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Remarkable-Bibliography

@Remarkable-Bibliography

#2,927,26451

0x7e456e9a8ed683213fc64c2f84b101f6e8a85b61

397d· 3287 markets · 10454 tradesVol: $11,926,071 @Caibility992026-06-27T13:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

51
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 1.22x5/15
Sharpe 0.0812/15
Sortino 0.0741/10
EV $+0.0804/10
HHI 5310/10
Profit Days 66%9/10
DD/Peak 109%0/10

Summary

Remarkable-Bibliography is a moderately active trader on Polymarket with 10,454 trades across 340 markets over 379 days. Despite a high total trading volume of nearly $12 million, the trader currently holds a negative net PnL of approximately $316,000 and is ranked #2,927,264 globally. Their Smart Score of 51/100 reflects an average level of trading skill, supported by a profit factor of 1.22 and a win rate of 62.0%. The portfolio value stands at zero, and the Sharpe ratio is low at 0.08, indicating limited risk-adjusted returns.

The trading style of Remarkable-Bibliography appears diversified but cautious, focusing on consistent gains rather than high volatility bets. They avoid weather markets entirely and maintain a sell percentage of 37%, suggesting a balanced approach between holding and exiting positions. The semi-automated bot score of 60/100 implies a mixed manual and algorithmic strategy. The trader’s badges such as "Sniper," "DCA Master," and "Win Streak" align with a disciplined, timed entry practice, likely using dollar-cost averaging to manage risk. Their equity trend has been upward, suggesting gradual portfolio growth despite the current negative net PnL.

Remarkable-Bibliography’s strengths lie in consistency and disciplined execution, as reflected by their solid win rate and profit factor. The absence of drawdown duration signals effective risk management in avoiding prolonged losses. However, the extensive volume paired with a significant negative PnL raises concerns about overtrading or exposure to unfavorable market conditions. The low Sharpe ratio also highlights a potential mismatch between risk and reward. Overall, while Remarkable-Bibliography shows promise through steady trading habits, the current financial outcome suggests areas for strategy refinement on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
DCA Master
avg 19.4 entries/market
Win Streak
26 wins in a row
Whale
$1,028,784
Consistent
65/98 days
High Roller
$2,714/day

Categories

3
CRYPTO#1,611,320$-291,671Vol: $11,535,749
SPORTS#1,758,080$-16,320Vol: $269,019
🏛️ POLITICS#1,608,629$-14,583Vol: $36,504

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-316,491
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$11,926,071
Total Redeem
$80,694
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
3287
total markets
Trades
6581B / 3873S
Daily Volume
$2,714
Account Age
397d
since Jun 12, 2025

Periods

#2
Week
$-12,220
Vol: $303,442
Month
$-18,155
Vol: $378,623
All Time
$-316,491
Vol: $11,926,071

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
249W / 1L events
Realized PnL
$706,691
Win Rate
62%
181W / 111L
Profit Factor
1.22x
Avg Win
$2,309
Avg Loss
$-3,086

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $29,173 (38.7% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9AM ET$11,294
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8AM ET$10,788
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?$7,092
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 3AM ET$6,893
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET$6,470
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 1AM ET$5,962
New Zealand vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score$5,852
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2AM ET$5,690
Jordan vs. Algeria: Both Teams to Score$5,622
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$5,370

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 9AM ET$-18,998
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET$-18,876
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$-17,782
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$-9,333
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 12PM ET$-9,262
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET$-8,011
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET$-8,000
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$-7,685
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 25, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET$-6,947
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 21, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$-6,530

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.081
Sortino
0.074
HHI
53
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.080
Kelly %
20.7%
Half-Kelly
10.3%
Top-1 market
1.8%
Top-5 markets
8.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
27.6
Active
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
2s
between trades
Avg Gap
20.7m
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.73
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.1

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
52% < 3s — suspicious speedSize CV 3.73 — diverse, typical for human28% at night — bot never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.17 — human randomness28 trades/day — suspiciously high

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
19.4
Heavy DCA
<=1
141 entries
<=2
181 entries
<=5
197 entries
<=10
201 entries
<=20
232 entries
<=50
296 entries
>50
44 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.3%
Mid (20-55c)68%
High (>55c)31.7%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 79.9%

Other$75,420

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
336

Single bracket

<=1
332 brackets
<=2
336 brackets
<=3
336 brackets
<=4
336 brackets
<=5
336 brackets
<=8
336 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
6/12/2025, 3:07:07 PM1 trades$2,0000 min
6/12/2025, 3:27:49 PM1 trades$4,6260 min
6/12/2025, 3:43:49 PM1 trades$1000 min
6/13/2025, 6:02:50 AM1 trades$1,0000 min
6/13/2025, 6:28:42 AM1 trades$1,0010 min
6/13/2025, 7:01:44 AM3 trades$4,4474 min
6/13/2025, 7:54:49 AM36 trades$4,8942 min
6/13/2025, 8:09:01 AM2 trades$1,5002 min
6/13/2025, 8:56:27 AM1 trades$1800 min
6/13/2025, 9:02:49 AM1 trades$3,8630 min
6/13/2025, 10:18:42 AM1 trades$1,5000 min
6/13/2025, 10:57:50 AM1 trades$6000 min
6/13/2025, 11:02:56 AM1 trades$3,5490 min
6/17/2025, 5:04:25 PM1 trades$1,5000 min
6/17/2025, 5:50:57 PM1 trades$2000 min
6/17/2025, 6:01:01 PM1 trades$3,0620 min
6/29/2025, 1:25:20 AM1 trades$2,0510 min
6/29/2025, 2:06:08 AM1 trades$40 min
6/29/2025, 2:20:08 AM6 trades$2,5506 min
6/29/2025, 3:01:25 AM1 trades$9850 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-12
08-27
10-27
12-12
01-08
05-01
06-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 19.4/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event