/2026, 1:28:42 AM3 trades$2,8145 min
4/18/2026, 1:38:54 AM2 trades$1,2332 min
4/18/2026, 11:18:00 PM1 trades$5490 min
4/18/2026, 11:38:40 PM13 trades$33,23419 min
4/19/2026, 12:07:04 AM20 trades$129,56516 min
4/19/2026, 2:06:52 AM1 trades$2,1210 min
4/19/2026, 2:20:12 AM4 trades$8,0429 min
4/19/2026, 2:41:16 AM3 trades$2624 min
4/19/2026, 7:48:44 PM3 trades$7216 min
4/19/2026, 8:05:36 PM3 trades$7648 min
4/19/2026, 8:24:50 PM2 trades$6141 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-18
04-24
04-30
05-06
05-12
05-18
05-21
05-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 19.7/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event