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@RepTrump

#1386

0x863134d00841b2e200492805a01e1e2f5defaa53

623d· 8 markets · 1664 tradesVol: $13,983,2312026-06-29T06:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

86
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 99.00x15/15
Sharpe 0.59411/15
Sortino 2510803223.86010/10
EV $+2.80510/10
HHI 39220/10
Profit Days 100%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

RepTrump is a highly active trader on Polymarket, currently ranked #13 on the global PnL leaderboard with an impressive net profit of over $7.5 million. In just six days of activity, they have executed 1,664 trades across eight different markets, generating nearly $14 million in total volume. Their smart score of 86/100 places them in the elite category, reflecting strong overall performance and consistent profitability.

The trading style of RepTrump appears automated, supported by a 70/100 bot score and badges such as "Bot" and "DCA Master," indicating systematic, disciplined entries likely based on dollar-cost averaging strategies. They maintain a perfect 100% win rate with zero sell percentage, suggesting a high conviction approach that favors holding positions rather than frequent exits. Their Sharpe ratio of 0.59 points to moderate risk-adjusted returns, while the absence of drawdowns implies tight risk controls and timely trade management.

RepTrump’s key strengths include elite execution speed, consistent winning trades, and a robust automated strategy that minimizes emotional bias. However, the zero sell percentage and short trading duration raise questions about position exit strategies and long-term sustainability. Additionally, the lack of portfolio value may indicate full liquidation or reinvestment cycles that warrant further monitoring. Overall, RepTrump’s performance on Polymarket demonstrates strong potential balanced with some areas for cautious observation.

Badges

9
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Profitable
PnL $+7,532,410
Diamond Hands
0% sell
DCA Master
avg 208.0 entries/market
Bot
Score 70/100
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
Whale
$3,674,702
Consistent
3/3 days
High Roller
$572,178/day

Categories

1
🏛️ POLITICS#5$7,532,410Vol: $13,983,231

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$7,532,410
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$13,983,231
Total Redeem
$13,983,231
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
8
total markets
Trades
1664B / 0S
Daily Volume
$572,178
Account Age
623d
since Oct 17, 2024

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
5W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$7,532,410
Win Rate
100%
8W / 0L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$1,288,566
Avg Loss
$0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $9,867,841 (95.7% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential E$4,478,011
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$3,700,781
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?$1,689,049
Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency? $217,332
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$181,438
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?$20,691
Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?$12,709
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?$8,518

Top Losers

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.594
Sortino
inf
HHI
3922
Concentrated
EV per $1
$2.805
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
55.4%
Top-5 markets
98.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
259.1
Very active
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
6s
between trades
Avg Gap
3.5m
between trades
Night Trading
33%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
9.59
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
19.3

Bot Detection

#6
70
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
55% < 10s — regular intervalSize CV 9.59 — diverse, typical for human33% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.17 — human randomness259 trades/day — automation

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
208
Heavy DCA
<=1
0 entries
<=2
0 entries
<=5
2 entries
<=10
3 entries
<=20
3 entries
<=50
4 entries
>50
4 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)38%
High (>55c)62%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 67.8%

Other$10,308,529

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.6
Events covered
5

Single bracket

<=1
2 brackets
<=2
5 brackets
<=3
5 brackets
<=4
5 brackets
<=5
5 brackets
<=8
5 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
10/17/2024, 8:02:56 PM7 trades$10,4258 min
10/17/2024, 10:21:31 PM11 trades$46,64410 min
10/17/2024, 10:37:01 PM4 trades$90,1493 min
10/21/2024, 9:26:23 PM7 trades$7,5106 min
10/21/2024, 9:40:39 PM1 trades$5210 min
10/21/2024, 9:47:47 PM58 trades$30,17735 min
10/21/2024, 10:33:25 PM5 trades$5,2360 min
10/21/2024, 10:41:11 PM2 trades$761 min
10/21/2024, 10:47:43 PM5 trades$4,5024 min
10/21/2024, 10:57:03 PM11 trades$45,44911 min
10/21/2024, 11:20:02 PM16 trades$50,7186 min
10/21/2024, 11:32:30 PM3 trades$1311 min
10/21/2024, 11:41:28 PM3 trades$17,1074 min
10/22/2024, 7:11:01 AM7 trades$6243 min
10/22/2024, 7:27:30 AM53 trades$529,84441 min
10/22/2024, 8:21:02 AM23 trades$193,0248 min
10/22/2024, 9:31:36 AM11 trades$624,3128 min
10/22/2024, 9:51:18 AM7 trades$3236 min
10/22/2024, 10:24:56 AM1 trades$00 min
10/22/2024, 10:35:12 AM3 trades$168 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-04
11-05
11-08

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 208/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.6 br/event