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@Reliable-Concentration

#5956

0x6db568e61e5e3de7d87f831431b673f38ce2e279

86d· 232 markets · 4459 tradesVol: $23,564,2562026-06-21T20:45
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

56
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 96%20/20
Profit Factor 541.15x15/15
EV $+519.77710/10
HHI 22110/10
Profit Days 34%1/10

Summary

Reliable-Concentration is an active trader on Polymarket, holding the #59 position on the global PnL leaderboard. Over 71 days, they executed 4,459 trades across 219 markets, generating a net profit of over $2.1 million on a total volume exceeding $23.5 million. Their portfolio value currently stands at $1,089.72, reflecting ongoing engagement in the platform. The trader’s Smart Score of 56/100 indicates a good overall performance.

This trader demonstrates a preference for high-volume, diversified markets rather than weather-related events. With a win rate of 33.3% and a profit factor of 0.36, Reliable-Concentration appears to take on higher-risk positions, aiming for outsized gains despite frequent losses. Their Sharpe ratio of -0.28 signals negative risk-adjusted returns, though the zero-day max drawdown duration suggests effective risk management or quick recovery from losses. The semi-bot score of 40/100 implies a blend of algorithmic and manual trading, with a consistent upward equity trend.

Reliable-Concentration’s strengths lie in their ability to generate substantial gross profits and maintain a growing equity curve, supported by badges like Sniper and Diamond Hands. However, the relatively low win rate and negative Sharpe ratio highlight potential concerns about volatility and risk exposure. Traders following Reliable-Concentration should consider the balance between their sizeable profits and the underlying risk profile evident in their Polymarket activity.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 96%
Profitable
PnL $+2,123,084
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
Whale
$11,372,498
High Roller
$160,176/day

Categories

1
SPORTS#35$2,123,084Vol: $23,564,256

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,123,084
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$23,564,256
Total Redeem
$4,910,814
Portfolio
$1,090
Predictions
232
total markets
Trades
4459B / 0S
Daily Volume
$160,176
Account Age
86d
since Apr 17, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-6,123
Vol: $22,546
Week
$185,857
Vol: $22,546
Month
$1,442,849
Vol: $5,608,418
All Time
$2,123,084
Vol: $23,564,256

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
96%
191W / 7L events
Realized PnL
$3,568,926
Win Rate
33%
72W / 144L
Profit Factor
0.36x
Avg Win
$27,666
Avg Loss
$-38,720

Top Winners

Spurs vs. Knicks$844,693
Knicks vs. Spurs$359,598
Cavaliers vs. Knicks$238,946
Knicks vs. Spurs$189,366
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?$73,880
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?$72,423
Knicks vs. Cavaliers$54,309
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?$50,000
Thunder vs. Spurs$17,930
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Mets$11,820

Top Losers

Thunder vs. Lakers$-346,240
Spurs vs. Timberwolves$-304,935
Cavaliers vs. Raptors$-271,085
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets$-227,419
Knicks vs. 76ers$-218,910
Lakers vs. Thunder$-213,329
Rockets vs. Lakers$-211,903
76ers vs. Knicks$-200,608
Pistons vs. Magic$-197,348
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves$-194,646

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.282
Sortino
-0.368
HHI
221
Diversified
EV per $1
$519.777
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.3%
Top-5 markets
20.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
68.5
Very active
Markets / Day
3.4
Active Hours
14/24
Extended
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
19.6m
between trades
Night Trading
78%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.05
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.4

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
HIGH
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 63s — typical for humanSize CV 3.05 — diverse, typical for human78% at night — bot never sleeps14/24 hours — normal hoursSession CV 0.92 — human randomness68 trades/day — mass trading

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
20.4
Heavy DCA
<=1
12 entries
<=2
26 entries
<=5
65 entries
<=10
100 entries
<=20
149 entries
<=50
190 entries
>50
29 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.8%
Mid (20-55c)36.8%
High (>55c)50.3%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 100%

San Francisco$6,067
Dallas$918
Toronto$-1,051
Miami$-3,393
Houston$-5,406
Seattle$-5,854
Los Angeles$-35,548
Chicago$-36,853
Atlanta$-49,966
Other$-3,452,605

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
215

Single bracket

<=1
211 brackets
<=2
215 brackets
<=3
215 brackets
<=4
215 brackets
<=5
215 brackets
<=8
215 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/17/2026, 5:12:16 PM3 trades$92 min
4/17/2026, 5:24:36 PM1 trades$50 min
4/17/2026, 5:58:52 PM1 trades$60 min
4/18/2026, 12:01:00 AM4 trades$1,5097 min
4/18/2026, 12:20:04 AM1 trades$1370 min
4/18/2026, 12:33:00 AM4 trades$4,3495 min
4/18/2026, 12:49:08 AM2 trades$3192 min
4/18/2026, 12:57:04 AM2 trades$6923 min
4/18/2026, 1:16:40 AM3 trades$3116 min
4/18/2026, 1:28:42 AM3 trades$2,8145 min
4/18/2026, 1:38:54 AM2 trades$1,2332 min
4/18/2026, 11:18:00 PM1 trades$5490 min
4/18/2026, 11:38:40 PM13 trades$33,23419 min
4/19/2026, 12:07:04 AM20 trades$129,56516 min
4/19/2026, 2:06:52 AM1 trades$2,1210 min
4/19/2026, 2:20:12 AM4 trades$8,0429 min
4/19/2026, 2:41:16 AM3 trades$2624 min
4/19/2026, 7:48:44 PM3 trades$7216 min
4/19/2026, 8:05:36 PM3 trades$7648 min
4/19/2026, 8:24:50 PM2 trades$6141 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-18
04-29
05-10
05-21
06-01
06-13
06-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 20.4/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event