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@Relieved-Sardine

#2,893,58113

0x2ab2e9b3fa17365edac50de549a28be92c439401

148d· 1756 markets · 2949 tradesVol: $198,4682026-06-27T10:27
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

13
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 32%1/20
Profit Factor 0.62x0/15
HHI 2810/10
Profit Days 39%2/10
DD/Peak 918%0/10

Summary

Relieved-Sardine is a relatively active trader on Polymarket, having conducted 2,949 trades across 901 markets over 120 days. Despite a high win rate of 94.8%, they currently hold a net PnL of -$4,415.59, placing them at rank #2,893,581 on the global leaderboard. Their overall trading volume is substantial at nearly $200,000, but their portfolio value is zero, reflecting an overall declining equity trend.

This trader appears to favor a high-volume, high-frequency approach, with a semi-automated style indicated by a bot score of 45/100. Relieved-Sardine has a relatively aggressive risk profile, reflected in a negative Sharpe ratio of -0.26 and a high profit factor of 95.66, suggesting that while many trades are winning, losses may be large or recent. They tend to hold positions longer than average, as indicated by a 57% sell rate, and do not trade weather markets.

Relieved-Sardine’s key strength lies in their consistent winning trades and high activity level, which suggests strong market engagement and potential skill development. However, the significant net losses and negative Sharpe ratio highlight risks such as poor risk management or large drawdowns. Their beginner smart score and semi-bot trading style may indicate a need for strategy refinement to improve long-term profitability on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

2
Win Streak
166 wins in a row
Whale
$53,468

Categories

2
CRYPTO#1,600,472$-4,396Vol: $198,163
SPORTS#1,391,907$-20Vol: $306

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-4,416
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$198,468
Total Redeem
$21,637
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1756
total markets
Trades
1256B / 1693S
Daily Volume
$446
Account Age
148d
since Feb 19, 2026

Periods

#2
Month
$-495
Vol: $57,205
All Time
$-4,416
Vol: $198,468

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
32%
255W / 550L events
Realized PnL
$18,176
Win Rate
95%
328W / 18L
Profit Factor
95.66x
Avg Win
$40
Avg Loss
$-8

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $660 (5.1% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET$233
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$228
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET$199
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET$151
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$136
Ethereum Up or Down - June 18, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET$131
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET$129
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$124
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$124
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET$123

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$-33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$-26
Ethereum Up or Down - April 19, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET$-8
XRP Up or Down - April 19, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$-8
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$-7
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$-7
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$-6
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$-6
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$-6
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$-6

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.264
Sortino
-0.232
HHI
28
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.379
Kelly %
94.1%
Half-Kelly
47.1%
Top-1 market
1.7%
Top-5 markets
6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
31.6
Active
Markets / Day
9.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
16s
between trades
Avg Gap
19.9m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.52
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.6

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 16s — typical for humanSize CV 0.52 — diverse, typical for human25% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.60 — human randomness32 trades/day — suspiciously high805 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.4
Single entry
<=1
722 entries
<=2
805 entries
<=5
889 entries
<=10
900 entries
<=20
901 entries
<=50
901 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1%
Mid (20-55c)65.7%
High (>55c)33.4%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 42.9%

Other$12,975

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
901

Single bracket

<=1
901 brackets
<=2
901 brackets
<=3
901 brackets
<=4
901 brackets
<=5
901 brackets
<=8
901 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/18/2026, 12:42:03 PM2 trades$250 min
3/18/2026, 3:33:49 PM2 trades$663 min
3/18/2026, 5:45:45 PM1 trades$300 min
3/18/2026, 11:31:19 PM1 trades$300 min
3/19/2026, 3:30:17 AM1 trades$300 min
3/19/2026, 9:43:53 AM3 trades$1024 min
3/19/2026, 2:17:25 PM1 trades$360 min
3/19/2026, 8:51:45 PM1 trades$360 min
3/20/2026, 1:11:09 PM1 trades$300 min
3/20/2026, 1:17:05 PM1 trades$360 min
3/20/2026, 3:00:35 PM1 trades$360 min
3/20/2026, 3:22:49 PM2 trades$720 min
3/20/2026, 6:37:17 PM1 trades$300 min
3/20/2026, 9:38:37 PM1 trades$300 min
3/22/2026, 10:38:19 AM3 trades$1022 min
3/22/2026, 5:52:45 PM4 trades$1451 min
3/23/2026, 3:49:43 AM3 trades$1021 min
3/23/2026, 7:54:11 AM1 trades$300 min
3/23/2026, 8:19:03 AM2 trades$661 min
3/23/2026, 2:18:33 PM1 trades$300 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-21
03-17
03-26
04-07
04-15
06-09
06-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
57.4% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.4/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event