Polydata

@RepTrump

#886

0x863134d00841b2e200492805a01e1e2f5defaa53

580d· 8 markets · 1664 tradesVol: $13,983,2312026-05-18T15:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

86
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 99.00x15/15
Sharpe 0.59411/15
Sortino 2510803223.86010/10
EV $+2.80510/10
HHI 39220/10
Profit Days 100%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

RepTrump is a highly active and successful trader on Polymarket, currently ranked #8 on the global PnL leaderboard. Over just six days of trading, RepTrump has executed 1,664 trades across eight different markets, generating a net profit of over $7.5 million on a total volume close to $14 million. Their performance is marked by a perfect 100% win rate and an elite Smart Score of 86/100, indicating consistent and skilled trade execution.

RepTrump’s trading strategy appears focused and disciplined, leveraging automated tools as reflected in their Bot Score of 70/100 and badges like “Sniper” and “DCA Master.” They avoid selling, suggesting a strong buy-and-hold or averaging approach. With zero exposure to weather markets and a Sharpe ratio of 0.59, their risk profile seems balanced but not overly aggressive. The very short max drawdown duration points to effective risk management and timely trade entries, highlighting a preference for quick, precise market moves within a narrow set of markets.

The key strength of RepTrump lies in their flawless win rate and automated, sniper-like precision, which enables capturing profits efficiently. However, the absence of portfolio value and a profit factor of zero may indicate non-traditional accounting or data recording, potentially masking some risk. Additionally, the brief trading window of six days limits long-term performance assessment, posing a risk if market conditions shift. Overall, RepTrump’s data on Polymarket reflects elite performance with a strong automated strategy but warrants monitoring for sustainability.

Badges

9
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Profitable
PnL $+7,532,410
Diamond Hands
0% sell
DCA Master
avg 208.0 entries/market
Bot
Score 70/100
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
Whale
$3,674,702
Consistent
3/3 days
High Roller
$572,178/day

Categories

1
🏛️ POLITICS#5$7,532,410Vol: $13,983,231

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$7,532,410
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$13,983,231
Total Redeem
$13,983,231
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
8
total markets
Trades
1664B / 0S
Daily Volume
$572,178
Account Age
580d
since Oct 17, 2024

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
5W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$7,532,410
Win Rate
100%
8W / 0L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$1,288,566
Avg Loss
$0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $9,867,841 (95.7% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential E$4,478,011
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$3,700,781
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?$1,689,049
Will a Republican win the popular vote and the Presidency? $217,332
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$181,438
Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?$20,691
Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?$12,709
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?$8,518

Top Losers

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.594
Sortino
inf
HHI
3922
Concentrated
EV per $1
$2.805
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
55.4%
Top-5 markets
98.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
259.1
Very active
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
6s
between trades
Avg Gap
3.5m
between trades
Night Trading
33%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
9.59
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
19.3

Bot Detection

#6
70
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
55% < 10s — regular intervalSize CV 9.59 — diverse, typical for human33% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.17 — human randomness259 trades/day — automation

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
208
Heavy DCA
<=1
0 entries
<=2
0 entries
<=5
2 entries
<=10
3 entries
<=20
3 entries
<=50
4 entries
>50
4 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)38%
High (>55c)62%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 67.8%

Other$10,308,529

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.6
Events covered
5

Single bracket

<=1
2 brackets
<=2
5 brackets
<=3
5 brackets
<=4
5 brackets
<=5
5 brackets
<=8
5 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
10/17/2024, 8:02:56 PM7 trades$10,4258 min
10/17/2024, 10:21:31 PM11 trades$46,64410 min
10/17/2024, 10:37:01 PM4 trades$90,1493 min
10/21/2024, 9:26:23 PM7 trades$7,5106 min
10/21/2024, 9:40:39 PM1 trades$5210 min
10/21/2024, 9:47:47 PM58 trades$30,17735 min
10/21/2024, 10:33:25 PM5 trades$5,2360 min
10/21/2024, 10:41:11 PM2 trades$761 min
10/21/2024, 10:47:43 PM5 trades$4,5024 min
10/21/2024, 10:57:03 PM11 trades$45,44911 min
10/21/2024, 11:20:02 PM16 trades$50,7186 min
10/21/2024, 11:32:30 PM3 trades$1311 min
10/21/2024, 11:41:28 PM3 trades$17,1074 min
10/22/2024, 7:11:01 AM7 trades$6243 min
10/22/2024, 7:27:30 AM53 trades$529,84441 min
10/22/2024, 8:21:02 AM23 trades$193,0248 min
10/22/2024, 9:31:36 AM11 trades$624,3128 min
10/22/2024, 9:51:18 AM7 trades$3236 min
10/22/2024, 10:24:56 AM1 trades$00 min
10/22/2024, 10:35:12 AM3 trades$168 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-04
11-05
11-08

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 208/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.6 br/event